Category Archives: Bitcoin
Where Are Bitcoin Prices Headed After Their Latest Pullback? – Forbes
Technical analysts weighed in after bitcoin's latest price movements. (Photo illustration by ... [+] Chesnot/Getty Images)
Bitcoin prices have been trading primarily between $30,000 and $42,000 since late May, but recently, they have repeatedly attempted to mount convincing breakouts.
In the last week, the cryptocurrency surpassed the upper limit of the aforementioned range multiple times, CoinDesk figures show.
It reached $42,351.93, $42,369.39 and $42,435.07 on July 30, July 31, and August 1, respectively, additional CoinDesk data reveals.
More recently, the digital asset has fallen back somewhat, declining to as little as $38,978.57 this morning, down roughly 8.1% from yesterdays recent high.
[Ed note: Investing in cryptocoins or tokens is highly speculative and the market is largely unregulated. Anyone considering it should be prepared to lose their entire investment.]
Key Technical Levels
Keeping these latest developments in mind, several technical analysts weighed in, shedding some light on bitcoins crucial levels of support and resistance.
Katie Stockton, the founder and managing partner ofFairlead Strategies, LLC, offered some perspective:
Bitcoin has broken through the resistance I have been highlighting defined by the cloud model, which lowers over time, she stated.
It previously was near $42K, but has since lowered to below $38K, such that a breakout has already been confirmed above cloud-based resistance.
A Fibonacci retracement level near $42.6K remains intact as resistance, however, so I would imagine some are focused on that, Stockton added.
Once that level is surmounted, the targeted level becomes $51.1K based on the Fibonacci levels, she concluded.
William Noble, the chief technical analyst of research platform Token Metrics, also chimed in.
Bitcoin is facing substantial resistance near $43k, he stated, adding that this resistance is clear on charts.
Potential Opportunity
Noble spoke to the recent pullback, describing bitcoins recent drop to roughly $39,000 as an opportunity to get involved if you missed the rally.
The decline in bitcoin from $42k to $39k is likely a pause that refreshes, he stated.
Mark Warner, head of trading at BCB Group, also offered a bullish take.
There are many sellers at $42,000, where longs have been trapped since 19 May, so we expect more resistance at this level. A confirmation of the breakout, by BTC retesting $34,500-$36,000, could provide buying opportunities for those who missed out.
Downside Risk
While the aforementioned analysts focused on bitcoins resistance and potential buying opportunities, other market observers commented on how the digital currency could suffer further losses.
Julius de Kempenaer, senior technical analyst at StockCharts.com, spoke to this.
BTC is still in its trading range and, as a matter of fact, BTC seems to be respecting the technical boundaries of that trading range ($30k-$42k) fairly well so far, he said.
Unless we see a clear break above that upper boundary, the risk now seems to be the downside again.
Jason Lau, COO of cryptocurrency exchange Okcoin, also weighed in.
Bitcoin's been stuck in this range for the past few months and resistance at the $42k level was expected, he noted.
Bitcoin last hit this range in mid June and fell 30% the following week, Lau emphasized.
Key metrics around BTC futures and premiums look similar to the last time, he said.
BTC futures open interest has rebounded in past few days, but at similar levels to mid June.
Since 7/31, BTC futures funding rates have turned positive, having been mostly negative for the past few weeks. Again, we are now at similar levels to mid June.
Looking ahead, we would need to see a clean price break above $42,000, along with a strong uptick in BTC futures funding rates, before we can confirm a breakout of the range, said Lau.
Disclosure: I own some bitcoin, bitcoin cash, litecoin, ether and EOS.
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Where Are Bitcoin Prices Headed After Their Latest Pullback? - Forbes
Bitcoin Drops After Posting Biggest Weekly Gain in Three Months – Yahoo Finance
(Bloomberg) --
Bitcoin pulled back to around $40,000 after climbing over the weekend to the highest levels since May.
The largest cryptocurrency fell about 4.8% to $39,280 as of 8:42 a.m. in New York after dropping as much as 5.6% Monday. Other virtual coins including second-ranked Ether also fell. Analysts suggested profit-taking lay behind the declines.
This is just a normal pullback following bullish action, said Vijay Ayyar, head of Asia Pacific with crypto exchange Luno in Singapore.
The declines put Bitcoin back in the top end of a $30,000 to $40,000 trading range thats been in place since a cryptocurrency rout in May. It touched $42,605 on Sunday, the highest since May. It rallied almost 20% last week, the biggest increase in three months.
The token has been helped in recent weeks by supportive comments from billionaire Elon Musk and Ark Investment Management LLCs Cathie Wood, as well as speculation over Amazon.com Inc.s possible involvement in the cryptocurrency sector.
At the same time, scrutiny of the industry is intensifying. That includes a push by U.S. legislators for stricter rules on cryptocurrency investors to collect more taxes to fund a portion of a planned $550 billion investment into transportation and power systems.
Crypto traders are also awaiting a software upgrade expected this week to the Ethereum network. It could boost Ethers price by trimming the pace at which the tokens supply grows.
(Updates prices in second paragraph.)
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Bitcoin Drops After Posting Biggest Weekly Gain in Three Months - Yahoo Finance
From the Senate’s infrastructure bill proposal to record trading volume for NFTs: 5 key things that happened in crypto this past week – CNBC
Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency by market value, extended its rally into the weekend. It surpassed $42,000 on Sunday, which was its highest since May. But its price since leveled, and as of Monday morning, is trading at around $39,800.
Bitcoin's moves aren't the only things happening in crypto right now. From the Senate's infrastructure bill proposal to a record trading volume for NFTs, or nonfungible tokens, here are five key things that happened in crypto this past week.
This past week, Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., doubled down on her calls for more crypto regulation.
On July 26, Warren sent a letter to Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen pressing the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC) to coordinate a "cohesive regulatory strategy" surrounding cryptocurrency. "I urge FSOC to act with urgency and use its statutory authority to address cryptocurrencies' risks and ensure the safety and stability of our financial system."
Warren also spoke during the Senate Banking Committee hearing on Tuesday titled "Cryptocurrencies: What are they good for?" There, she continued her critique of the space. "Crypto puts the [financial] system at the whims of some shadowy, faceless group of super-coders and miners," Warren said.
On Wednesday, Warren told CNBC's "Squawk Box" that she's skeptical bitcoin will prove to be a reliable hedge against inflation over time.
Last week, the Senate's bipartisan infrastructure bill proposal sparked concern within the crypto community after a provision of the package detailed plans to impose stricter rules regarding tax collection on "digital assets."
Initially, the bill defined a cryptocurrency "broker" very broadly, and many worried that the provision would include people like miners who wouldn't have access to the information needed to comply.
On Sunday, however, the Senate released its latest version of the bill, which clarified its definition. If passed, the provision would define a "broker" as "any person who (for consideration) is responsible for regularly providing any service effectuating transfers of digital assets on behalf of another person."
Still, the Blockchain Association urges for more changes. "While some minor improvements have been made, the latest language still poses fundamental concerns and questions about certain terms and definitions used in the provision," Kristin Smith, executive director of the Blockchain Association, said in a statement. "[T]his provision is written in a way that could be interpreted to apply to persons in the crypto ecosystem who don't have access to the information required for information reporting."
The latest draft of the infrastructure bill includes raising nearly $30 billion from cracking down on crypto tax evasion.
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From the Senate's infrastructure bill proposal to record trading volume for NFTs: 5 key things that happened in crypto this past week - CNBC
Celsius CEO still sees Bitcoin finishing the year between $140-160K – Yahoo Finance
Celsisus CEO Alex Mashinsky joins Yahoo Finance to discuss the latest in cryptocurrency and why he believes Bitcoin's value will more than triple to end the year.
ADAM SHAPIRO: We got to turn our attention to what's going on in the crypto corner because Bitcoin is trading lower right now but look, it's not far off of the $40,000 mark. But let's talk about what's going to happen in a greater context with crypto and we're going to do that with Alex Mashinsky. He is the CEO of Celsius. And the potential for crypto to be used on different platforms to pay for stuff, not necessarily a pure-play to just buy the crypto coin but to use it do you see that taking on greater relevance?
ALEX MASHINSKY: So crypto's main purpose is a store value, right? It is not an exceptional form of payment I think the dollar is the opposite, right? It's an exceptional form of payment but not very good store of value. So I think there are many, many other cryptocurrencies or digital assets that serve that purpose better. Mostly, Stablecoins and other forms of digital assets. So I don't think you want to take this pristine asset and try to use it to clean the windows or do something else with it. It is very good for one thing, store of value and that's what you should be using it for.
SEANA SMITH: Alex, we're looking at a chart here of Bitcoin right now, it's trading just below $40,000. I guess what do you think is going to be that next catalyst to get it above $40,000? We were briefly there last week, although it didn't hold for too long.
ALEX MASHINSKY: Yeah, so earlier this year I talked about it kind of resisting going below $29,000 and we've seen a big jump since. And I think we are hitting some resistance here in the 40,000 to 45,000 levels. And there is not a lot of resistance above that. So I think we're going to consolidate here and then break to new highs. I still stand by my prediction that this year we will see anywhere between $140,000 and $160,000 per Bitcoin.
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ADAM SHAPIRO: I think there are a lot of people cheering what you just said. Your platform, Celsius, deals with so many people who we refer to as the unbanked. Are they going to be able to get in on this, they can via the platform can't they?
ALEX MASHINSKY: Yeah, so most of what we do is enable the average person to earn a yield on their digital assets. We have almost a million customers in 170 countries, just over $17 billion in assets in total assets and we generate yield, we pay 8.8% on Stablecoins for example. So that's 30 to 40 times more than your bank pays you and we pay 6.2% on your Bitcoin.
So what Celsius does better than anyone else is give you that yield, give you that return on your capital. And we do it in three buckets, one is again, Stablecoins, we have 12 different forms of Stablecoins, three different forms of gold. So you can now earn 5.5% gold on gold or you can venture and choose between 32 different digital assets like Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin, and so on. Those are the unique things that Celsius does better than anyone else.
SEANA SMITH: What about the infrastructure bill because it does include new crypto regulations for revenue? I guess do you view this as a headwind or how big of a challenge could this potentially be to crypto going forward?
ALEX MASHINSKY: Look, for those of us who pay taxes and report all of our transactions nothing in that legislation is new or different. I think Treasury and some of the other departments are trying to make sure that they collect all the taxes that are due. And at Celsius, for example, you do get a 1099 at the end of the year that tells you exactly how much you earned in yield and you do have to pay taxes on that. So I don't see-- there's no impact to us and we've been following regulation, we've been doing KYC and AML services since 2017. So none of these new regulatory requirements make any difference. And I think clarity on the regulatory side is a very good thing, it's a positive.
Now I heard some people talk about mining and how it's going to impact mining. Celsius has over $200 million invested in mining. We're one of the largest miners in North America and I can tell you that this new regulation does not hamper or slow down any of our activities. We do have to report income, we're going to pay taxes on it. And we're happy to do it running a profitable business.
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Celsius CEO still sees Bitcoin finishing the year between $140-160K - Yahoo Finance
Will Bitcoin Ever Run Out? – Yahoo Finance
Sheldon Cooper/SOPA Images/Shutterstock
Bitcoin has been around since 2009, but its only been the last few years where its been on the map of the average investor. Thats likely due to the fact that the price of Bitcoin has absolutely exploded. Even after dropping over 50% from its high in 2021, Bitcoin is still up over 250% over the last year, and over 32,500% since 2014. Whereas lots of investors have gotten excited over the prospect of becoming rich by investing in Bitcoin, not many people fully understand exactly what Bitcoin is or how it works. For example, you may have heard that the total number of Bitcoin allowed to exist is limited. But, how is that possible, and what does it mean? Will Bitcoin ever run out?
Check Out: What Is the Next Big Cryptocurrency To Explode in 2021?Consider: Is the Shiba Inu Coin the Cryptocurrency You Should Be Watching?
Heres a quick overview of how Bitcoin is produced, how it can be limited and what it all means for the future of the cryptocurrency.
While the mechanics of the operations can get a bit confusing, Bitcoin is produced by miners, but electronic miners rather than physical miners. The way it works is that Bitcoin miners record transactions on the blockchain, which is a decentralized ledger. To record a transaction, miners must solve complex algorithms using massive computer power. Once a transaction is recorded, which occurs about every 10 minutes on average, the miner is rewarded with Bitcoin. Currently, the reward for miners is 6.25 Bitcoin, but this amount is halved every four years. In 2009, when Bitcoin was first developed, the reward was 50 Bitcoin. Its estimated that the next halving will be in 2024, when the reward will drop to 3.125 Bitcoin.
Learn More: Where Does Cryptocurrency Come From?
Under the mining system, it might seem like there would be no limit to the amount of Bitcoin that could be produced. However, the way its source code is written, there can be no more Bitcoin produced once 21 million coins are in the system. The way the mining system is set up means that the final Bitcoin wont be mined until about 2140, however. So, although the production rate will slow, there will still be new Bitcoin coming online for over 100 years.
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See: If You Invested $1,000 in These Cryptocurrencies a Year Ago, Heres How Much Youd Have Now
Bitcoin will never run out, as there have already been over 18 million Bitcoin mined and there will ultimately be 21 million in the system. However, the introduction of new supply will eventually stop. This is one of the reasons Bitcoin bulls aggressively tout the cryptocurrency. In their opinion, increasing demand for Bitcoin will eventually overcome the limited supply, thereby driving up prices exponentially.
This could prove true, as more and more businesses and even countries are beginning to accept Bitcoin as a valid form of currency. El Salvador, for example, became the first country to accept Bitcoin as legal tender on June 9. However, the future demand for Bitcoin is still far from certain, which is part of the reason there are such wild swings in its price.
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Last updated: July 29, 2021
This article originally appeared on GOBankingRates.com: Will Bitcoin Ever Run Out?
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Will Bitcoin Ever Run Out? - Yahoo Finance
Bitcoin History: A Beginners Guide to the Worlds First Cryptocurrency – Gadgets 360
Bitcoin rallied to an all-time high in April and brought a windfall to early investors. Those who had not invested in it until then began seeing a hope that they could pump their wealth securely and rapidly. But the early investments were also risky, as not much was known about digital assets then. However, those risk-takers were rewarded handsomely. That brought unmatched popularity to Bitcoin, which already had the distinction of being the world's oldest cryptocurrency. And despite being a volatile currency, it appears to have stabilised around $40,000 (roughly Rs. 29.7 lakhs), at least for now. Let's have a look at Bitcoin's more than a decade-long journey.
How and when was Bitcoin created?
There was a lot of mystery around Bitcoin after it was first proposed in 2008, the most prominent being its creator: Satoshi Nakamoto, a pseudonymous person whose real identity is still unknown. Nakamoto posted a paper, entitled Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System, on a mailing list on cryptography. This attracted a lot of attention and a huge discussion ensued about it. Bitcoin price in India stood at Rs. 29.18 lakhs as of 7pm IST on August 2.
In 2009, the Bitcoin software was made available to the public. Its mining, the process through which new Bitcoins are created and transacted on the blockchain, began.
The valuation of Bitcoin took place the next year. Until then, Bitcoin was only mined, nobody had traded it so the real value of the coin was undetermined. On May 22, 2010, programmer Laszlo Hanyecz traded 10,000 Bitcoins to buy two pizzas. Had he controlled his pizza craving, those Bitcoins would have been worth $389 million (roughly Rs. 2,890 crores) today. A least the episode gave us the "Bitcoin Pizza Day".
In 2011, the dominance of whatever market Bitcoin had captured by then was first challenged. Some alternatives to Bitcoin such as Namecoin and Litecoin began emerging. These rival coins offered improved services like better transaction speed, among some other claims. Today, there are more than 11,000 cryptocurrencies in circulation, according to CoinMarketCap, a market research website.
Bitcoin's middle years
These years were some of the most volatile periods in Bitcoin's history. In 2013, three years after Bitcoin was first valued, its price crashed for the first time. Bitcoin had breached the $1,000 (roughly Rs. 74,380) mark by then, but the price began to quickly slide to around $300 (roughly Rs. 22,310). In January 2014, the world's largest Bitcoin exchange, Mt.Gox, suddenly went offline. With it, 850,000 Bitcoins too vanished and those who owned them never found out what happened to their Bitcoins. On 20 March 2014, Mt. Gox reported that it found 199999.99 Bitcoins in an old digital wallet, which brought the total number of bitcoins the firm lost down to 650,000, from 850,000. Investigation into the matter is still on.
In 2015, Bitcoins regained the $1,000(roughly Rs. 74,380) value again. The next year, Ethereum posed a serious threat to Bitcoin's market leadership. However, Bitcoin had gained so much popularity that by 2017 it was getting closer to the $10,000 (roughly Rs. 7.4 lakhs)mark. More people were joining the ecosystem and putting money into it. This year, the market cap of all cryptocurrency coins rose from $11 billion (roughly Rs. 81,820 crores) to over $300 billion (roughly Rs. 22,31,640 crores). Ethereum price in India stood at Rs. 1.9 lakhs as of 7pm IST on August 2.
Bitcoin now
At the start of 2018, Bitcoin price again crashed and it lost more than 80 percent of its value as several countries took steps to tighten regulatory oversight around cryptocurrency. Even in India, the RBI issued a note to regulate banks from trading or facilitating cryptocurrency transactions. Also this year, one of the biggest cryptocurrency heists took place. The BitConnect scam siphoned off $2 billion (roughly Rs.14,880 crores)by duping investors.
The year 2019 started off quiet. But Bitcoin neared $8,000 (roughly Rs. 5.9 lakhs) by May. Then it lost nearly $1,000(roughly Rs. 74,380) in June only to reach $14,000 (roughly Rs. 10.4 lakhs)by July. This year was relatively good for Bitcoin. The next year, the pandemic year, Bitcoin was still considered a fringe investment by the likes of Warren Buffet, who said it has no value. By the end of the year, however, Bitcoin nearly quadrupled, reaching an all-time high above $28,000 (roughly Rs. 20.8 lakhs). The Supreme Court of India set the RBI circular aside on cryptocurrency in May 2020.
This year, Bitcoin has had a roller-coaster ride so far. During the initial months, it had the backing of the tech tycoon Elon Musk, who later began supporting Dogecoin after environmentalists raised concern about Bitcoin mining driving up energy consumption. Dogecoin price in India stood at Rs. 15.11 as of 7pm IST on August 2. After reaching its lifetime high of $65,000 (roughly Rs. 48.3 lakhs), Bitcoin crashed massively in May. It has now recovered to some extent and was trading around $40,000(roughly Rs. 29.7 lakhs) on Monday, August 2.
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Bitcoin History: A Beginners Guide to the Worlds First Cryptocurrency - Gadgets 360
Panic Is Suddenly Spreading Among Bitcoin, Ethereum, BNB, XRP And Dogecoin Traders Even As The Market Soars Toward A $1.7 Trillion Price – Forbes
Bitcoin and cryptocurrency prices have soared this weekend, with the bitcoin price making significant gains over $40,000 (subscribe now toForbes'CryptoAsset & Blockchain Advisor and discover crypto blockbusters poised for 1,000% gains).
The bitcoin price climbed to almost $43,000 per bitcoin last night, its highest since mid-May and almost $10,000 higher than its price this time last week. Meanwhile, the ethereum price has led the cryptocurrency market higher over the last 24 hours, with traders eyeing $3,000 per ether token. The combined crypto market has added $250 billion over the last week and is now nearing $1.7 trillion.
However, many crypto traders are feeling increasingly nervous due to the $550 billion bipartisan infrastructure bill that's currently making its way through U.S. legislature and includes a provision to raise $28 billion from crypto investors, with some warning it could "kill" the industry.
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The bitcoin price has bounced over the last week, boosting the price of ethereum, Binance's BNB, ... [+] cardano, XRP and dogecoin even as fears grow over a proposed U.S. crypto industry crackdown.
"This is a deeply misguided provision that, if adopted, will do far more harm than good to U.S. interests," Jake Chervinsky, a crypto-focused lawyer, wrote in a lengthy Twitter thread laying out how the bill could impact the burgeoning crypto industry and market.
The bill, which this week passed a preliminary Senate vote, proposes taxing bitcoin and cryptocurrency profits to fund U.S. infrastructure investment, with the definition of a broker being widened to the extent that crypto exchanges and wallet providers would need to collect far more information about their users than they currently do.
Any broker that transfers any digital assets would need to file a return under a modified information reporting regime, according to a draft copy of the bill seen by Coindesk.
"The provision includes updating the definition of broker to reflect the realities of how digital assets are acquired and traded," the document said. "The provision further makes clear that broker-to-broker reporting applies to all transfers of covered securities within the meaning of section 6045(g)(3), including digital assets."
"Things are moving fast, which can feel scary," wrote Chervinsky, adding "don't panic. This provision isn't final yet and still can be changed."
Chervinsky warned that "it defies logic to adopt a regulation for which compliance is literally impossible, unless the goal is to kill the industry," and "this could mean a de facto ban on [crypto] mining in the USA."
Since China's bitcoin and cryptocurrency mining crackdown in recent monthsin which those who use powerful computers to secure blockchains and validate transactions in return for new crypto tokens were expelled from the countrythe U.S. has emerged as a potential new home for many.
However, lawmakers who fear bitcoin and crypto mining could accelerate climate change have signaled they're unhappy with the industry's U.S. growth.
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The bitcoin price has added around 20% over the last month after finding a floor at $30,000 per ... [+] bitcoin. The wider crypto market, including ethereum, Binance's BNB, XRP, cardano, and dogecoin, have also climbed.
Bitcoin and crypto experts are warning the language used in the bill risks broadening definitions of brokers to the extent it includes those that provide hardware and software.
"Unfortunately, in the drafts, weve seen the categories of persons who would be obligated to report is so broad that it potentially covers persons who only provide software or hardware to customers, and who have no visibility whatsoever into user transactions," Jerry Brito, the executive director of Washington D.C.-based crypto think tank Coin Center said via Twitter, adding he was trying to "fix" the bill's crypto provision.
"It potentially also covers miners indexes, the saving grace is that arguably miners indexes for that matter do not have customers as defined by the tax code."
Bitcoin price touches $40,000 – Fox Business
Miami Mayor Francis Suarez on using cryptocurrency to expand the city's economy and its potential impact on residents.
Bitcoin crossed the $40,000 plateu late Tuesday night, before a slight pullback.
Early Wednesday morning Bitcoin was up more than 6%.
The price was around $39,7500 per coin, while rivals Ethereum and Dogecoin were trading around $2,300 and 20 cents per coin, respectively, according to Coindesk.
Bitcoins mining difficulty may be set to increase for the first time since Chinas crackdown on crypto mining in May, according to Coindesk.
MAYOR SUAREZ ON MIAMICOIN LAUNCH, SAYS CITY IS FOCUSED ON DIFFERENTIATING OUR ECONOMY
Being blamed are the rapid expansion of mining facilities in North America and the return of Chinese miners through overseas hosting sites.
Mining difficulty is a metric to describe how hard it is to mine a block and get rewards in bitcoin.
An increase in mining difficulty requires a miner to use more computing power to earn bitcoin, which reduces the miners profit margin.
Miami Mayor Francis Suarez discussed MiamiCoin, the citys newest cryptocurrency initiative, during an appearance on "Varney & Co." on Tuesday. The mayor says the city is focused on differentiating its economy by creating the new wave of technological products.
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Suarez calls Miami the bitcoin capital of the world.
"The City of Miami could end up earning millions of dollars as a result of the popularity of MiamiCoin," Suarez said. "We're focusing on differentiating our economy by creating the new wave of technological products that will incentivize people to move to Miami and be part of our tech ecosystem".
Whenever a MiamiCoin is mined, a percentage of the coin by virtue of the programing goes to the City of Miami.
Miami hosted the 2021 Bitcoin conference last month.
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Bitcoin Hits Key Level Not Seen Since May Amid Wood, Musk Boost – Bloomberg
- Bitcoin Hits Key Level Not Seen Since May Amid Wood, Musk Boost Bloomberg
- Jack Dorsey says bitcoin will be a big part of Twitters future TechCrunch
- 'I might pump but I dont dump': Elon Musk says he plans to hold bitcoin long-termhere's why that could be a good strategy CNBC
- Elon Musk Still A Bitcoin 'Supporter': 'I Own Bitcoin, Tesla Owns Bitcoin, SpaceX Owns Bitcoin' Forbes
- Musk says SpaceX holds bitcoin, Tesla 'likely' to resume accepting it Financial Times
- View Full Coverage on Google News
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Bitcoin Hits Key Level Not Seen Since May Amid Wood, Musk Boost - Bloomberg
Bye-bye, bitcoin: It’s time to ban cryptocurrencies | TheHill – The Hill
Ive never quite understood why cryptocurrencies are worth anything. Of course, the untraceable payments are worth a lot to ransomware hackers, cyber criminals and money launderers. But dollars, euros and yen are backed by nations respective treasuries. If someone invents a cryptocurrency, any value is based solely on convincing others it has value. But is it a usable means of exchange? International banking officials say cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin are speculative assets, not sustainable, usable money.
Yet the epidemic of hugely disruptive ransomware attacks in recent months on JBS Foods, a major meat processor; on Colonial Pipelines, our critical infrastructure, causing gasoline shortages for weeks; and on 1,000 or more U.S. businesses on July 4 highlights the enormous risks. Moreover, hundreds of small towns, hospitals, school districts and small businesses have been hit by the ransomware epidemic all enabled by cryptocurrencies.
How should governments respond? Besieged with cyberattacks, the Biden administration has been struggling with this question of cybersecurity with few clear answers. Cyber offense still seems to beat cyber defense.
As the eminent economic analyst Martin Wolf outlined in a recent Financial Times essay, the risks and chaos of a wild world of unstable private money is a libertarian fantasy. According to a recent Federal Reserve paper, there are already some 8,000 cryptocurrencies. Its a new mom-and-pop cottage industry.
How should governments respond? Wolf argues that central banks (e.g., the U.S. Federal Reserve) should create their own official digital currencies central bank digital currencies (CBDC) and make cryptocurrencies illegal.
Ive been asking the same question: Who needs cryptocurrencies? Apart from the nasty uses and wild speculative value swings, data mining to produce bitcoin is a serious environmental hazard, using huge amounts of electricity by rows and rows of computers.
Governments should guarantee safe, stable and usable money. Already, according to the Atlantic Council GeoEconomics Center'sCBDC Tracker, 81 countries representing 90 percent of worldgross domestic product are at various stages of researching and exploring the adoption digital currencies.
The four largest central banks the European Central Bank, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan and the U.S. Federal Reserve are all exploring CBDCs, though the U.S. lags behind. Meanwhile, China is already digitizing its currency, the RMB, and allowing foreign visitors to use it for payments. Though China is still a long way from having an international reserve currency to rival the dollar, its digitized RMB is a step in that direction.
Nonetheless, caution is well advised, as there are important, complex issues that must be sorted out before launching an official digital currency. These issues include equity: Should the digital dollar be available to all or just used for certain business transactions? I would argue it must be for all. Should a U.S. CBDC augment cash or totally replace it, and would there be a transition period? Then there is the impact on private banks: Should individuals have bank accounts with the Fed rather than private banks? What should be the relation between private banks and the Fed with regard to currency? Should businesses have digital wallets? How would international payments work?
And not least, there is the question of privacy and surveillance. A digitized dollar would likely make it hard to dodge taxes with untraceable cash. But just how traceable would the public and Congress accept a CBDC to become? Would the fact of a CBDC making transactions safer, faster and cheaper be worth some trade-off?
Then there is the question of whether the worlds major powers would cooperate in outlawing cryptocurrencies and reach agreement on rules and regulations of CBDCs. China, always with an eye on control, has indicated skepticism, if not disdain, toward cryptocurrencies. Indeed, that was one driver in Beijings swift move to digitize the RMB. This could be an area of U.S.-China cooperation worth exploring.
If China were on board, the possibility of a U.N. Security Council resolution to ban cryptocurrencies could be in the cards. That would be a foundation for taking the issue to the Group of 20 to make it a global norm.
For now, there are a whole lot more questions than answers. But the insidious new industry of cyber hacking and ransomware is an unacceptable disruptive threat to American economic security. It is a problem that is growing, not subsiding. And the proliferation of do-it-yourself digital currencies is a serious and bad omen for global financial stability.
Yet amid an international order that is fraying and fragmenting, its an open question whether such threats are enough to catalyze sufficient international cooperation. But I suspect that with a little U.S. leadership, jump-starting financial diplomacy would go a long way. Certainly, its a good test for President BidenJoe BidenTrump hails Arizona Senate for audit at Phoenix rally, slams governor Republicans focus tax hike opposition on capital gains change Biden on hecklers: 'This is not a Trump rally. Let 'em holler' MOREs efforts to align democracies.
Robert A. Manning is a senior fellow of the Brent Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security at the Atlantic Council. He was a senior counselor to the undersecretary of State for global affairs from 2001 to 2004, a member of the U.S. Department of State policy planning staff from 2004 to 2008 and on the National Intelligence Council strategic futures group from 2008 to 2012. Follow him on Twitter @Rmanning4.
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Bye-bye, bitcoin: It's time to ban cryptocurrencies | TheHill - The Hill