Category Archives: Bitcoin
Bitcoin and Ethereum On-Chain Analysis: Consistency Persists with Short-Term Bear Threat – Coingape
The number of Bitcoin addresses with a minimum balance of 1 has been on a rise despite the bearish sentiments in crypto markets.
While the derivatives market was predominantly bearish after the panic drop due to coronavirus on 12-13th May, the increase in BTC holdings projects positive on-chain fundamentals.Research analyst, Ria Bhutoria, currently with Fidelity Digital Assets tweeted,
The number of addresses with at least 1 BTC has consistently been establishing new highs every 1-2 days since March 22nd
Glassnode Studio which published the metrics notes,
Number of Addresses holding 1+ coins just reached an ATH of 802,715.000 Previous ATH of 802,567.000 was observed on 08 April 2020
Moreover, the SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio) is currently, at a critical juncture around 1. The indicator was introduced by Renato Shirakashi who notes in the blog post,
First of all, SOPR appears to oscillate around the number 1.Secondly, during a bull market values of SOPR below 1 are rejected, while during a bear market values of SOPR above 1 are rejected.
The drop which began in March has seen rejection from the number 1, twice and is now trading around 1. Rejection from this level could will continue to keep the bearish sentiments alive.
Moreover, the on-chain metrics for Ethereum has been consistent despite the drop in prices as well. The number of transactions is above the bear market during the latter half of 2019.
Ethereum [ETH] Daily Transactions Chart (Source)The number of unique addresses is also rising linearly. However, the number of addresses with more than 1 ETH witnessed a huge drop at the beginning of this year.
Moreover, the current risk-off environment as the economy is heading into a recession builds a strong case of cryptocurrenices. However, the risk associated with the investment is equally high.
Nevertheless, the number of ETH addresses with a balance of more than 10 has been stable, projecting a healthy long term view.
How do you think the price will be affected in the short-term? Please share your views with us.
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Bitcoin and Ethereum On-Chain Analysis: Consistency Persists with Short-Term Bear Threat
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The number of Bitcoin addresses with a minimum balance of 1 has been on a rise despite the bearish sentiments in crypto markets.
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Nivesh Rustgi
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CoinGape
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Bitcoin and Ethereum On-Chain Analysis: Consistency Persists with Short-Term Bear Threat - Coingape
Ether-Bitcoin Price Volatility Spread Hits 4-Month Low – CoinDesk
Cryptocurrency prices have always been roller coasters, and some rides are scarier than others.However, there may not be much difference in price volatility between the top two coins in the coming months, a key metric indicates.
The spread between the three-month at-the-money implied volatility for ether (ETH) and bitcoin (BTC), a measure of expected relative volatility between the two, declined to 8.9 percent Friday, according to the crypto derivatives research firm Skew. It was the lowest level since Dec. 5.
Implied volatility is the markets expectation of how risky or volatile an asset would be over a specific period. It is computed using the prices of an option and the underlying asset and other inputs such as time to expiration.
The compression of this spread implies that cryptocurrencies' fortunes are tied more strongly than before to each other. But the force driving them together could be the turmoil in the mainstream financial markets, due to the economic fallout from the coronavirus pandemic.
The market is macro-driven and does not expect a lot of dispersion between the different coins and anticipates a convergence of ether and bitcoin price volatility, said Emmanuel Goh, CEO of Skew.
Volatility essentially represents uncertainty and has a positive impact on option prices. The higher the uncertainty, the stronger the hedging demand is for both call (bullish bet) and put (bearish bet) options.
However, it does not tell us anything about the direction of the next move. High implied volatility simply means the underlying asset has the potential for big price swings in either direction.
The ether-bitcoin implied volatility differential topped out at a record high of 33 percent on Feb. 22 and has been falling ever since.
Option-implied volatilities are driven by the net buying pressure for options and historical volatility, said Lukk Strijers, chief operating officer at cryptocurrency derivatives exchange Deribit.
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Ether and other alternative cryptocurrencies were outperforming bitcoin in February. Bitcoins dominance rate, or share of total market capitalization, had declined to a seven-month low of 62.58 percent on Feb. 24.
Hence, it's no surprise that, in February, markets were anticipating a higher ether price volatility compared to bitcoin.
The increase in investor interest in ether led to a rise in ether-bitcoin implied volatility spread, Strijers said.
The situation changed in March, as macro factors became the focal point, diverting attention from altcoins to bitcoin a safe haven from global turbulence, at least according to its proponents, and a benchmark for crypto markets.
However, instead of rising, bitcoin fell sharply in tandem with stocks, as the demand for cash, mainly U.S. dollars, surged amid the coronavirus-led uncertainty in the financial markets.
The bellwether cryptocurrency tanked by nearly 40 percent on March 13.
The massive drop resulted in a relatively larger increase in bitcoins implied volatility versus ethers implied volatility, causing the spread to narrow, Strijers told CoinDesk.
In this way, the ether-bitcoin implied volatility differentials drop to multi-month lows is indicative of a macro-driven market.
Another reason bitcoin faces heightened volatility over the next three months, as suggested by the ether-bitcoin implied volatility spread, is the cryptocurrencys next mining reward halving, expected in May.
A lot has been said about the potential impact on bitcoins price of the upcoming 50 percent emission cut. Most experts are of the opinion that the drop in the pace of supply expansion will bode well for the price. As a result, investor interest in bitcoin is likely to remain high compared to ether.
Further, the coronavirus pandemic is showing no signs of slowing down and is threatening to push the global economy into a prolonged recession. Again, the macro uncertainty would keep the focus on bitcoin.
The leader in blockchain news, CoinDesk is a media outlet that strives for the highest journalistic standards and abides by a strict set of editorial policies. CoinDesk is an independent operating subsidiary of Digital Currency Group, which invests in cryptocurrencies and blockchain startups.
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Ether-Bitcoin Price Volatility Spread Hits 4-Month Low - CoinDesk
Just One Major Cryptocurrency Is Outperforming Bitcoin Right Now And Its Climbing Fast – Forbes
Bitcoin has rebounded this week, climbing along with gold and other safe-havens as major stock markets struggle.
The bitcoin price is up just over 2% over the last weekmaking strong gains yesterday as investors search for somewhere to put their cash.
However, one major cryptocurrency has outpaced bitcoin's gains over the last week and is still rocketing higher.
Bitcoin and cryptocurrency investors have been hard hit by the coronavirus crisis but the bitcoin ... [+] price has begun to climb again this week--outpaced by just a handful of smaller cryptocurrencies.
The privacy-focused cryptocurrency monero, currently ranked as the 11th most valuable cryptocurrency on data site CoinMarketCap with a total value of just under $1 billion, has added almost 5% in the past weekbeating bitcoin's gains.
Monero, which masks the identity of users better than the likes of bitcoin, is up by over 6% over the last 24-hour trading period, soaring as the broader cryptocurrency market climbed.
The precise reason for monero's sudden surge wasn't immediately clear, though there have been a number of positive developments for the bitcoin rival over recent months.
Monero developers recently rolled out an update to its Carbon Chameleon software, designed to improve transaction execution and how the cryptocurrency works with the privacy networks Tor and I2P.
Monero and privacy coins have also recently gained support from some high profile figures in the tech and crypto industry.
"I think well also see privacy integrated into one of the dominant chains in the 2020s," Coinbase's chief executive Brian Armstrong wrote in a blog post back in January.
"Just like how the internet launched with HTTP, and only later introduced HTTPS as a default on many websites, I believe well eventually see a privacy coin or blockchain with built in privacy features get mainstream adoption in the 2020s. It doesnt make sense in most cases to broadcast every payment you make on a transparent ledger."
The monero price has surged over the last week, beating out bitcoin itself as the broader ... [+] cryptocurrency market bounces back.
John McAfee, the controversial and outspoken antivirus software developer and curve-ball U.S. presidential candidate, named monero as his cryptocurrency of choice earlier this year.
McAfee, who has reneged on his promise to "eat [his] own dick on national television" if the bitcoin price didn't hit $500,000 per bitcoin by the end of 2020, praised monero, along with ethereum, the second most valuable cryptocurrency after bitcoin.
McAfee made similar allusions to monero's technological superiority over bitcoin.
"Bitcoin was first. It's an ancient technology. All know it," McAfee said via Twitter before recommending monero to cryptocurrency users.
"Newer blockchains have privacy, smart contracts, distributed apps and more. Bitcoin is our future? Was the Model T the future of the automobile?"
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Just One Major Cryptocurrency Is Outperforming Bitcoin Right Now And Its Climbing Fast - Forbes
Bitcoin on the brink of major bullish breakout – Yahoo Finance
Bitcoin looks to be on the brink of a major breakout as it coils up just beneath the crucial $7,000 level of resistance.
The test of $7,000 comes after a volatile trading session that saw Bitcoin surge from $6,600 to $7,300 before being met with a substantial sell-off.
Bearish pressure eventually pushed price back below $6,800, although a bounce this morning has lifted it back into a bullish posture.
If Bitcoin can close Fridays daily candle and Sundays weekly candle above $7,150 it would confirm a bullish breakout, which would pave the way towards continuation to the upside.
Potential targets begin to emerge at both $7,400 and $7,850 if a breakout is to come into fruition, while a rejection from this point would likely see Bitcoin slide back to the $6,200 level of support.
Bitcoins recent bullish behaviour has led speculators to question whether next months halving event has already been priced in by traders, or whether it will rally this month in anticipation.
The block reward halving will see rewards for miners cut from 12.5BTC per block to 6.25BTC per block, thus reducing supply of Bitcoin coming onto the market.
While this has historically been a positive event for Bitcoin it could take a turn for the worse if the theory of miner capitulation rears its head.
The theory states that if Bitcoin drops to surprising lows, miners will be forced to shut up shop and cut losses as they wont be able to cover overheads, electricity and loan repayments.
If a large section of the mining pools exit the market it will make the Bitcoin blockchain far less secure, increasing the risk of a 51% attack.
As Bitcoin moves into the typically low-volume weekend there are a couple of key levels to look out for. As previously stated breaking above $7,150 would be extremely bullish in the short-term with price targets at $7,650 and above $8,000.
However, failure to make a new high would indicate a clear lack of bullish momentum, which could be the trigger for a continued downtrend to test yearly lows.
The key level of support to look out for is $5,900, which has been established over the past two years, notably during the 2018 bear market
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Bitcoin on the brink of major bullish breakout - Yahoo Finance
$8.5K Then $3K This Traders Bitcoin Price Call Is Playing Out – Cointelegraph
The Bitcoin price (BTC) has recovered strongly from $5,200 to $7,200 in the past two weeks, despite the declining appetite for high-risk assets including single-stocks and cryptocurrencies.
One prominent trader predicted the entire price movement of Bitcoin since its initial drop from $10,500 to sub-$6,000, and in the medium-term, the digital assets trend remains gloomy.
Crypto market daily price chart. Source: Coin360
PentarhUdi, a well known technical analyst and trader who has deftly predicted multiple Bitcoin market cycles in the past, initially estimated that Bitcoin price would plunge from $10,500 to $5,800 in the first week of February.
On February 10, 2020, the trader explained that based on candlestick wicks, $10,500 was technically a lower low at a macro level and given that this level was a historically heavy resistance, a drop to $5,800 was highly probable.
Citing PentarUdis $10,500 to $5,800 prediction, crypto whale and Bitfinex trader Joe007 said:
There is one, and only one, TA analyst in the world that I really respect, and just today, a few hours ago, he came up with this piece of analysis.
Due to a significant selloff in the U.S. stock market and the worsening Coronavirus pandemic that has since swept across the U.S. and Europe, the price of Bitcoin over extended its downtrend and fell to $3,600 on crypto futures exchanges.
The fact that buyers quickly stepped in to buy the dip and pushed the price from $3,600 to $5,200 led PentarUdi to suggest that Bitcoin price is likely to rally to $8,500 over the short term.
PentarUdi stated:
This should bounce up from weekly sma 200 ($5,200) up to daily sma 200 ($8,500). Break up of the upper trend line invalidates this bearish count. I remind this is a hypothetical bearish outcome of previously published ideas.
As a note of caution, PentarhUdi warned that as a result of the current global financial panic, Bitcoin is still likely to fall below $3,000 after rebounding past $8,000.
According to the trader:
I got a bearish target between $1,800 and $2,500. In this case weekly 200 SMA will be broken and become resistance. Many times and affords will require to break it up and make it support.
BTC-USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
In short, Bitcoin price is currently seeing a relief rally to the 200-day SMA, a point which has acted as a strong resistance area throughout the past several years. Yet, there is a strong possibility that the entire rally becomes susceptible to a deep correction.
With instability in the global equities market and dire warnings from governments that the novel Coronavirus pandemic could potentially lead to increased deaths over the next several months, a recovery to $8,500 could still be a bull trap.
On March 29, Anthony Fauci, the director of the U.S. National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases said that the Coronavirus could potentially lead to 200,000 fatalities.
If efforts to contain the outbreak in the U.S. and Europe fail and the development of a vaccine takes 12 to 18 months, the sentiment in crypto and equities markets could take an even deeper bearish turn.
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$8.5K Then $3K This Traders Bitcoin Price Call Is Playing Out - Cointelegraph
Bitcoin.com Fires 50% of Staff Ahead of BCH Halving – Bitcoinist
Its tough times ahead for BCH as Bitcoin.com prepares to work on a skeleton team. Just five days before the halving, the platform has allegedly fired half of its staff.
Theres been a ton of speculation leading up to the Bitcoin Halving over what will happen if the price doesnt recover. In fact, after the savage sell-off last month that hammered all markets, the Bitcoin network adjusted its mining difficulty from 16.55TN to 13.91TN on March 26.
Bitcoinist reported last week that many miners began to move away from Bitcoin Cash to mine BTC instead. It seems that the miner capitulation from its network may have affected BCH badly.
Its price may be following a similar recovery right now in line with the leading cryptocurrency, but its creators and advocates arent sending out very bullish signs.
Tech professional network Candor compiled a list of companies that are either freezing hiring due to the coronavirus or that have actively laid off staff. According to its findings, not only is Bitcoin.com freezing on hiring but it has actually axed half its team.
Bitcoinist was able to reach out and speak to sources familiar with the matter. They confirmed that the numbers sounded accurate.
It should be noted that Bitcoin.com isnt the only company to be trimming costs. Bitfury is apparently also letting employees go and Ripple has currently imposed a hiring freeze.
Drastic times call for drastic measures. However, a downscaling of such magnitude doesnt bode well for any companynot least one that is a protocol as well. Bitcoin Cash may be bigger than Bitcoin.com and larger than Roger Ver. But with miners already jumping ship before the BCH halving and such grim news to come out of this camp, the future of BCH looks a little uncertain.
What do you make of the Bitcoin.com lay-offs? Add your thoughts below!
Images via Shutterstock, Twitter @WhalePanda
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Bitcoin.com Fires 50% of Staff Ahead of BCH Halving - Bitcoinist
Pressure Test That Signaled Bitcoin (BTC) Bull Run Flashing As Ethereum and XRP Hit Crucial Lines of Resistance – The Daily Hodl
An indicator that accurately forecast Bitcoins rise to $10,000 in January is once again suggesting a rally may be on the horizon.
The DVAN buying and selling pressure gauge has identified a positive divergence and has flipped bullish, according to analysts at Bloomberg. The indicator assesses the underlying momentum of an asset in order to identify buying and selling pressure.
Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Mike McGlone says he expects BTC to stabilize this year and pass a key test for Bitcoins transition toward a quasi-currency like gold.
Meanwhile, the co-founder of Blockroots, Josh Rager, says BTC will need to hold onto its current line of support at around $6,700 to prevent another move to the downside.
BTC nice little pullback to support. Price needs to hold this area, with a close below the grey box.
In my opinion, price could be heading back down to low $6,000s. As long as the price holds here, not worried at the moment. Stop talking $5,000 and $8,000 pay attention to $6600s and $7,000 first.
Meanwhile, a pseudonymous analyst and technical trader who goes by the name George tells his 19,700 followers on Twitter that Ethereum (ETH) is battling resistance at the $140 mark.
If it closes above that line, he believes ETH could begin an explosive move to the upside. If not, he expects ETH to fall back to around $135.
ETH looks ready to explode Dump from here and I got my eyes on mid range.
As for XRP, crypto analyst and trader Michal van de Poppe says hes looking to see if it can overcome a longstanding line of resistance against BTC.
If XRP can push past its current price of about 18 cents, he says the crypto asset could rally to 21 cents.
Would be interesting to see whether XRP can flip this level back for support. Might support further continuation towards 3100 satoshis.
Featured Image: Shutterstock/Milkovasa
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Pressure Test That Signaled Bitcoin (BTC) Bull Run Flashing As Ethereum and XRP Hit Crucial Lines of Resistance - The Daily Hodl
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Targets $7,600 with Chance to Hit $8,900 Later – U.Today
Yuri Molchan
As Bitcoin is now about to retest the $7,000 level after hitting it on Thursday, traders are expecting BTC to break through and hit $7,400-$7,600
On Thursday, April 2, Bitcoin hit the $7,082 price mark giving the markethope for a bullish continuation. However, BTC plunged back to $6,779 later on.
As BTC has recovered to $6,914 at the time of writing, traders are making bullish bets on BTC going over$7,600 and assuming it could hit $8,900 after that.
Trader George tweetedthat hourly and four-hour candles closed strong and now he is targetingthe $7,600 level.
However, later on, he tweeted that the $6,800 is the key for now. Unless BTC falls below that, the price could retest the yearly open level in the $7,200 area.
If BTC breaks below the $6,600 zone, bulls will be in trouble, as per George.
Nik Patel, a trader andauthor of An Altcoin Traders Handbook', says heshorted BTC when it reached $6,960. Now,he expects the digital gold to decline to 5,820.
Shorted $BTC at 6960, stop at 7410 and looking for 5820. Right now this looks like a retest of double-top resistance at 6990 after a swing-failure of those highs and rejection at yearly open.
Trader and technical analyst Nicola Duke Crown expects Bitcoin to break above the $7,175 mark today and then head towards much higher levels - $8,500-$8,900.
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Bitcoin (BTC) Price Targets $7,600 with Chance to Hit $8,900 Later - U.Today
How COVID-19 Is Changing Narratives From Bitcoin to DeFi – CoinDesk
How the once-in-a-generation COVID-19 pandemic is shifting the way we think and talk about different parts of the crypto industry - from bitcoin (BTC) to DeFi to stablecoins.
On Jan. 28, Bloombergs Joe Weisenthal tweeted, Notable overlap on here between the most alarmist people tweeting about the virus and those who are obsessed with the size of the Fed balance sheet.
There is no doubt the bitcoin and crypto community broadly were far earlier in recognizing the potential significance of the COVID-19 crisis than most professional communities. Today, America preps for at least another month of lockdown and social distancing. The markets continue their chaotic swing as investors are simply unable to price in such a once-in-a-lifetime event.
A question for the crypto community becomes: How is this impacting narratives about our own industry?
In this episode, @NLW looks at the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on narratives around:
The leader in blockchain news, CoinDesk is a media outlet that strives for the highest journalistic standards and abides by a strict set of editorial policies. CoinDesk is an independent operating subsidiary of Digital Currency Group, which invests in cryptocurrencies and blockchain startups.
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How COVID-19 Is Changing Narratives From Bitcoin to DeFi - CoinDesk
Bitcoin’s Safe-Haven Status Is Not Dead as Correlation to Gold Reaches New Highs: Report – U.Today
Alex Dovbnya
Bitcoin is struggling to decouple from traditional assets during the coronavirus-driven crisis, but its long-term correlations remain low, according to VanEck
According to a new report published byVanEck'sGabor Gurbacs, Bitcoin's correlation to gold has reached 'levels never seen before' due to the COVID-19 crisis.
Gurbacs states that it hints at the cryptocurrency's increasingsafe-haven that was called into question during the most recent sell-off.
As trading vet John Bollinger explained, all assets are highly correlated during such black swan events. Meanwhile, cold hard cash becomes king since it is viewed as the only flight to safety.
As reported by U.Today, Bitcoin's correlations with U.S. equities also recently hit a new all-time high. Bitcoin has been struggling to decouple from the stock market since the start of the coronavirus-driven sell-off.
On Apr. 2, BTC spiked to nearly $7,300on the looming oil war truce but quickly shed its gains.
Still, despite the coronavirus-induced liquidity squeeze, Gurbacs concludes that long-term correlations with traditional assets remain rather low. This means that investors could consider adding BTC to their portfolios for diversification purposes.
In fact, it has been estimated a small amount of BTC could significantly decrease the volatility of thetraditional 60/40 portfolio that consists of stocks and bonds.
Notably,theVanguard Balanced Index Fundhas slumped 22 percent from its 2020 high, which greatly exceeds Bitcoin's 10 percent yearly loss.
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Bitcoin's Safe-Haven Status Is Not Dead as Correlation to Gold Reaches New Highs: Report - U.Today