Category Archives: Bitcoin

Bitcoin analyst says supply shock underway as BTC withdrawal rate spikes to one-year high – Cointelegraph

As Bitcoin (BTC) continues trading sideways inside the $30,000$40,000 range, new data is emerging about the potential for a bullish breakout.

Willy Woo, an on-chain analyst, anticipatesa potential supply shock in the Bitcoin market, as long-term holders continued raking BTC supply from short-term ones. Woo stated in his Friday newsletter that the process might push more Bitcoin out of circulation.

The analyst referred to the ratio of Bitcoin held by strong hands versus weak hands also known as Bitcoin Supply Ratio noting that the former is actively absorbing selling pressure from whales who have been dumping their crypto holdings since February.

It reminds me of the supply shock that went by unnoticed by the market in Q4 2020, wrote Woo. Pundits were debating whether BTC was an inflation hedge in a post-COVID world when the data was pointing to long term investors stacking BTC at a fast pace.

Glassnode, another on-chain data analytics service, also boosted Bitcoins booming adoption prospects. The portal revealed that the Bitcoin network has been onboarding an average of 32,000 new users every day, which is a new high for 2021.

The Bitcoin Network User Growth metric last topped in January 2018, hitting approximately 40,000 before correcting lower alongside the prices. It showed that new users stopped coming to the Bitcoin network as its price crashed from the $20,000 top in January 2018 to as low as $3,200 in December 2020.

This is not the structure we are experiencing right now, explained Woo. New users are taking this opportunity to buy the dip; theyre coming in at the highest rate seen in 2021.

Bitcoin is currently stuck below $34,000 at publishing time, up 17.52% from its previous bottom level of $28,800 on June 22.

Meanwhile, Petr Kozyakov, co-founder and CEO of crypto-enabled payment network Mercuryo, believes that Ether (ETH) may steal the limelight from Bitcoin in the near term as the London hard fork approaches.

The proposed launch of the London Hard Fork upgrade and the ultimate migration to Ethereum 2.0 is helping to renew investors confidence, he added. Once the hype settles, Bitcoin could move up to $50,000 in the short-to-medium term perspective.

Data analytics firm CryptoQuant reported earlier Tuesday that Bitcoins net outflow transaction count from spot exchanges crossed the 60,000-mark for the first time in a year. Meanwhile, the total number of Bitcoin deposits to spot exchanges wallets decreased to below 20,000.

The BTC withdrawal rate jumped in the period that also saw regulators increasing their scrutiny over cryptocurrency trading platforms. For instance, the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) hasbanned Binance the worlds largest cryptocurrency exchange by volume from operating regulated activity in the country without the prior written consent.

On Monday, Barclays notified its clients that they could no longer transfer funds to Binance, citing the FCAs order. However, the London-based bank said clients could withdraw funds from Binance to their banking accounts.

Earlier on Tuesday, the Peoples Bank of China also took action against a local company for allegedly trading cryptocurrencies on the side of their regular business activities. Beijing had effectively prohibited all kinds of cryptocurrency-related activities in May, effectively forcing the worlds largest crypto mining community in its regions to either shut down or move their operations abroad.

Generally, a run-up in Bitcoin withdrawal rates is seen as traders intention to hold the cryptocurrency instead of trading it for other assets, including rival cryptocurrencies and fiat money. Therefore, with overall BTC withdrawals hitting a one-year high, expectations remain higher as Bitcoin is preparing for another upside run on the so-called hodling sentiment.

But the total Bitcoin reserves held by exchanges have remained relatively stable since May, indicating that the latest spike in withdrawals has had little impact on the overall exchange balance as of Wednesday.

Its worth noting that exchanges BTC balances can differ greatly based on their geographical dominance.

For instance, trading platforms having association with China and Chinese traders reported declines in their Bitcoin balances. They include Binance, whose BTC reserves dropped by7,214.97units in the last week, and Huobi, which processed withdrawals of4,398.63BTC in the same timeframe. OKEx BTC balances dropped by a mere1,357.53BTC.

However, United States-based Kraken added6,751.98BTC to its vaults, the highest among the non-Chinese exchanges, in the previous seven days, while Coinbases reserves increased by 168.88 BTC.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Bitcoin analyst says supply shock underway as BTC withdrawal rate spikes to one-year high - Cointelegraph

Sen. Pat Toomey Invested in Bitcoin, Ethereum After Advocating for Less Crypto Regulation – Barron’s

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Sen. Pat Toomey, who recently pushed for less-burdensome cryptocurrency regulations, has disclosed investments in Bitcoin and Ethereum.

The Pennsylvania Republican, the ranking member on the Senate Banking Committee, invested a total of as much as $30,000 in Grayscale Ethereum Trust (ticker: ETHE) and Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC). According to a disclosure Toomey filed Wednesday with the Senate Office of Public Records, he invested between $1,001 and $15,000 in each of the trusts on June 14.

On June 10, the senator wrote to Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen to raise concerns regarding recent proposals to regulate cryptocurrency transactions. Toomey noted that the proposals would have a detrimental impact on financial technology, the fundamental privacy of Americans, and efforts to combat illicit activity. He urged significant revisions to them.

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Toomeys office didnt immediately respond to requests for comment. It wasnt immediately clear if Toomey made the investments himself, or if they were made by a third-party advisor.

Toomeys cryptocurrency investments are his first on record; his annual financial report for 2019, the latest available, shows no crypto holdings.

The senator has met with cryptocurrency lobbyists as recently as 2019. Also that year, Toomey spoke against cracking down on Facebooks (FB) cryptocurrency plans.

Grayscale notes on its site that the Ethereum trust has rocketed 860% in the latest 12 months, while the Bitcoin trust has surged 260% in that time. The single-asset products are designed to track the market prices of Ethereum and Bitcoin, respectively.

Toomey said last year that he doesnt plan to run for re-election in 2022, setting up a scramble in Pennsylvania for his seat.

Inside Scoop is a regular Barrons feature covering stock transactions by corporate executives and board membersso-called insidersas well as large shareholders, politicians, and other prominent figures. Due to their insider status, these investors are required to disclose stock trades with the Securities and Exchange Commission or other regulatory groups.

Write to Ed Lin at edward.lin@barrons.com and follow @BarronsEdLin.

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Sen. Pat Toomey Invested in Bitcoin, Ethereum After Advocating for Less Crypto Regulation - Barron's

Defense Ministry starts seizing Bitcoin being used by Hamas – The Times of Israel

The Defense Ministry says it has begun taking control of digital wallets being used by the Hamas terror group that contain virtual currencies from overseas donations.

Defense Minister Benny Gantz approved the seizure of a series of digital wallets on June 30 after a joint operation uncovered a web of electronic wallets used by Hamas to raise funds using Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, the ministry said.

The stockpiles of cryptocurrency were being operated from the Gaza Strip and have been part of Hamas efforts to raise funds from abroad following its bruising 11-day conflict with Israel in May.

In addition to Bitcoin, the Defense Ministry has succeeded in seizing such payments made in other digital currencies, including XRP, Ethereum, Tether and joke crypto Dogecoin, in accordance with the 2016 Counter-Terrorism Law.

The intelligence, technological and legal tools that enable us to get our hands on terrorists money around the world constitute an operational breakthrough, Gantz was quoted as saying in the statement.

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Noa Moshiach, the CEO of the Israeli Bitcoin Association, said that the news proves the safety of digital currencies.

Israel Bitcoin Association CEO Noa Mashiah. (Ricky Rachman)

The seizure and forfeiture of Hamass donations proves that Bitcoin is a safe currency, said Moshiach. Criminals who make use of this financial system will find out the hard way that the open transaction log, the blockchain, will expose them and allow law enforcement agencies to act against them.

Moshiach said the seizure marks a significant improvement over the anti-money laundering ban and also over international bank accounts hidden behind a bank secrecy wall. The news only further proves that Israeli regulators should adopt and use Bitcoin and other digital currencies, as it makes it possible to expose the bad and do good with the good.

Omri Segev Moyal, CEO of the cyber crisis company Profero, said the digital footprint of such currency trading exchanges allows for security operatives to swoop in.

Once you go beyond the boundaries of the blockchain to the worlds of trading platforms, you immediately lose anonymity and then, as in the present case, states and law enforcement agencies are able to locate and freeze the currencies of criminal and terrorist organizations, said Moyal.

In addition, when the network is completely exposed, you can very accurately track the trajectory of the coins and locate their final destination.

A Palestinian Hamas government employee signs to receive 60 percent of their long-overdue salary while others wait in the queue, at the main Gaza Post Office, in Gaza City, on November 9, 2018. (Adel Hana/AP)

In 2019, Hamas issued an appeal for donations from supporters via Bitcoin to help counter its financial woes. Months later, it launched an experimental program using a complex cryptocurrency system to raise money from international donors.

Last year, the United States Justice Department said it had seized millions of dollars from cryptocurrency accounts that terrorist groups, including al-Qaida and the Islamic State, relied on to finance their organizations and violent plots. Law enforcement officials said they seized more than 150 cryptocurrency accounts at the time that laundered funds to and from accounts operated by Hamas.

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

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Defense Ministry starts seizing Bitcoin being used by Hamas - The Times of Israel

Legality of bitcoin by country or territory – Wikipedia

Belarus Legal

The Decree On the Development of Digital Economy the decree of Alexander Lukashenko, the President of the Republic of Belarus, which includes measures to liberalize the conditions for conducting business in the sphere of high technologies.

The provisions of the decree "On the Development of Digital Economy" create of a legal basis for the circulation of digital currencies and tokens based on blockchain technology, so that resident companies of the High-Tech Park can provide the services of stock markets and exchange offices with cryptocurrencies and attract financing through the ICO. For legal entities, the Decree confers the rights to create and place their own tokens, carry out transactions through stock markets and exchange operators; to individuals the Decree gives the right to engage in mining, to own tokens, to acquire and change them for Belarusian rubles, foreign currency and electronic money, and to bequeath them. Up to 1 Jan In 2023, the Decree excludes revenue and profits from operations with tokens from the taxable base. In relation to individuals, the acquisition and sale of tokens is not considered entrepreneurial activity, and the tokens themselves and income from transactions with them are not subject to declaration. The peculiarity of the introduced regulation is that all operations will have to be carried out through the resident companies of the High-Tech Park.

In addition, the decree includes:

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Legality of bitcoin by country or territory - Wikipedia

Why El Salvador Is Giving Every Citizen $30 in Bitcoin …

Bitcoin (CRYPTO:BTC) bears find it difficult to see how Bitcoin might be widely adopted in developed nations. After all, the developed world's modern financial infrastructure is fairly efficient, especially with fintech companies improving the system by the day.

Making things more difficult, Bitcoin is still highly volatile, as this year has shown, and double-digit-percentage daily moves are a regular occurrence. That makes it a dubious store of value or medium of exchange, versus more stable currencies such as the dollar.

Of course, not everyone lives in developed nations, and if you lived in hyperinflationary countries such as Yugoslavia in the early '90s, Zimbabwe in 2007-2008, or even Venezuela or Argentina in more recent years, Bitcoin may actually look like a pretty attractive option.

In that spirit, one developing nation is currently pulling out all the stops to make Bitcoin an alternative legal currency. The most recent step includes giving away $30 in Bitcoin to all adult citizens.

El Salvador is giving away bitcoin to its citizens. Image source: Getty Images.

There is, perhaps, no head of state more enthusiastic about Bitcoin than Nayib Bukele, the young and recently elected president of El Salvador. At a recent Bitcoin conference, Bukele said he would push the legislature to make Bitcoin a legal tender in El Salvador. The Salvadoran Congress followed through on the promise shortly thereafter.

Now, Bukele and El Salvadoran officials are taking things a step further, offering every citizen 18 and older $30 in Bitcoin, provided they open accounts with the government's official Bitcoin wallet called Chivo. Salvadorans will be able to transact in both Bitcoin and U.S. dollars through Chivo, once the Bitcoin law is implemented on Sept. 7.

In addition, El Salvador has hired Chicago-based company Athena to roll out 1,500 Bitcoin ATMs throughout the country. "Bitcoin ATMs" are portals where consumers can either buy Bitcoin with dollars or sell them for dollars. This is because only 45% of Salvadorans have internet access and 70% don't even have a bank account. So Bukele is not only establishing an alternative to the dollar, but also building out a more modern financial infrastructure.

It may be surprising that El Salvador is the first country to officially back Bitcoin and encourage its use as an alternative currency, since El Salvador uses the U.S. dollar and not its own currency, which may prove more vulnerable to hyperinflation.

El Salvador officially adopted the dollar in 2001 and phased out its prior currency shortly thereafter. This was because the country had an outsized trade relationship with the United States, which accounted for a majority of its exports.

Furthermore, after years of conflict and civil war in the 1980s and 1990s, many El Salvadorans emigrated to the U.S. Today, there are a huge number of remittances flowing into the country from the U.S. In 2016, remittances from the U.S. made up a whopping 17 percent of El Salvador's entire gross domestic product (GDP).

Fixed-fee crypto remittances have the potential to be faster and cheaper than existing alternatives, which can be costly and time-consuming. Beyond remittances, some local politicians believe the use of the dollar may be a cause of El Salvador's slower economic growth relative to some neighbors. Salvadoran officials may also desire more independence from U.S. influence, in general, since under the dollar, El Salvadoran economic outcomes are at least somewhat affected by the U.S. Federal Reserve and U.S. spending policies, which are out of its control.

Not everyone is on-board with this Bitcoin experiment, of course. The World Bank has declined to help with El Salvador's Bitcoin implementation, and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has also expressed concern over the program. That's important because El Salvador is in discussions with the IMF about a $1 billion loan program, so this Bitcoin gambit could complicate those talks.

Bulls and bears have a wide divergence of opinion on Bitcoin. Bears believe the cryptocurrency is worthless, but bulls like Cathie Wood believe the alternative currency could be worth up to $500,000 or more.

Whether or not Bitcoin has any value will likely be determined by its utility as a medium of exchange or store of value, and the El Salvador experiment could be a crucial proving ground for those two theoretical criteria. If El Salvador's experiment works, or at least doesn't cause severely adverse outcomes, it could be a big boost for the world's leading cryptocurrency. If the experiment fails, it would be a setback for Bitcoin adoption, and likely, its dollar value.

This summer, Bitcoin investors may want to take their focus off China's recent mining crackdown and focus instead on the relatively small country of El Salvador. The results of its landmark experiment could shape the trajectory of Bitcoin's value and standing in the world in the near to medium term.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the official recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium advisory service. Were motley! Questioning an investing thesis -- even one of our own -- helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer.

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Why China Is Cracking Down on Bitcoin – Voice of America

China in recent weeks has stepped up efforts to rein in the countrys cryptocurrency industry, banning crypto mining operations and ordering major banks not to do business with crypto companies.

The latest move came Tuesday as the government acted against a company for allegedly providing cryptocurrency-related services. The company's business registration was cancelled by the authorities, and all the financial and payments institutions are warned not to provide virtual currency-related services directly or indirectly.

Despite Bitcoins promise of being a decentralized cryptocurrency that is based everywhere and nowhere, about 65% of the world's Bitcoin mining takes place in China. Thats because a handful of powerful Chinese mining hubs embraced the worlds biggest cryptocurrency by competing against other miners to solve the computational puzzles that create more bitcoin.

The Chinese miners helped raise Bitcoins value by more than 1,000 percent in a year to an all-time high of nearly $65,000 in April. After the Chinese miners began shutting down their machines, the value plummeted, closing out the first half of the year down almost 50% from its record.

Volatility vs stability

Bitcoin is the most popular of numerous new cryptocurrencies, which are not backed by precious metals or government credit. Instead, its price reflects only speculation on its future value. As a young currency, it is considered a risky investment with highly volatile value. Over the past ten years, Bitcoin suffered four separate losses of at least 50%, something other sectors rarely experience.

While there could be a wide range of factors that prompted China's crackdown, one thing was made repeatedly very clear by authorities: Bitcoin's wild price moves are a threat to the nations economic and financial stability.

The government said cryptocurrencies disrupt economic order and that it will "resolutely prevent the transmission of individual risks to the wider society, according to the State Council's Financial Stability and Development Committee, which held a meeting chaired by Vice Premier Liu He, president Xi Jinping's top representative on economic and financial matters.

China first moved in 2013 to restrict its banks from using Bitcoin as currency, citing concerns its inherently speculative nature threatens the country's financial stability. Over the years, the government has become even more wary. Since May, Beijing moved to effectively shut down all crypto mining operations in the country. In late June, the central bank also required payment firms and banks shut down the accounts of individuals involved in crypto transactions.

"The Chinese state in my reading has a fine-grained control over fluctuations in markets for important goods and assets," said Isabella Weber, an assistant professor of economics at the University of Massachusetts Amherst.

Weber noted in an interview with VOA that China not only bails out stakeholders after financial bubbles burst, but the government actively tries to prevent bubbles from bursting in the first place. As a result, authorities are also very sensitive towards rapid speculative expansions and price hikes such as the one that occurred in the Bitcoin sector in recent months.

"Currently, there is growing concern around financial stability in China. In this context, the crackdown on cryptocurrency is an attempt to contain a potential source of instability," she added.

Ross Darrell Feingold, a lawyer and political risk analyst who advises clients doing business in Asia, told VOA that if a governments political legitimacy does not come from elections, then it needs to come from other sources such as economic achievements.

"This applies even more in China, where the party organization, alongside other stake holders such as government agencies, has a significant role in economic policy making," said Feingold.

The right to mint money

Although protecting Chinas economic growth is a primary concern of Beijing, analysts believe the deeper reason the government carried out the sudden crackdown on Bitcoin is that cryptocurrency fundamentally represents a threat to state monetary sovereignty.

Established in 2009 by an anonymous programmer known as Satoshi Nakamoto, Bitcoin by design has no central authority making policy choices that affect its value, unlike traditional fiat currencies issued by governments. Many cryptocurrency advocates tout the currencys purely market-driven value as superior to government-issued currencies that fluctuate with central banks monetary policy.

"Central banks globally likely view cryptocurrencies as a threat to fiat currencies," said Brendan Ahern, the Chief Investment Officer of Krane Shares, a China-focused provider of exchange-traded funds. "It's outside of their purview, their jurisdiction. Their ability to pull the levers within the economy is threatened by it," he added in a telephone interview with VOA.

In this view, the more popular Bitcoin becomes among a countrys citizens, the less power their government has to shape economic policies.

China first declared that Bitcoin was not a currency in the real meaning of the word in 2013 when the virtual currency was beginning to gain popularity. In its most recent move to restrict the use of Bitcoin as currency, the government further stated that Bitcoin is not a real currency and should not and cannot be used as currency in the market.

This points to the question about who has the right to issue money, said Weber, the author of book "How China Escaped Shock Therapy."

Weber pointed out that the desire of the state for monetary sovereignty is not uniquely Chinese: "Once this private currency evolves into something more than a fringe phenomenon, states that have the power to do so will tend to step in to reclaim its monopoly over the right to issue money."

In the case of China, however, the issue goes beyond mere economics because the governments political legitimacy is heavily reliant on the success of the countrys economic growth, said Zennon Kapron, founder of Kapronasia, a fintech research and consulting firm. "Any challenge to that economic stability and development, or the financial system that supports it, is similarly challenging for the political system," Kapron told VOA in an email.

Kapron believes crypto does little to further China's growth agenda and may even undermine it by keeping a form of value outside of the governments control. "It then becomes a relatively straightforward decision for the government and regulators to alienate the likely few million people in China that are involved with Crypto rather than risk upsetting the entire economic system."

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We Just Ripped The Pin Out Of The GrenadeRadical New Bitcoin Company Issues Stark Coinbase Price Warning – Forbes

Competition between bitcoin and cryptocurrency exchanges is heating up as millions of new users flock to crypto following huge price rises this year.

The bitcoin price, after soaring to around $65,000 per bitcoin in April, has fallen sharply but the likes of San Francisco-based Coinbase continue to make millions in transaction fees.

Now, Jack Mallers, the chief executive of Chicago-based bitcoin payments company Strike, has warned that Coinbase is not "competing in the free market"announcing Strike will let U.S. customers buy and sell bitcoin for almost no fees.

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The bitcoin price has fallen sharply since it hit highs of around $65,000 per bitcoin in April, ... [+] coinciding with the Nasdaq market debut of major crypto exchange Coinbase.

"Its unclear if Coinbase can attempt to compete on fees, even if they wanted to," Mallers, who recently found fame among the bitcoin and cryptocurrency community when it was announced Strike would be working with the El Salvador government to bring mass bitcoin payments to the country, wrote in a blog post.

Mallers, who's also the CEO of Strike's parent company Zap Technologies, warned that bitcoin-buyers using Coinbase are paying to "help subsidize the rest of [Coinbase's] efforts" with other cryptocurrencies, asking how can Coinbase afford this "customer acquisition?"

"Well, probably because they overcharge users to acquire bitcoin. Make no mistake, when you buy bitcoin on Coinbase, you are supporting sh*tcoins," Mallers wrote, using a term adopted by so-called bitcoin maximalists who think cryptocurrencies other than bitcoin are worthless, and pointing to a quote from Coinbase chief financial officer Alesia Haas who said Coinbase is "not trying to win on fees."

This week, chief executive Brian Armstrong detailed plans to launch a marketplace for decentralized apps, a project seemingly inspired by Apple's App Store, and accelerate the pace it adds digital assets. The exchange will "bring more assets to Coinbase, faster," Armstrong wrote in a blog post.

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The bitcoin price has surged over the last year, helping make bitcoin and cryptocurrency exchanges ... [+] millions in transaction fees, with Coinbase one of the biggest winners.

Strike, which uses bitcoin's experimental second-layer Lightning Network to process trades, said it will charge around 0.3% for bitcoin transactions. Coinbase, for comparison, scoops almost 4% from some trades. Strike's service, which Mallers claims won't make money for the company, also undercuts PayPal and its subsidiary Venmo, Square's Cash App and Swan Bitcoin.

Coinbase, the largest U.S. cryptocurrency exchange with 56 million verified users and $223 billion in assets, became the first crypto exchange to go public in April, listing its shares directly on the Nasdaq. In May, Coinbase said it brought in $1.8 billion in revenue during the first three months of the year, up from $191 million in the same period a year ago while profits jumped to $771 million from $32 millionalmost entirely from trading fees.

"We just ripped the pin out of the grenade and tossed it into the crowd," wrote Mallers. "Buying bitcoin will not cost more than it takes to acquire. Buying bitcoin will not subsidize sh*tcoin casinos."

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We Just Ripped The Pin Out Of The GrenadeRadical New Bitcoin Company Issues Stark Coinbase Price Warning - Forbes

Bitcoin had a wildly volatile first half. Here are 5 of the biggest risks ahead – CNBC

Chris Ratcliffe/Bloomberg via Getty Images

Bitcoin had a solid start to 2021, hitting an all-time high of nearly $65,000 in April. But the digital coin closed out the first half of the year down about 47% from its record and a number of looming risks could result in further pain ahead.

While proponents appear to be holding onto bitcoin for now, other investors are wary about wild volatility in the market and what it means for their portfolios. With that in mind, here are five of the biggest risks facing the cryptocurrency as we enter the second half of the year.

One of the biggest risks for bitcoin right now is regulation.

In recent weeks, China has clamped down on its cryptocurrency industry, shuttering energy-intensive crypto mining operations and ordering major banks and payment firms like Alipay not to do business with crypto companies.

Last week, the global crypto crackdown spread to the U.K., where regulators banned leading digital currency exchange Binance from undertaking regulated activities.

Simon Yu, co-founder and CEO of crypto cashback start-up StormX, told CNBC that China's moves should be viewed as a "positive" thing for bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies like ether as it will lead to more decentralization. However, he added that "over-regulation" of crypto in the United States could be a problem.

"As a country, the U.S. has too many departments regulating it from different angles is crypto a security? A commodity? A property?" Yu said. "As of now, the U.S. hasn't figured out how to properly regulate the industry, which oftentimes leads to decisions that are difficult for crypto to operate."

U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and other officials have recently warned about the use of cryptocurrencies for illicit transactions.

Last year, former President Donald Trump's administration proposed an anti-money laundering rule that would require people who hold their crypto in a private digital wallet to undergo identity checks if they make transactions of $3,000 or more.

"We've long warned that shifting investor sentiment or regulatory crackdowns could pop bubble-like crypto markets," UBS wrote in a note this week.

Another big risk is persistent, extreme swings in the price of bitcoin and other digital currencies.

Bitcoin rallied to an all-time record of around $64,829 in April this year, on the day of crypto exchange Coinbase's blockbuster debut. It then tumbled as low as $28,911 in June, briefly sliding below $30,000 and turning negative for the year. It's since risen back above $34,000.

Bitcoin bulls see it as a kind of "digital gold" an asset uncorrelated to the wider marker that could provide sizable returns in times of economic turbulence. But while volatility can be good when the price of an asset is going up, it goes both ways.

While you would have doubled your money if you bought bitcoin in January and cashed out in April, today those year-to-date returns would be 18%. Still, that's above the performance of the S&P 500 index, which is up 16% since the start of the year. And over the last 12 months, bitcoin has more than tripled in price.

"Limited, highly inelastic supply on single cryptos can exacerbate volatility," says UBS. "Limited real world use and extraordinary price volatility also indicate many buyers are seeking speculative gains."

Meanwhile, the trend of traders who have made highly-leveraged bets on bitcoin getting flushed out of the market has led to intense price fluctuations this year.

While continuous volatility could put off some investors, Ross Middleton, chief financial officer of decentralized finance platform DeversiFi, said that volatility in itself isn't a barrier to institutional adoption.

Volatility "can actually be a significant draw as the potential for large price movements means that funds can make significant profits with a relatively small allocation compared to the size of their overall portfolio," he told CNBC.

"The longer that Bitcoin moves sidewards in the $30-$40k range," Middleton added, "the greater the perceived 'base-building' and the sooner that new capital will flow into both the asset and the wider crypto market."

Musk's electric car firm stunned both fans and skeptics of bitcoin this year when it bought $1.5 billion worth of the digital currency and began accepting it as a method of payment. But he subsequently roiled crypto markets after deciding to halt bitcoin payments due to the currency's "insane" energy usage and a reliance on fossil fuels.

It raises some questions for asset managers who are under heightened pressure to limit their investments to ethically-conscious assets.

"At the very least it may deter some investors from holding Bitcoin," analysts at Citi wrote in a research note earlier this year, adding it could also "spur government intervention to ban mining, as seen in parts of China."

So-called stablecoins, whose prices are meant to be pegged to real-world assets like the U.S. dollar, are also facing growing scrutiny.

Last week, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Eric Rosengren said tether, a stablecoin that ranks among the world's largest digital currencies, was a risk to the stability of the financial system.

Tether maintains that each of its tokens are backed 1:1 by U.S. dollars held in a reserve, the idea being that this keeps the price stable. Crypto investors often use tether tobuycryptocurrencies, as an alternative tothe greenback But some investors worry tether's issuerdoesn't have enough dollar reservesto justify its dollar peg.

In May, the company behind tether broke down the reserves for the stablecoin, revealing that around 76% was backed by cash and cash equivalents but just under 4% of that was actual cash, while about 65% was commercial paper, a form of short-term debt.

Tether has been compared to traditional money-market funds but without the regulation and, with almost $60 billion worth of the tokens in circulation, has more deposits than that of many U.S. banks.

There havelong been concernsabout whether tether is being used tomanipulate bitcoin prices, withone studyclaiming the token was used to prop up bitcoin during key price declines in its monster 2017 rally.

"Tether is a massive problem," Carol Alexander, professor of finance at the University of Sussex, told CNBC. "Regulators seem unable to stop them so far."

"Traders need tether to open accounts and trade. Or other crypto. But since most large traders are U.S.-based, tether is the obvious choice."

Rising speculation in crypto markets could prove another risk for bitcoin.

Dogecoin, a cryptocurrency that started out as a joke, surged wildly earlier this year to record highs as growing numbers of retail investors piled into digital assets in search of outsized gains.

At one point, dogecoin was worth more than Ford and other major U.S. firms, thanks in no small part to support from celebrities like Musk. Its value has depreciated significantly since then.

Elsewhere in the crypto market, a decentralized finance, or DeFi, token called titan crashed to zero. Self-made billionaire investor Mark Cuban was a holder.

"Another concern is the number of scams that have appeared throughout the year," StormX's Yu said. "With certain meme coins, we've seen many pump and dump activities and have seen retail investors getting burned."

"Whenever retail gets burned, the government steps in. And if things are over-regulated to a point, as we have seen with 2018 and ICOs (initial coin offerings), the industry as a whole could be negatively affected."

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Bitcoin had a wildly volatile first half. Here are 5 of the biggest risks ahead - CNBC

Bitcoin Price Prediction Failure to Revisit $34,500 Levels Would Leave Bitcoin in the Red – Yahoo Finance

After a bearish start to the week, the crypto majors found much-needed support this morning.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin, BTC to USD, was up by 0.67% to $33,897.0. A mixed start to the day saw Bitcoin fall to an early morning low $33,625.0 before rising to a mid-morning high $35,196.0.

Bitcoin broke through the first major resistance level at $34,926 to revisit $35,000 levels before sliding back to sub-$34,000 levels.

Key through the early hours was a failure to avoid a return to sub-$34,500 levels.

Its been a mixed morning for the broader crypto market.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin Cash SV was down by 3.72%, with Litecoin (-0.89%) also bucking the morning trend.

Its been a bullish morning for the rest of the majors, however.

Chainlink (+4.55%) and Crypto.com Coin (+3.93%) led the way, with Binance Coin (+2.50%) and Ethereum (+3.56%) also finding strong support.

Cardanos ADA (+0.87%), Polkadot (+0.58%), and Ripples XRP (+1.40%) trailed the front runners, however.

Through the early hours, the crypto total market fell to an early morning low $1,388bn before rising to a high $1,454bn. At the time of writing, the total market cap stood at $1,410bn.

Bitcoins dominance rose to an early high 45.34% before falling to a low 45.09%. At the time of writing, Bitcoins dominance stood at 45.10%.

Bitcoin would need to move back through the $34,026 pivot to bring the first major resistance level at $34,926 back into play.

Support from the broader market would be needed, however, for Bitcoin to break out from $34,500 levels.

Barring a broad-based crypto rally, resistance at this mornings high $35,196 would likely cap any upside.

In the event of an extended crypto rally, Bitcoin could test resistance at $36,000 levels. The second major resistance level sits at $36,180.

Failure to move back through the $34,026 pivot would bring the first major support level at $32,772 back into play.

Barring an extended sell-off through the afternoon, however, Bitcoin should steer well clear of sub-$31,000 support levels. The second major support level at $31,872 should limit the downside.

Story continues

Looking beyond the support and resistance levels, we saw the 50 and 100 EMA narrow on the 200 EMA this morning. We also saw a bearish cross, with the 50 falling through the 100 EMA in the late morning.

A further narrowing of the 50 and100 EMAs on the 200 EMA would trigger a further sell-off for the Bitcoin bulls.

Key going into the afternoon will be to break back through to $34,500 levels to bring resistance levels back into play.

This article was originally posted on FX Empire

Read more:
Bitcoin Price Prediction Failure to Revisit $34,500 Levels Would Leave Bitcoin in the Red - Yahoo Finance

Ransomware Is the IRS of Bitcoin – The Wall Street Journal

Ransomware is to bitcoin as the Internal Revenue Service is to the dollar. Just as the taxman forces you to use dollars to pay your taxes, electronic ransom demands have been set in bitcoin, forcing companies, individuals and even some governments to use the cryptocurrency if they wish to regain control of their computer systems.

If this sounds wacky, bear with me. Before getting into the full explanation, we need a brief tour of theories of money. The most widely accepted is that money was created because early humans found it so inconvenient to barter with pigs, llamas or berries. It would be much easier to swap my llamas for widely accepted itemscowrie shells, fancy feather boas or carved stonesand then swap those items again for grain than it would be to find someone with grain who happened to want llamas.

Money was also a means of accounting for debts; easier still than using cowrie shells would be to take the grain now, get some notches on a tally stick, and later provide llamas, or grain, or whatever was promised to pay off the debt.

The first of these theories focuses on money as a means of exchange, an area where bitcoin has floundered because of the cost and hassle required to actually buy something in bitcoin. Only when its anonymity and international nature help enough to offset these disadvantages, such as in evading money-laundering laws, taxes and capital controls, is it much used. The rest of bitcoin trading is speculation and exchange arbitrage.

The second theory focuses on moneys role as a unit of account, an area where bitcoin hasnt had any success so far. Even in El Salvador, where bitcoin is being made legal tender, stuff will still be priced first in dollars, then translated into bitcoin for anyone paying in crypto.

More here:
Ransomware Is the IRS of Bitcoin - The Wall Street Journal