Category Archives: Bitcoin

The CoinDesk 50: Bitmain, the Behemoth of Bitcoin Mining – CoinDesk

Founded in 2013, the Beijing-based Bitmain Technology remains at the center of the crypto economy. With its flagship AntMiner bitcoin mining equipment still dominating the hardware market and its mining pools accounting for about a quarter of the Bitcoin networks computing power, it retains a uniquely powerful place in the ecosystem of by far the largest cryptocurrency and blockchain project.

Thats not to say it isnt also controversial. Its vocal support for a Bitcoin hard fork (Bitcoin Cash) in 2017, following contentious community disagreement, won the company, and its masterminds, many enemies.

This post is part of the CoinDesk 50, an annual selection of the most innovative and consequential projects in the blockchain industry. See thefull list here.

Over the years, Bitmain has been involved in many controversial developments to the point that the Chinese crypto community refers to its foes as the mining avengers. In 2017, Bitmain filed a lawsuit against Yang Zuoxing, the former design chief behind Bitmains AntMiner S9 who started a rival miner manufacturer MicroBT, over patent infringement. But Bitmain lost the case eventually.

Then in 2018, it brought another lawsuit over non-compete violation against the former creators of Bitmans mining pool BTC.com, who left the company to start a rival service PoolIn, which has become the worlds top two bitcoin mining pool by total hash rate.

Bitmains story started with Wu Jihan, one of the earliest bitcoin evangelists in China, translating Satoshi Nakamotos white paper to Chinese in 2011.

He invested in probably the worlds first known bitcoin-denominated initial public offering in 2012. It was a project started by Jiang Xinyu, a.k.a Friedcat., who was crowdfunding bitcoin to roll out an application-specific integrated circuit just for bitcoin mining.

The hardware sold well initially and sensational success followed. In 2013, Wu, with a finance and psychology degree from Chinas prestigious Peking University, decided to start his own company to manufacture mining hardware. He was joined by Zhan Ketuan, his partner on the technology side, who, in six years, would find himself ousted from the company in a coup started by Wu.

Bitcoins last halving event in the summer 2016 marked the beginning of two years of extraordinary growth at Bitmain.

In 2017 alone, still only four years old, it made $1 billion in profits. It made another $1 billion for the first six months in 2018 and then went on a high-profile fundraise in the summer, netting $700 million from external shareholders with a bet. The deal is this: if Bitmain cant go public within five years since the fundraise at an agreed term, external investors could require the company to redeem all of their investment with an interest.

At that time, Bitmain was boasting a hardware market share of nearly 80 percent. So the agreed term for the IPO was nothing but ambitious: raising at least $500 million at a valuation of no less than $18 billion.

So much has changed in 2019, since its first IPO attempt failed in March in Hong Kong.

Its rising rival, MicroBT, whose founder won over Bitmains patent infringement lawsuit, is seriously undermining Bitmains market dominance.

In 2019, Bitmains mining pools BTC.com and Antpool lost the top two spots to F2Pool and Poolin, the latter of which still has an ongoing case with Bitmain over alleged non-compete violation.

When Wu Jihan returned in a coup in November 2019 to kick out his founding partner Zhan, he told his people hes back to save the sinking ship. Whether his tough comeback will work as he expected is yet to be proven, although it appears prepared to roll out more powerful equipment to weather the upcoming halving.

It remains to be seen if Bitmain can replicate the sensational success it once had following the 2016 bitcoin halving.

The leader in blockchain news, CoinDesk is a media outlet that strives for the highest journalistic standards and abides by a strict set of editorial policies. CoinDesk is an independent operating subsidiary of Digital Currency Group, which invests in cryptocurrencies and blockchain startups.

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The CoinDesk 50: Bitmain, the Behemoth of Bitcoin Mining - CoinDesk

Bitcoin Mining is a Silly and Confusing Term – Anchorage Press

Dear Stevo,

What is Bitcoin mining? How do you mine Bitcoin?

-Don W., Chicago, Illinois

Bitcoin mining shouldnt really be called Bitcoin mining. Its a deceptive and confusing metaphor. It should be called something much more boring like payment processing.

Every ten minutes or so, the Bitcoin network batches transactions and processes them.

This happens around the clock. No human is involved. Machines do all the work. Your neighbor may have a computer doing exactly that at this moment. The payments that are processed during that ten-minute period, along with some other information, is called a block. All the blocks are linked to each other, all the way back to the very first block. That is why people say Bitcoin is built on the blockchain. Its an uninterrupted chain of blocks, created every ten minutes, going back 11 years.

To incentivize people to participate in this process, the Bitcoin network offers a reward for processing payments. The current reward is 12.5 Bitcoin, or roughly $125,000, using the average price of $10,000 / Bitcoin.

$125,000 is a lot to pay someone for processing ten minutes worth of payments. Everyone would want that job.

Thousands of people, and millions of computers, at any given time, want that job, in fact. To figure out who gets the job, the Bitcoin network has a rationing system.

Every ten minutes, the Bitcoin network produces a random number. The first computer to guess that random number gets to process the payments for that ten-minute period. It also gets to be the first to broadcast the results of that ten minutes to the rest of the Bitcoin network, and receives 12.5 new Bitcoin as a reward for their work.

This procedure of Bitcoin payment processing is called Bitcoin mining because, new Bitcoin are created as a reward when that payment processor successfully does its work.

There is also an additional reward paid for guessing the number. People pay fees when they send their transactions through the Bitcoin network. This is another rationing method. The more one pays, the more likely it is that their transaction will appear in the next block. If youre in a hurry, you pay more. If you can wait for the next lull in the network, you pay less. These fees paid to speed up the processing time for a transaction, often called mining fees, are an additional reward to payment processors in the network.

To answer the question - if you want to mine Bitcoin, the way to mine is to hook a computer up to the Bitcoin network, and to instruct your computer to guess at the random number every ten minutes by running mining software.

At $10,000 / Bitcoin, and 12.5 Bitcoin per reward, $17 million in block rewards are available each day. With so much money to be made in this process, many options exist for how to participate. New options are constantly being developed.

Mining, or payment processing, is a fun way to participate in the Bitcoin network. Some even do this for a fun hobby, others do it to learn a new skill, still others might do it with the intent of strengthening the network, regardless of the reward that could be involved.

Allan Stevo is a cryptocurrency industry veteran and author of The Bitcoin Manifesto.

Email him atBitMatts@protonmail.comwith your questions for the column.

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Bitcoin Mining is a Silly and Confusing Term - Anchorage Press

Bitcoin Is Staging a Comeback Reminiscent of 2017 Bubble Frenzy – Bloomberg

Photographer: Akos Stiller/Bloomberg

Photographer: Akos Stiller/Bloomberg

Its been left for dead more than once, written off as nothing but a bubble and denounced as rat poison by one of the worlds most famous investors. Yet Bitcoin is once again staging a comeback reminiscent of the tokens glory days, with evangelists pegging their hopes on a technical event as the new catalyst.

True believers say the gains are driven by Bitcoins upcoming halving, when the rewards miners receive for processing transactions will be cut in half as soon as May 12. The internet is glutted with second-by-second countdown clocks and the mania is even spurring a hike in hiring by crypto firms worldwide. Bitcoin has rallied to more than $9,000 in anticipation from around $6,000 just a month ago..

Narratives in the world of blockchain act like the Force in Star Wars -- they mysteriously move and shape the market, said George McDonaugh, co-founder of crypto and blockchain investment firm KR1. You couldnt be blamed for getting a little excited about whats to come.

Bitcoin halvings, which slow down the rate at which new tokens are created, happen once every four years or so. Its third such event is set to occur next week. Skeptics argue crypto prices are notoriously volatile and often difficult to pin explanations to, positing that any appreciation should be priced in ahead of time. But crypto fans cite historical precedent.

Read more: Get Set for Bitcoin Halving! Heres What That Means: QuickTake

Bitcoins undergone two prior halvings -- or halvenings, as theyre sometimes called -- which saw its price appreciate in the aftermath. The worlds largest token rose from around $12 to over $1,000 in the year following its 2012 cut in rewards, and advanced about 1,000% in the wake of the 2016 halving, though that reduction happened at a time when the coin was gaining greater mainstream recognition.

The frenzy around digital currencies took it to near $20,000 the following year before it crashed, with the coin still trading about 50% below 2017s all-time highs.

But Bitcoin has historically bottomed 459 days prior to the halving, risen leading into the event and exploded to the upside afterward, according to research from Pantera Capital. Post-halving rallies have averaged 446 days -- should history repeat itself, Bitcoin could peak around August 2021.

Wallet growth has also spiked, rising 2% in April, the largest monthly increase since at least November. To Nicholas Colas at DataTrek Research, theres two possible explanations: bored, locked-down gamblers and sports betters are finding their way into cryptocurrencies amid the coronavirus shutdown, while many are also getting excited about Bitcoins halving, he wrote in a recent note.

To be sure, many crypto fans also point to unprecedented monetary and fiscal stimulus unleashed by central banks around the world as a catalyst for prices to advance. Whatever the reason, the recent bull-run hype has ushered in the return of sky-high price targets.

Global Macro Investors Raoul Pal projects Bitcoin could reach $1 million in the next three- to five years. Though the halving isnt the key driver behind his prediction, it could be a potential accelerant.

It is already the best performing asset in all recorded history, Pal wrote in a recent presentation. It was born out of the financial crisis for exactly what is about to come in this crisis. This is literally what Bitcoin was invented for.

Jefferies LLC analyst Christopher Wood in his weekly Greed & Fear newsletter recommended investors -- including institutions -- buy Bitcoin ahead of the halving, citing the tokens prior price surges around the event.

To invest in Bitcoin it is necessary to believe the system has integrity in the sense that the supply is truly limited, he wrote. The digital token should be a source of diversification precisely because of its truly decentralized nature, he said.

Venture capitalist Tim Draper predicts Bitcoin could hit $250,000 by 2022 or the first quarter of 2023. Bitcoin adoption will spread because Bitcoin is simply a better currency than any of the political currencies that are tied to governments and political whims, he said, citing fiscal and monetary stimulus as possible accelerators for adoption.

To Antoni Trenchev, co-founder and managing director of crypto-lender Nexo, Bitcoin could reach $50,000 by the end of the year, implying a 470% surge from current levels. Though the halving may already be priced in, it will lead to huge appreciation over time, he said.

Critics can disparage Bitcoin as much as they like, but its by far the best performing asset of the past decade, he said. Were bullish about its future.

Trenchev is seeing huge demand for his firms products ahead of the coins halving. Were not hiring because of the halving per se. Were hiring because the halving has been lifting Bitcoin and will continue to do so, he said.

A number of crypto exchanges have also embarked on hiring sprees. Kraken LLC and Binance Holdings Ltd. are expanding their workforces, as are OkEx and Coinbase Inc.

Earlier: Crypto Exchanges Boost Hiring in Wake of Coronavirus Crash

David Janczewski, the chief executive officer and founder of Cardiff, Wales-based Coincover, said any market event that impacts adoption is a positive for his business.

Thats part of what we see -- when the last spike happened, we know that an awful lot of people moved into the market because they felt they ought to get in on the action, said Janczewski, whose firm offers insurance against crypto thefts and scams. Ultimately, anything that causes the market to be aware, or wider investment markets to be aware of crypto, tends to be a good thing from our perspective.

(Updates price level in the second paragraph)

Before it's here, it's on the Bloomberg Terminal.

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Bitcoin Is Staging a Comeback Reminiscent of 2017 Bubble Frenzy - Bloomberg

Craig Wright: Bitcoin truth versus the ‘turd that is fake news’ – CoinGeek

Dr. Craig Wright has continued to vent at some of the digital asset industrys bad actors. In his latest blog post, he trained his sights on those peddling misinformationabout Bitcoins structure and incentives, digital asset investments, and those who use their media platforms to damage his own reputation. Combating fake news, he said is one of the reasons I invented Bitcoin.

Dr. Wright named several well-known identities in the Bitcoin and digital asset space, including John McAfee, Ira Kleiman, Peter McCormack, and Greg Maxwell. These people, he said (some of whom are engaged in ongoing disputes with Wright) have used online media and their own platforms to spread false information by citing each others words and creating a self-feeding cycle of confusion for the public.

Forbes and YouTube Flim-Flam

The post begins with a look at Forbes and other famous-name online media outlets that publish unpaid contributor articles. These articles, Dr. Wright said, are not properly vetted for accuracy and exist only to drive eyeballs and clicks to site ads. Destroying the internets ad-based model, he added, is one of the reasons he invented Bitcoin.

The fact is, such burnishing of the truth does nothing to create integrity in journalism. It is merely adding a gloss to a turd that is fake news.

Access to brand-name media through contributions (sometimes unpaid) has allowed both unqualified and outright deceptive individuals to publish investment advice with a veneer of legitimacy. YouTube, he said, has also been an open platform for those promoting digital asset pump and dumpsincluding BTC. He called technical analysis trading YouTube channels unscientific flimflam that forever promise big price gains, while their hosts often make the opposite moves they advise their viewers to make.

Wright noted that, even though Google has recently taken stricter action against content it regards as misinformation, Forbes and other contributors continue their free run with digital currency investment promotion.

(We should note that Googles censorship dragnet has also ensnared several legitimately informative content producers, such as the BSV Channel.)

Some examples: misinformation about Bitcoin

Price isnt the only topic the fake news media promotes. The nature of Bitcoin itself is often misrepresented, which either demonizes truth-tellers or deflects criticism away from guilty parties.

Dr. Wright gave the example of Bitcoin transaction malleability being responsible for the loss of 850,000 BTC from the Mt. Gox exchange in the years leading up to its 2014 collapse. Even though that myth was debunked at its outset, the phrase continues to appear. Most serious investigators believe the Mt. Gox debacle was caused by embezzlement and theft by those with inside knowledge, not a technical issue with Bitcoin.

The structure of Bitcoins own network is misunderstood (accidentally or deliberately) due to phrases like mesh network and relay nodesneither of which are relevant to the way Bitcoin should function, he added. Believing they are true, or somehow important, creates incorrect impressions about what Bitcoin is for and makes networks like BTC less secure.

Misinformation about Dr. Craig Wright

Given Dr. Wrights outspoken nature, knowledge of Bitcoin and willingness to challenge some of BTCs biggest proponents, its natural they see him as a threat to their interests. Efforts to smear his character began from the instant he was outed as Satoshi Nakamoto in late 2015, but have ramped up since he took back control of the Bitcoin project with BSV.

Wright gave a few examples: Ira Kleiman and his lawsuit claiming ownership of early Bitcoins; Peter McCormacks claims that Wright is not Satoshi Nakamoto, and Greg Maxwells more technical takes against Wright and on Bitcoin history.

Easily debunked

Though Kleimans lawsuit purportedly concerns ownership of Dr. Wrights (and/or Satoshi Nakamotos) early Bitcoins and company IP, it serves also as a means to generate plenty of headlines and misleading news articles that attack Wrights reputation. Thats something Kleiman, who works in the area of search engine optimisation (SEO), would understand, he wrote.

Misleading reports about Dr. Wrights past actions resulting from the case have suggested he fled Australia for the United Kingdom, has plagiarized research, and is under investigation by the Australian Tax Offices criminal investigations unit (which does not exist).

Like the ATO claim, such myths are easily debunked, but lazy reporters dont bother to check them and neither do gullible readers. Wright said his U.K. visa showed clear intent to travel there in late 2015. Moreover, the U.K. is hardly a useful destination for anyone trying to escape the law in Australia.

Falsifying documents, he added, has been the domain of his attackers rather than himself. He claimed his own signature was forged multiple times either to make accusations and even to launch the infamous 2015 raid on his property (which coincided with his outing as Satoshi). He called the latter example a case of swatting; where bad actors make a false report with the intent to prompt law enforcement action on another individual.

Dr. Wright said Ira Kleiman was perhaps being used by other forces, and was not smart enough to know when he is being played.

Plagiarism claims show lack of academic understanding

In another example, Dr. Wright referred to BTC developer and former Blockstream employee Greg Maxwell, who he said publishes articles under his own name and several pseudonyms. Maxwell has long been a Wright adversary with antagonism between the two preceding Bitcoin by years.

Maxwell has in the past accused Wright of plagiarizing research, particularly in a recent hit piece article that referenced Wrights legal cases against both Kleiman and McCormack.

The article concerned mathematical concepts like random forests and decisions, which the article suggested Wright had plagiarized a medical paper whose data was incorporated into a training and example package that researcher John Maindonald created. Maindonald used the original paper to create a CRAN R statistical package, while Wright did not use the original paper and instead took his graph from the courseware. Wright said Maxwells lack of academic experience and training had caused him to misunderstand the nature of references in his patent applications, he said. Speaking to CoinGeek, Dr. Wright said:

John is one of the authors of the original R package and incorporated much of the original statistical work into common packages people have now. This included the particular piece of data that that image came from. Ironically, Ill probably not terribly ironically I dont think Greg Maxwell has a clue when it comes to academic work, it is referenced. When youre referencing academically, you dont actually put different papers if its not from a different paper. This particular diagram comes from statistical notes and processes and courseware developed by John Maindonald.

You see they dont care about investigating truth. The fact that Ive actually referenced a document by saying its notes from the forthcoming publication does not mean its not referenced, it is referenced as part of a statistical software package and it is the image derived from that. Then, if Mr Greg Maxwell had done any statistical training using the CRAN R package before going into calling himself paintedfrog, he would have probably recognised the source, it is a very common one that is used in many statistical programming training courses around the world. Dr Maindonald was one of the original authors of the CRAN R statistical package and I learnt from him before this was popular or well-known.

All these accusations, and misinformation about Bitcoin, echo through online media and causes both accidental confusion and deliberate damage. Dr. Wright said reporters hadnt bothered to investigate their own stories thoroughly, and his own critics chose to attack the man rather than address them as technical debates.

What they and other detractors failed to understand, he said, is that he personally has plenty of patience to wait for real facts to emergesomething he attributed to his Aspergers spectrum condition.

Other people may stop, I dig in deeper. I bide my time.

It sounds like it is going to be a rocky road on the horizon for Wrights distractors.

New to Bitcoin? Check out CoinGeeksBitcoin for Beginnerssection, the ultimate resource guide to learn more about Bitcoinas originally envisioned by Satoshi Nakamotoand blockchain.

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Craig Wright: Bitcoin truth versus the 'turd that is fake news' - CoinGeek

Bitcoin investors are bracing for a key technical event here’s what you need to know – CNBC

A visual representation of the digital cryptocurrency bitcoin.

Yu Chun Christopher Wong| S3studio | Getty Images

Bitcoin faces a key technical event Monday known as the "halving." Due to take place later in the day, industry insiders are debating what effect it might have on the cryptocurrency market.

So what is the halving? You can think of it as an update to the underlying network that logs all bitcoin transactions. There are so-called "miners" on this network with specialized computing rigs competing to solve complex math problems to validate bitcoin transactions. Whoever wins that race gets rewarded in bitcoin.

On Monday, the amount of bitcoins rewarded to those miners is set to get cut in half. This is something that takes place roughly every four years to keep a lid on inflation. The current reward stands at 12.5 bitcoins, or BTC, so that will now be reduced to 6.25 BTC.

Unlike fiat currencies like the dollar, there is no central bank that manages the supply of bitcoin or its inflation rate. Instead, this is maintained thanks to a rule written into bitcoin's code by pseudonymous inventor Satoshi Nakamoto.

The total number of bitcoins that will ever be mined is capped at 21 million. Rewards to bitcoin miners keep halving until they reach zero. Bitcoin bulls say that this scarcity is part of what underpins the cryptocurrency's value and make it a potential "hedge" against currencies that are vulnerable to devaluation in times of economic crisis.

"With its finite and scheduled supply and decentralized architecture, BTC, in particular, offers the certainty needed in times like these, and will likely become a new safe-haven asset class," cryptocurrency lending start-up Nexo wrote in a note last week.

Investors are likely to closely watch the reaction of bitcoin and other cryptocurrency prices to the halving event later in the day. Some believe the event has been mostly priced into markets already, but there are others who think it could boost prices.

The past two halvings led to opposite short-term price movements, according to British bitcoin exchange CoinCorner. Bitcoin climbed 7% one month on from the first halving event in 2012, but slipped 10% a month after the second one in 2016. However, the price rose 944% six months on from the 2012 halving and 38% in the same period in 2016.

"While many anticipate bullish movements post-halving, we believe the supply shock that comes immediately after the halving event should have limited impact on price in the short term," Lennard Neo, head of research at Singapore-based bitcoin index fund provider Stack, said in a note Thursday. "As the block reward for miners decreases, there will be a time lag as miners (supply side) reposition towards market equilibrium."

"We anticipate that it could take 6-9 months before this equilibrium is found and Bitcoin realises halving-induced price appreciation. That said, further turmoil in the broader economies could accelerate its upward trajectory."

But there are also fears that the 2020 halving will also have an impact on miners' earnings, as they'll need more competitive mining gear to win bitcoin rewards.

"Miners currently need to produce more work to get the same reward," said Ed Hindi, CIO at Cayman Islands-based cryptocurrency hedge fund Tyr Capital. "Post halving their expected returns will be cut in half."

Bitcoin has risen more than 20% since the start of the year. The virtual currency, known for its volatility, suffered at sharp drop over the weekend. It briefly touched $10,000 on Friday but has since declined to around $8,800 as of Monday morning.

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Bitcoin investors are bracing for a key technical event here's what you need to know - CNBC

Traders Say Binance Cut Their Bitcoin Shorts: Here’s Why It Happened – Cointelegraph

As the Bitcoin (BTC) price abruptly dropped from $9,500 to $8,100, some traders on Binance claimed that their winning short trades were unfairly cut short.

A trader named AthenaBank wrote on May 10:

Deleverage? Binance close my short after I make 7 times my investment. What's going on? Where is my short? The BTC dropped to $8,000. Who pays the difference?

But, the closure of the shorts was systematic and the process is called auto-deleveraging.

In the futures market, traders use debt or leverage to trade with larger capital. Binance, as an example, allows a trader to use 125x of their initial capital. If a user has $1,000, the user can trade with up to $125,000.

The role of a cryptocurrency exchange is to match orders between buyers and sellers. Hence, if trader A wants to short Bitcoin at $9,500, the role of the exchange is to find trader B that wants to buy BTC at the same price.

A problem occurs when the Bitcoin price sees an abrupt increase or decrease in price. More traders rush to short BTC, and as the price declines rapidly, it creates an imbalance in the orderbook.

When there is a big orderbook disparity, it can potentially cause a cascade of liquidations and cause the price of Bitcoin to plunge to abnormal prices. Such a price trend was seen on March 12, when the price of BTC crashed to as low as $3,600 on BitMEX.

Major Bitcoin futures exchanges like BitMEX and Binance Futures use a system called auto-deleveraging to ensure their orderbook remains balanced. When the insurance fund is not enough to cover for liquidations, then other trades are cut short to cover for the remaining liquidations.

Example of an auto-deleverage Bitcoin trade. Source: AthenaBank

Binance Futures says:

When a traders account size goes below 0, the Insurance Fund is used to cover the losses. However, in some exceptionally volatile market environments, the Insurance Fund may be unable to handle the losses, and open positions have to be reduced to cover them.

In such a case, highly leveraged trades are likely to have their trades sized down first. Traders that use 75 to 125x are often in the top percentile and are first to have their trades cut in abnormally volatile market conditions.

One trader explained:

There is a light for the auto deleverage queue on the trading page when you're in a position. Deleverage is used as insurance for long liquidation in this case to help sustain cascading liquidations and resulting in mega dumps. High leveraged trades are usually first.

Auto-deleveraging happens quite frequently in the cryptocurrency market because Bitcoin is significantly more volatile than most traditional assets.

The tendency of the price of Bitcoin to sway in a direction rapidly within a short period of time makes it challenging for exchanges to maintain balance in the market.

Cointelegraph reached out to Binance for a comment but did not receive a response by press time.

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Traders Say Binance Cut Their Bitcoin Shorts: Here's Why It Happened - Cointelegraph

RPT-UPDATE 1-Coronavirus sows doubt over bitcoin’s rally after third ‘halving’ – Reuters

(Repeats for U.S. market open. No change to text.)

By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss

NEW YORK, May 8 (Reuters) - As bitcoin investors brace for a long-awaited technical adjustment that will halve new supply of the cryptocurrency, the coronavirus pandemic has cast uncertainty over the expected rally that has historically accompanied such events.

This halving, the third in bitcoins 11-year history, has been widely flagged. The previous events fueled huge surges in bitcoins market value, but there is a wildcard this time in the form of the coronavirus pandemic, some analysts said.

From an efficient market perspective, any fundamental reaction to the halving should be heavily priced in at this point, said Matt Weller, global head of market research at GAIN Capital. After all, its hard to imagine a more predictable event than an unalterable supply reduction that has been scheduled for more than a decade in a liquid, heavily-traded ... asset.

Bitcoin relies on mining computers that validate blocks of transactions by competing to solve mathematical puzzles every 10 minutes. In return, the first miner to solve the puzzle and clear the transaction is rewarded new bitcoins.

The technology was designed in such a way that it cuts the reward for miners by half after every 210,000 blocks mined or roughly every four years, a move meant to keep a lid on inflation. That reduction in the rate at which new bitcoin enters the system should theoretically push the price up.

The halving could happen as soon as Monday or Tuesday, with most Bitcoin platforms showing that only about 100 blocks needed to be mined before hitting the halving threshold.

The mining reward is currently 12.5 bitcoins per block mined. In this weeks halving, the reward will fall to 6.25 new bitcoins.

In the run-up to this weeks halving, bitcoin had surged nearly 40% since the beginning of the year and climbed more than 85% from its lows. It was last at $8,630, down 14% from last weeks peak.

By comparison, the dollar index is up 3.3% so far this year.

The first halving occurred in November 2012 when the mining reward was reduced from 50 bitcoins to 25, and the second occurred in July 2016 when it was further cut to 12.5 bitcoin. This deflationary event has historically signaled the start of bitcoins most dramatic bull runs over a period of several years, although not before a brief sell-off.

The previous two bitcoin halvings propelled rallies of about 10,000% from late 2012 to 2014, and roughly 2,500% from mid-2016 to the currencys all-time high just shy of $20,000 in December 2017, according to traders.

Historic events dont necessarily predict future events, but theres a psychological level to it as well, Changpeng Zhao, Founder and CEO of cryptocurrency exchange Binance.

As it will cost the miners almost double to produce bitcoin, they are not willing to sell when the price goes below the psychological level.

There are only 21 million bitcoins in existence and more than 18 million are already in circulation.

Ryan Watkins, a research analyst at crypto data platform Messari, believes the economic fallout from the coronavirus outbreak could be one major obstacle to bitcoins bull run after the halving.

Jake Yocom-Piatt, co-founder and project lead at cryptocurrency Decred, however, believes halving will be a positive event for bitcoin and cryptocurrencies, especially in a pandemic.

A pandemic is very much a deflationary type event. Economic activity is going to take a real nosedive. The halving of bitcoin is a necessarily deflationary action, said Yocom-Piatt, adding that such a scenario would be bullish for cryptocurrencies.

Some analysts said there are signs a major rally may be under way, with retail or individual investors involved.

Bitcoin bulls say the price should go up as supply runs down and assuming demand is steady.

Dan Morehead, co-chief investment officer at investment firm Pantera, said bitcoin could peak at $115,212 based on supply and demand dynamics.

I realize that price may sound ludicrous to some today. But $5,000 sounded equally ludicrous as our first written price forecast when we launched Pantera Bitcoin Fund at $65 per bitcoin, Morehead said.

Just saying that theres more than a 50-50 chance bitcoin goes up and goes up big.

Reporting by Gertrude Chavez-DreyfussAdditional reporting by Winni Zhou in Shanghai and VidyaRanganathan in SingaporeEditing by Alden Bentley, Paul Simao and Sam Holmes

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RPT-UPDATE 1-Coronavirus sows doubt over bitcoin's rally after third 'halving' - Reuters

Zcash Alliance Aims to Bring Privacy Tech to Bitcoin, Cosmos and Ethereum – CoinDesk

A handful of big names in crypto want in on the privacy features offered by Zcash.

It is humbling and inspiring that such a strong group of builders is leaning in to push that mission forward and help guide the future of Zcash, privacy coin co-founder Zooko Wilcox said in a press statement.

The Electric Coin Company (ECC) announced Monday the launch of the Zcash Developers Alliance (ZDA), an invite-only working group that includes the Lightning Network startup Bolt Labs, the cross-chain technology startup Thesis, the Ethereum conglomerate ConsenSys and two leading startups working on the Cosmos project, Agoric and Iqlusion, just to name a few.

The ZDA is an attempt to introduce a way to collaborate with the ECC, and the Zcash ecosystem, which focuses around other peoples priorities, Iqlusion founder Zaki Manian said. Product-market fit is other people [beyond fans and founders] actually caring about it.

Manian said the Zcash anonymity set is a valuable public good, describing how the privacy coin allows shielded transactions and the construct that allows individual transactions to get lost in the metaphorical crowd.

It feels like its time for a Zcash-Ethereum bridge, ConsenSys CEO Joseph Lubin said in a press statement.

Basically, other blockchains can connect to the Zcash ecosystem to enable, say, Cosmos users to enter and exit the staking system without revealing personally identifying information, just like Zcash users can shield their information while making payments. The more people tapping into this shared anonymity set, the more effective it is at anonymizing data.

Zcash Foundation researcher Henry de Valence said his team is helping bring the Zcash shielded pool to Cosmos, although the nonprofit hasnt been invited to the ZDA.

If you think privacy is important in order to have fungibility, then networks should have a privacy layer. So were going to add a privacy layer to Cosmos in such a way that the anonymity set from Cosmos users is joined up with the anonymity set of all the Zcash users, de Valence said.

The Ethereum Foundation is already researching ways to use these privacy options for Eth 2.0, the networks overhaul to Proof-of-Stake (PoS). Bolt Labs founder Ayo Akinyele has been working to enable some of Zcashs privacy features on Bitcoins Lightning Network since 2019. And yet, the alliance is about more than formalizing the work startups were already doing. Its about ECC shouldering the organizational burden, Akinyele said, so that other companies can focus on building tools related to the Zcash protocol.

Its not just about having the best anonymous crypto, Manian added. You have to have enough users of the anonymous crypto so that your anonymity set is sufficiently large that it can provide meaningful privacy.

Cypherpunk model

Agoric CEO Dean Tribble, an original member of cypherpunk mailing lists and community groups in decades past, said the ZDA is more like those hacker groups than it is like the Libra Association or JavaScript Foundation, or even Microsoft industry alliances.

The ZDA is invite-only, with the requirement being that members need to actively build privacy technology. This isnt a group for promoting token adoption or formalizing standards for specific products or services. Members are building wildly different tools, hoping to use the same privacy solution. As such, Akinyele said the ZDA has bi-annual meetings and private communication channels so projects can leverage resources across the group.

Were not building different solutions. We want to build one solution that can be adapted to multiple chains, Akinyele said. His startup launched a Zcash-inspired testnet for bitcoin in April called zkChannels. It works like the Lightning Network, in that it offers an additional layer for more complex features. While Lightning channels offer speed and reduced transaction fees, the Zcash-inspired channels offer privacy.

Its a way for a customer to establish a zkChannel with a merchant or a service and the merchant wont be able to link transactions on that channel to the identity of the customer, Akinyele said. In the case of [wallets], the provider just knows that two users paid each other.

He aims to have a beta version live this year, but it wont be connected to the Lightning Network quite yet. That will come in 2021, Akinyele said, when additional work enables both layers to be used at the same time. For now, imagine that people must choose between chocolate or vanilla frozen yogurt, privacy or speed. In the future, bitcoiners will be able to choose a chocolate-vanilla swirl swirl without diluting either feature.

The anonymity set is going to be tied to the number of channels the provider youve communicated with already has, Akinyele said, offering an example of a merchant with 10,000 channels. A customer using zkChannels is anonymized because the merchant cant see which of the 10,000 customer channels is the buyer.

Akinyeles startup is working on a Lightning-inspired scaling layer for Zcash as well. But tokens require different techniques than bitcoin, especially when it comes to privacy. This is why such different crypto companies joined ZDA.

We all have independent reasons to start that interoperability, said Tribble, whose team is focused more on smart contracts than payments. Agoric also plans to eventually launch its own token.

We dont believe theres going to be one winning chain, so getting the mainstream world online with added privacy requires the cooperation of a lot of chains, Tribble said.

Privacy perks

Despite the ZDAs cypherpunk roots, this is still an industry alliance focused on business, not rebels.

Theres often an inaccurate conflation of such privacy features with criminal intent. But a Rand Corporation survey commissioned by the ECC found only 1% of illicit darknet operations accepted zcash (the publicly auditable bitcoin is still the dominant cryptocurrency on the darkweb). Someday, consumers may choose ZDA member services to shop online at regular websites, without being constantly tracked for affiliate marketing profiles they have no control over.

We have to look at technology as a neutral, that it could be used for a wide variety of applications, Rand Europe analyst Erik Silfversten told Forbes.

Likewise, the ZDA aims to identify business needs and shift resources to making the Zcash protocol useful for companies that may not transact directly with the namesake privacy coin.

Other organizations may join the alliance in the future, like the Zcash Foundation or Interchain Foundation, if they get involved in industry projects, not research.

For me, the future state is in a year or two to be able to use zcash, or wrapped zcash, on Cosmos or Ethereum, said ECC CTO Nathan Wilcox. Were certainly thinking about folks that didnt make it in the first batch.

Over at the foundation, de Valence said the nonprofits goal is less token-centric and more focused on infrastructure, a privacy layer for the entire cross-chain ecosystem.

Our goal is to leverage the unique properties of Zcash particularly the strong network effects of its anonymity set to provide privacy to all of these projects, de Valence said.

One goal the nonprofit shares with the new alliance, ZDA, is both of them see diversifying Zcash stakeholders and developers as the top priority.

The focus for this year is interoperability, Nathan Wilcox said.

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Zcash Alliance Aims to Bring Privacy Tech to Bitcoin, Cosmos and Ethereum - CoinDesk

Bitcoin: Will ‘halving’ fuel another monster rally? – The Australian Financial Review

That is in stark contrast to dollars, euros and yen being printed out of thin air as US, European and Japanese central banks look over the growth abyss into the growth chasm gouged into their economies by COVID-19.

A massive disinflationary shock looms and their collective response exposes how worried they are.

But it's not the inflation rate or the addition of new supply that "hodlers" only long-term holders care about. It's the prospect of a big rally that has many rubbing their hands together.

Hoping that history repeats, those who have followed Bitcoin since its early days know that past halvings have been lucrative money-making opportunities for thosewith the stomach to hold the cryptocurrency through not infrequent bouts of vomit-inducing volatility.

The first halving in November 2012 saw Bitcoin rally from about $US11 a coin to more than $US1100 in December 2013.

The second halving in July 2016 saw the currency surge from $US650 a coin to just shy of $US20,000 a coin.

The reason this halving event the third in its history is being so closely watched is because the world's most followed cryptocurrency is gathering more attention from institutional investors, including some of the biggest names in the hedge fund world.

Respected hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones has given Bitcoin his imprimatur, viewing the cryptocurrency as the "fastest horse" when it comes to hedging against the risk of inflation potentially sparked by massive central bank stimulus.

That's a backhanded compliment from one of the keenest observers of the global economy: central banks may succeed in averting a massive deflationary or disinflationary shock, but only at the cost of torching fiat currencies through inflation stoked by zero-rate policies and unprecedented unconventional policy.

Another keen observer is local cryptocurrency fund manager Richard Galvin, who runs Digital Asset Capital Management.

He also highlights the massive flexing of central bank balance sheets as a significant driver of the rise in Bitcoin prices.

Bitcoin has rallied from an intra-day low of about $US4000 a coin on March 13 to $US10,000 last week.

It was trading around $US8700 a coin on Monday.

"A key change in investor sentiment has been the increasing focus, as economies start to look beyond their respective COVID-19 lockdown phases, on what impact sovereign and central bank stimulatory policies may have on the inflation outlook," Mr Galvin wrote in an update to investors.

"The level of central bank balance-sheet growth over the last six weeks has been like nothing domestic and global economies have ever experienced before."

He says that Bitcoin futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange were trading at a "significant premium" to cryptocurrency exchanges is evidence of macro-based investment funds building up their exposure as a hedge against inflation.

A key issue is the reaction of Bitcoin miners to the new reward incentives.

The Bitcoin business is highly energy consumptive given the computing power needed to validate transactions. The complexity of mining coins is reflected in what is known as the hash-rate.

"We expect continued market volatility as the market weighs any noticeable miner response any material fall in mining hash-rate is likely to see price weakness," Mr Galvin writes.

"It's hard to draw historical conclusions given the market structure of Bitcoin is so different from the last halving four years ago, but history is on Bitcoin's side with both previous halvings both occurring within material re-pricing rallies."

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Bitcoin: Will 'halving' fuel another monster rally? - The Australian Financial Review

There’s more Bitcoin on Ethereum than in the Lightning Network – Decrypt

In brief

Recent data shows that the total amount of Bitcoin in circulation on the Ethereum blockchain is currently higher than in Bitcoins very own Lightning Network (LN), its second-layer scaling protocol.

According to the decentralized finance (DeFi) metrics website DeFi Pulse, Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC) tokens currently locked in Ethereum are worth $11.4 million in total.

As Decrypt explained previously, WBTC is an ERC20 token that represents Bitcoin. One WBTC equals one BTC. Bitcoin can be converted into Wrapped Bitcoin and vice-versa.

Being an ERC20 token makes the transfer of WBTC faster than normal Bitcoin, but the key advantage of WBTC is its integration into the world of Ethereum wallets, decentralized applications and smart contracts. Currently, there is around 1,300 WBTC in circulation.

For comparison, there is roughly 927 BTC on the Lightning Networkworth just over $8 million at press time, according to Bitcoin Visuals.

Notably, in the past couple of years, various Lightning-focused blockchain startups have attracted significantly more money for the development of the network than actually circulates on it today, as some crypto enthusiasts have pointed out.

Even a few examples such as Lightning Labs (raised $2.5 million on March 15, 2018, and $10 million on February 5, 2020), Bolt Labs ($1.5 million on April 17, 2019) and ACINQ ($8 million on October 8, 2019) amount to $22 million in totalalmost three times more funds than are currently being held on the Lightning Network itself.

At the same time, it looks like these impressive funding rounds have paid off, as the last year passed in a flash of innovation for Bitcoins scaling solution and 2020 is arguably shaping up to become the best year yet for the Lightning Network.

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There's more Bitcoin on Ethereum than in the Lightning Network - Decrypt