Category Archives: Bitcoin
5 Reasons Why Bitcoin Is Likely Going Much Higher From Here – Seeking Alpha
Source: CNBC.com
Bitcoin (BTC-USD) appears to be at another inflection point here. The crypto asset had gained as much 84% from its low point in late 2019, and is up by roughly 150% since my "Bitcoin: The Bottom Appears To Be In" article was released in late 2018. However, despite a valiant effort Bitcoin was unable to successfully penetrate the crucial $10K level on a sustainable basis in recent weeks.
Source: BitcoinCharts.com
Nevertheless, if we look closely we see that this is likely only a temporary setback:
Source: Binance.com
We have a beautiful cup and handle pattern developing. Moreover, Bitcoin recently successfully tested the crucial $9,500 support level. Now we are seeing the formation of the handle, and Bitcoin is likely to break out above the $10K-$10.5K resistance soon.
Next level of resistance will come at $11K, and then at around $12.5K-$13K. Once Bitcoin can break out above these levels, it's likely headed to $15K, then to previous all-time highs around $20K, and then higher after that.
Bitcoin and other systemically important cryptocurrencies are leading components of a rapidly-developing industry which has enormous growth potential going forward. Bitcoin and other digital assets are likely to become more popular and could become widely used over the next several years.
Thus, as the use of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies increases so should the value of the underlying digital assets due to the "Network Effect" and other factors. Increased use and growing popularity, continuous fiat money printing, as well as other elements could lead to rapidly-growing demand for Bitcoin and numerous other market-leading crypto assets. Therefore, prices for Bitcoin and other key market leading digital assets will likely go up significantly over the next several years.
Now, when I say move up significantly during the next several years I'm not talking about Bitcoin going to $15K or $20K. Bitcoin may attain these levels within the next year or sooner if no major setbacks occur. Moving up significantly means that Bitcoin will likely reach new all-time highs of roughly $75K - $100K in its next major peak.
There are numerous reasons why Bitcoin could hit a price range of $75K-$100K over the next several years, but some of they key factors include:
1. Historical price trends which enable Bitcoin to move in waves, where each consecutive peak is significantly higher than the previous one.
2. The Network Effect, meaning that as the number of users increase on Bitcoin's blockchain, so does the price. In fact, there's a direct correlation between the number of users on Bitcoin's blockchain and its price.
Source: SeekingAlpha.com
It's somewhat similar to Facebook (FB), as Facebook would not be very valuable with 100, 1,000, or even with a million users. Yet, given that Facebook has roughly 2.5 billion AMUs it's one of the most dominant and powerful companies in the world.
Bitcoin is not a company, but it benefits from a similar phenomenon. The more users join Bitcoin's blockchain network, the more demand it creates for Bitcoin, and the demand drives BTC's price higher.
3. Extremely low market penetration. Despite there being so much noise about Bitcoin, there are only about 46 million blockchain wallets worldwide. This is roughly 1% of the global Internet-using population. Furthermore, if we factor in that many blockchain wallets have been abandoned due to various reasons (lost keys, many users having multiple wallets, etc.) the number of Bitcoin owners/users is substantially smaller than 46 million.
Image Source
By my latest calculations the real number is closer to 25 million, which implies a market penetration rate of roughly half of 1%. With a potential 99.5% untapped market it's very likely that Bitcoin and other digital assets are still in the early stages of their development cycles and have a lot of growth ahead of them.
4. Bitcoin and other digital assets are in many ways superior to fiat currencies. First, many are essentially inflation proof. There are only 21 million Bitcoins that can ever be mined, as opposed to the limitless number of yen, dollars, euros or any other fiat currency that can be printed or digitally created by central banks.
5. There's no centralized third-party involvement. With Bitcoin, you don't need to worry about being charged for every transaction by a predatory third party (commercial bank). Our current financial system is essentially corroded with greed. If you want to take money out of the ATM, you pay a fee. If you want to use your debit card overseas, you pay a fee. If you want to transfer funds from your account in the U.S. to your own account in a bank in another country you pay a fee, etc. and etc.
The saddest thing is that even if you do nothing with your fiat money you are still paying an inflation fee, as inflation slowly but surely essentially eats away the value of your fiat money.
With Bitcoin and other true decentralized digital coins you are essentially free from the predatory banking system. It's your own money and you can use it how you want it, when you want it, and you don't have constant parasitic elements eating away at your money. To the contrary, as the value of fiats slowly erodes the value of Bitcoin and other digital currencies should rise.
I believe it is Henry Ford who once said:
It is well enough that people of the nation do not understand our banking and monetary system, for if they did, I believe there would be a revolution before tomorrow morning.
Source
I believe that many people still do not understand how the banking and monetary system that has been imposed on the world really works. What's worse in my view is that many don't seem to care as they have become accustomed to the current monetary financial order. Nevertheless, Bitcoin and digital assets in general can change all this and with time they likely will.
This means that the optimal currency/payment system, which in my view is Bitcoin/blockchain/digital assets, will continuously capture market share from the parasitic, "old world" financial fiat order.
In 2017, there was around $90.4 trillion worth of broad money supply, and a high end estimate of $1.2 quadrillion in derivatives in the world. I'm convinced that these numbers are likely much higher now. In fact, just from the U.S. there's around $670 trillion worth of derivatives floating around. I want to emphasize that this is up from just $89 trillion in 2000, which is astounding.
Image Source
It's not just derivatives. In fact, if we look at financial statistics in the U.S. and in other developed nations the image is stunning and quite troubling. For now let's focus on the U.S. since it's the largest economy in the world and still creates the worlds "reserve currency."
Now Let's Look at Money Creation Figures
The takeaway here is that the Fed and other major central banks need to continuously create more fiat currencies to fuel their country's enormous budget deficits and servicing payments. Even with the 10-year at around 1.5-2% the U.S. will pay around $350 - $470 billion in debt servicing payments alone over the next year or so.
Therefore, the debt will continue to rise, and it will most likely rise faster than GDP. This means that the Fed will need to lower rates further and will have to expand the money supply perpetually to keep up with servicing payments and to essentially try to inflate the debt away.
There's also the fact that a recession will arrive eventually. This also will require lower rates and fresh rounds of QE to enable the U.S. to absorb the financial shocks of a recession and then to help stimulate the economy back to growth. Thus, we could be looking at "QE 4ever" going forward, and naturally this means a whole lot of fiat money creation.
The problem is that this will hurt the USD. Furthermore, all major central banks are essentially doing the same thing, lowering rates, continuously flooding the financial system with new capital, etc. Therefore, inflation resistant assets like gold, silver, Bitcoin and other market-leading digital assets should continue to appreciate perpetually on a long-term basis.
Given the current economic circumstances and considering that fiat creation will likely intensify in the future, people may begin to lose faith in the old world financial order. The likeliest place for the to turn to will be Bitcoin, and systemically important alt coins such as Litecoin (LTC-USD), Dash (DASH-USD), Zcash (ZEC-USD), and others.
Therefore, substantial price appreciation in this segment is extremely likely due to future demand which ultimately drives price. Due to this phenomenon, Bitcoin's past price movement trajectory, and other elements Bitcoin's next peak could be around $75K-$100K, and may arrive within the next 2-5 years.
Risks to Consider
Bitcoin is a very volatile asset and is not suited for everyone. Numerous factors like increased government regulation, hacking, functionality issues (such as speed, cost, and scale), fraudulent activity, and other negative elements could impact Bitcoin's popularity and thus effect BTC's price negatively.
Therefore, for investors with low to mild risk tolerance perhaps a position size of 3%-5% of total portfolio holdings may be appropriate. For investors with higher risk tolerance a position size of 10% or more of total portfolio holdings may make sense.
Please keep in mind that no one knows exactly how Bitcoin's future will play out. The digital asset could be worth a lot more than it is now several years down the line, or it could be worth a lot less if negative elements begin to materialize surrounding the digital asset market.
Want the whole picture? If you would like full articles that include technical analysis, trade triggers, portfolio strategies, options insight, and much more, consider joining Albright Investment Group!
Disclosure: I am/we are long BTC-USD, AND OTHER DIGITAL ASSETS. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Additional disclosure: This article expresses solely my opinions, is produced for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Please always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
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5 Reasons Why Bitcoin Is Likely Going Much Higher From Here - Seeking Alpha
Tron CEO: Bitcoin to Break $100K in 2025 and Pull Up Other Coins – Cointelegraph
Justin Sun, the founder and CEO of Tron (TRX), the 15th biggest cryptocurrency by market cap, is investing in a number of cryptos other than Bitcoin (BTC).
In a Feb. 23 interview with CNN, Tron CEO said that he is a long-term believer in cryptocurrencies and owns a stake in many altcoins, including the two largest coins after Bitcoin Ether (ETH) and XRP.
When asked whether Sun has its crypto portfolio diversified, the Tron CEO answered:
I own a lot of XRP and Ethereum, too. Im like a long-term believer of the crypto so I want all crypto assets to succeed. So thats why I own a lot of other different cryptos as well.
As a major believer in crypto, Sun is bullish on the price of cryptocurrencies and confident that cryptos like Bitcoin are the future of money. In the interview, Tron CEO predicted that Bitcoin will cross $100,000 mark in 2025, emphasizing that other cryptocurrencies will follow the trend.
Justin Suns $100,000 Bitcoin prediction in his own words:
I definitely believe Bitcoin will pass $100K in 2025. I believe we can achieve this price before 2025. At the same time, I think a lot of other crypto projects like Tron, Ethereum and XRP will also see bull market.
In line with his bullish stance on crypto, Trons Justin Sun claimed in the interview that he invests all of his money to crypto. However, Sun still converts his crypto in fiat currencies like the United States dollar. In the interview, Tron CEO said that he only withdraws crypto to fiat when he needs to spend money in his daily life.
The news comes about a month after Sun had his charity lunch with Berkshire Hathaway chairman and known Bitcoin critic Warren Buffett. On Jan. 23, Tron CEO met with Buffett to finally have a long-awaited luncheon after postponing the event for medical reasons previously in 2019.
In the latest interview, Tron CEO revealed that he didnt exactly try to convince the famous billionaire investor that crypto will massively surge in the coming years. Instead, Justin Sun was trying to explain some crypto potentials to Buffett as he wanted him to understand basic fundamentals of blockchain and crypto such as instant crypto transactions.
Tron CEO also outlined that Buffett was very open to new technologies like crypto and blockchain, noting that the the known investor accepted Bitcoin and TRX from him. However, Buffett has claimed that he doesnt own any cryptocurrency and doesnt plan to invest in any crypto in a Feb. 24 interview with CNBC. In the interview, the billionaire investor reiterated his negative stance on crypto, arguing that cryptos have zero value and dont produce anything.
In another CNBC interview in 2018, Buffet predicted that crypto will come to a bad ending, declaring that Bitcoin is "probably rat poison squared.
Cointelegraph reached out to the Tron team for additional comments on the matter and will update if we hear back.
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Tron CEO: Bitcoin to Break $100K in 2025 and Pull Up Other Coins - Cointelegraph
Upcoming Bitcoin bull will be the last one we can predict, claims China mining tycoon – Decrypt
The bitcoin tycoon recently took toWeibo (Twitter's equivalent in China) to opine about his prediction of bitcoins next halving. As the date of the third bitcoin halving draws near, debates regarding when the halving effects kick in and how it will influence price have been intensifying.
Since bitcoins creation in 2009, its block reward is designed to be halved every 4 years. There have been two halvings, with the first happening on November 28, 2012, and the second on July 9, 2016. The next halving event is estimated to fall onMay 12 this year, when mining rewards will get cut in half, to 6.25 BTC per block.
In terms of bitcoin price performance, the two previous halvings have projected bullish momentum a year before and after the event. Bitcoin bulls strongly believe that bitcoin would also see great gains in price this time, while some others say that history may not predict the future.
In Jiangs view, bitcoin halving this time will definitely bring in a bull market and it is likely to be the last bull run that can be clearly foreseen on the grounds that:
Some have argued that when there are legal and convenient channels for regular people, bitcoin will have a huge potential investor base. But there's still a long way for bitcoin to go to get close to the acceptance of traditional assets such as stocks. So it's hard to predict what will happen.
[This story was originally published in 8BTC.com, and is shared by arrangement with that site. It has been edited to conform with Decrypt's style.]
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Upcoming Bitcoin bull will be the last one we can predict, claims China mining tycoon - Decrypt
The Knives are Out on Crypto Twitter as Bitcoin OG Turns into Altcoin Shill – newsBTC
One of the earliest Bitcoin proponents is facing criticism for publicly endorsing an alternative crypto asset. Trace Mayer, who recommended people buy Bitcoin back in 2010, appeared on a recent YouTube interview talking very highly of Mimblewimble Coin.
Industry observers have taken issue with the fact that Mimblewimble Coin launched with a 50 percent pre-mine. Many in the crypto industry believe Mayers sudden endorsement of the recently-launched project is aimed at his own personal enrichment.
Investor, entrepreneur, and general advocate of freedom Trace Mayer was one of the first people to openly promote Bitcoin. According to the Bitcoin Knowledge podcast hosts website, he actually started in 2010, when the entire BTC market cap was less than $2 million.
As well as hosting his own podcast on Bitcoin, Mayer has appeared on countless YouTube channels to talk Bitcoin. Being involved with BTC from almost the very beginning, and him not using his credibility in the industry to promote questionable initial coin offerings during the 2017 bull market, earned Mayer the respect of many.
So too did his efforts at promoting Bitcoin as the ultimate asset by which to realise true monetary sovereignty. Starting in 2019, Mayer advocated an annual bank run of sorts on crypto asset exchange platforms on Bitcoins birthday. The idea behind proof-of-keys was to simultaneously promote self-custody of digital currencies, as well as to check on the solvency of the exchange platforms themselves.
Recently, Mayer appeared on yet another crypto-focused YouTube channel. Only this time, he didnt just champion Bitcoin.
The interview with World Alternative Mediaopened with questions about the Bitcoin halving and its likely impact on price. As you might expect from one of the most enduring Bitcoin advocates, Mayer thinks the supply shock will result in a higher Bitcoin price.
The Bitcoin Knowledge host then, seemingly out of nowhere, starts to laud more privacy-focused projects, in particular Mimblewimble Coin. He describes it as potentially more disruptive than Bitcoin:
. scalability increase, privacy, fungibility, anonymity, they think Bitcoins a problem? You can actually see whats happening on the Bitcoin blockchain.
Mayer makes a clear effort to promote Mimblewimble Coin in the above interview. Even after the presenter attempts to change the subject away from the relatively new altcoin, Mayer brings it up again.
He suggests that Bitcoin and Mimblewimble Coin are actually complimentary to one another, describing the pair as a two-headed dragon.
Mimblewimble itself is a privacy and scaling protocol that coins like Grin and Beam use. Many long-time Bitcoin proponents are interested in the technology since it may solve perceived issues with the leading crypto asset if implemented in the future.
Although it shares the name, many have dismissed Mimblewimble Coin as a scam. Those critical of it have drawn attention to major red flags within the projects whitepaper.
The chief of these, as highlighted in the below tweet, is a massive pre-mine of around 50 percent of the 20 million tokens that will exist. The rest of the supply will reportedly be released over time in the form of mining rewards.
The projects website gives little information as to the actual distribution of the pre-mined coins. It states only that 7.4 million are currently circulating.
NewsBTC could not confirm whether Mayer himself was an actual beneficiary of the pre-mine or otherwise. However, many of the industrys most prominent names believe the sudden shilling of Mimblewimble Coin is for Mayers own financial benefit. Some go as far as to suggest that Mayer himself is in someway connected with the project:
Some within the cryptocurrency industry confirm that Mayer promoted Mimblewimble Coin directly to them. Popular author and economics professor Saifedean Ammous replied to someone asking if he knew that Mayer had been attempting to pump the crypto asset:
Above, Ammous says that advised Mayer to keep his interests in the altcoin quiet. He says he warned him that public shilling of the pointless scam would result in the destruction of his reputation. If true, with hindsight, the advice was right on the money as per the criticism Mayer now faces.
Related Reading: Bitcoin Craters to $9,500 After Fakeout: Heres Why Its Time to Pay Attention
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The Knives are Out on Crypto Twitter as Bitcoin OG Turns into Altcoin Shill - newsBTC
Bitcoin (BTC) Adoption Growing at Hyberbolic Rate, Half the World Set to Use Crypto in 7 Years: Willy Woo – The Daily Hodl
Crypto analyst and influencer Willy Woo thinks half the world will be utilizing crypto assets in seven years.
At the 2020 Unconfiscatable Conference in Las Vegas this past weekend, the digital asset strategist and partner at Adaptive Capital compared cryptos rise to the internets, saying its a process that starts off slow and gradually gains exponential speed.
Human nature is one that looks at things in a linear stance. So were not very good at looking at exponential growth, which is obviously what Bitcoin is doing. The equivalent question is, the internet was invented in the 1960s. [Say its] 1994 now why dont we have mass adoption? The thing is, it was growing at a very hyperbolic rate.
If you were to look at where we are on the adoption curve, 1% of the world population is holding this asset class, and if you look at the rate at which thats growing, which is 2x every year, theres kind of a Moores Law of adoption happening right now. Its 4x in a bull market.
If you run those numbers, were going to have half the world using this stuff within seven years. So when you say, Why dont we have mass adoption? Well, its happening now. And by the time we hit like 5%, 15%, itll be a year or two away before its there. So Id look at the model of the internet and what happened by the time we hit the 2000s.
Back in December, Wooreleasedon-chain analysis that he says indicates Bitcoin is entering another bull phase.
On-chain momentum is crossing into bullish. Prep for halvening front running here on in. Cant say what this indicator is, as its proprietary to @AdaptiveFund , but it tracks investor momentum. The bottom is mostly likely in, anything lower will be just a wick in the macro view.
He also publishedadditional BTC analysis earlier this month, saying a surge in the number of people holding Bitcoin for the long haul is bullish for BTC.
This breakout is the real deal. Fundamental investment activity is backing this $10k breakout.
Lower chart tracks investor velocity (the buy and hold people, not short term traders). This metric corrects for degradation of signal from coins moving off the blockchain onto layer 2 (exchanges etc), that was something NVT was prone to.
Featured Image: Shutterstock/Quardia
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Bitcoin (BTC) Adoption Growing at Hyberbolic Rate, Half the World Set to Use Crypto in 7 Years: Willy Woo - The Daily Hodl
Beanie Babies and Black Markets: Where Mainstream Media Gets Bitcoin Wrong – Nasdaq
Bitcoin has a media problem. Or, perhaps, the media has a Bitcoin problem.
Mainstream media has often framed Bitcoin with the same scandalous curiosity that may publicize a troubled former child star or a controversial tech startup. Most journalists have viewed it as a sideshow, a distraction that warrants only so much attention lest it detract from the supreme spectacle of the 21st centurys historic advancements in technology, business and finance. By some combination of apathy, lack of curiosity and ignorance, Bitcoin is often misrepresented or represented poorly in mainstream news outlets.
Lets cut these career journalists some slack. After all, a traditional finance reporter may be daunted by this new and confusing world of decentralized digital currency. And fluent as they may be with the ever-evolving world, seasoned technology reporters may nonetheless view Bitcoin as a leviathan of the technically arcane.
Bitcoin is indeed a complex esoterica. So its little wonder that just four years after its creation (when Bitcoin was beginning to formally enter the international conscience), Vitalik Buterin opined in the seventh print volume of Bitcoin Magazine that a significant amount of disinformation about Bitcoin continues to float around the internet.
Read Vitalik Buterins Common Misconceptions About Bitcoin A Guide for Journalists.
In an article called Common Misconceptions About Bitcoin A Guide for Journalists, Buterin listed five prevalent misconceptions and attempted to set the record straight.
Whether a given story is unfairly biased against Bitcoin, or even unfairly biased in its favor, it is important to work together to make sure that the truth always comes out in the first case, not to needlessly scare potential Bitcoin adopters away, and in the second case, not to disappoint, he wrote.
When writing for the February 2013 print issue, Buterin admitted that things had gotten better from Bitcoins earliest years. But over seven years since Buterins original article was published, we clearly have a long way to go until even rudimentary Bitcoin literacy becomes prevalent in the circles of traditional journalists.
I say rudimentary because, to this day, some of the most glaring misconceptions about Bitcoin are still the easiest to dismiss. It would be unreasonable for us to expect journalists whose beat is typically anything but Bitcoin to parse the differences in the block size debate or have a fluent understanding of the Lightning Networks technical infrastructure.
But 11 years out from Bitcoins launch, its absurd to see the core tenet of Bitcoins architecture its decentralization so blatantly mischaracterized or outright ignored. Or, as one Motley Fool article from 2019 shows, Bitcoin is constantly contrasted with a corporate structure:
Heres the problem: Buying a cryptocurrency token (bitcoin or most any other) does not give investors any ownership in the underlying blockchain. If the underlying blockchain of a crypto token becomes the basis for innovation at a particular company or within an industry, its associated token isnt necessarily going to benefit (and neither will token-holders), the article reads.
When you buy bitcoin, you are not buying shares of a company, nor do you hold equity (as this excerpt laments); you are buying into a digital monetary system that exists outside of the current system. When you understand that Bitcoin is a monetary system (and thus also intrinsically a store of value, medium of exchange and a unit of account), the comparison to a corporation is as anathema to Bitcoins design as it is ignorant.
To be sure, this conversation has evolved. At least now, slightly more educated detractors know that Bitcoin is not owned by anyone and no corporation has de jure control over it. Altering their stance, many now argue that miners have de facto control of the network. Centralization of mining in China is a cause for concern, but what the alarmist viewpoints dont take into account are the complex social and technical mechanisms that check and balance mining centralization.
As Kyle Torpey has espoused, ultimately investors hold the keys to the kingdom, and as NO2X showed us, so too do the node operators something Satoshi intended from the start.
My next gripe with mainstream Bitcoin coverage is not one Buterin covered. In 2013, few altcoins existed, and the ICO boom, which Buterins Ethereum would ironically detonate, was a few years out.
But in the fallout of 2017s market hysteria, as snake oil and utopian promises flowed like sour mana from the marketing teams of a new class of crypto-hucksters, the idea that the real innovation is blockchain not Bitcoin has ossified in the minds of many who follow the cryptocurrency scene with marginal interest.
To answer why bitcoin has become so big, one Guardian columnist pontificated in 2018, we need to separate the usefulness of the underlying technology called blockchain from the mania of people turning bitcoin into a big dumb lottery. Blockchain is simply a nifty software invention (which is open-source and free for anyone to use), whereas bitcoin is just one well-known way to use it.
Imagine for a moment that people had said TCP/IP is just one well-known way to use it and that the real innovation was the internet, which must be co-opted to create a private, permissioned version of the real thing. People did this: the result was the intranet, a private version of the internet that is primarily used for private functions for businesses or other organizations today.
Of all Buterins observations in 2013, none ring so painfully true today as the ever-raging debate over Bitcoins security.
I have personally read numerous articles that misattribute an exchanges servers being compromised to a security breach in Bitcoins core software.
For a technology thats supposed to be hyper secure, in practice, its often proven itself to be, well, not, one Recode (Vox) article from 2019 states with snarky confidence. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have proven a prime target for hackers despite their characterization by proponents as super safe and impregnable.
This is an egregious mischaracterization of Bitcoins design. And even though the author later on distinguishes between Bitcoins blockchain and Binances own security (with Binances 2019 hack as the timely subject of the coverage), the lede suggests that Bitcoin itself was hacked. For the average reader, who might not get past the headline or first paragraph, this could be enough to cement in their mind that Bitcoins technical structure is shot full of holes. Indeed, the blunderbuss reporting of the likes of Vox are the forces that shred this security in front of the readers very eyes; even if this damage is fictional, the shrapnel is very real for readers who dont know better.
When the media frames bitcoin exchange hacks in this way, it has the same effect as when undereducated journalists harp on the virtues of blockchain technology or mistakenly frame Bitcoin as a centralized entity. The truth eludes all but the most critical observers, and non-Bitcoiners are left with rotten kernels of mistruths (or, in the worst cases, propaganda), which they accept as truisms: After all, didnt the Guardian publish the story?
One of these aphorisms is the ever-looming Bitcoin obituary. I hardly need to cite any examples here, as this phenomenon is burned into any faithful Bitcoiners consciousness. If misconceptions about Bitcoins decentralization and its security are the head and neck of our collective albatross, then this is the sagging torso it is constantly weighing us down.
Buterin wrote particularly about a myth in 2011 that bitcoins market price had fallen to $0.01. How prescient this gripe was would only become apparent following bitcoins meteoric race to $20,000. Ever since, the number of publications pronouncing Bitcoin dead has seemed to multiply; like a plague of cicadas, the death knells hum and rattle on with a pessimistic buzz.
Shy of transcending the $20,000 all-time high, we likely will not hear the end of these incessant wakes. Mainstream journalists tend to think that Icaruss wings have dissolved and the boy is now dead. They ignore bitcoin setting local highs, so they believe that it is effectively dead or as the New York Times Nathaniel Popper put it in yet another article extolling Bitcoins capacity to bankroll criminal activity that bitcoin has lost steam.
Even as bitcoin reaches local highs in value and as companies like Blockstream, Lightning Labs and others continue to push important protocol developments the reports of Bitcoins untimely death pour in.
Keep them coming, and Bitcoiners will keep our tally going.
Another primary misconception stems from Bitcoins utility and its branding as electronic cash.
Detractors often cite that no one is using bitcoin as a medium of exchange and that few retailers accept it. A wellspring of online theory and thought is remolding our perceptions of Bitcoin, though. Its not just a currency but an entire monetary system. Its not just cash, but its digital gold, as well.
Much like the gift of the internet became much more than sending messages, Bitcoin has evolved into more than a currency or rather, our perception of it has. The gold narrative, of course, is still subjective. Many people see gold as highly speculative and of little use, so selling them on the notion that Bitcoin is digital gold and by extension, valuable will be a harder sell still and will likely take some years to cement. Still, deriding bitcoin as useless because you cant buy coffee with it is an absurd and myopic view.
Not least because bitcoin has proven its utility as a permissionless and censorship-resistant form of currency. These are the key characteristics of Bitcoin, and as Nic Carter trenchantly observes in A Most Peaceful Revolution, this is what Bitcoin is all about: All of Bitcoins utility and significance, all of its appeal and all of its potency take root in its primary function as a monetary system that is parallel to and exists to undermine the state.
Hence why so many journalists, as evidenced by Buterins final objection in the 2013 article that persists even now, fixate on bitcoins utility in illicit markets. Indeed, the Silk Road catapulted bitcoin and its price to hitherto-unseen significance in 2010 and 2011. Bitcoin is first and foremost useful for edge cases like this, sectors of the economy that are illegal and cannot operate without a permissionless and pseudonymous means of exchange.
These are also the most interesting use cases for Bitcoin. For many journalists, they are the most sensational and salacious, so they crowd headlines in hopes of driving clicks in an industry that lives or dies on website traffic and SEO placement. Perhaps we could again cut these journalists some slack; after all, many of them are covering Bitcoin on an ad hoc basis on the whims of their editors.
But the common insistence that Bitcoin is only good for terrorism, drugs and other illicit activities is tragically overplayed. Fewer than 1 percent of Bitcoin transactions can be attributed to illicit activity, according to research by blockchain analytics firm Elliptic. Even so, stories of exchange hacks, ransomware and drug markets have outsized representation in mainstream media.
Again, perhaps we can chalk this one up to an era of broken incentives for online media, where sensationalism dominates both attention and content. From their bully pulpit, these outlets harangue and taunt Bitcoin proponents and whip their readers into their biased points of view.
But even so, it seems like statistics such as the one above should be hard enough evidence to snuff out this coverage; or at the least, journalists could include the illicit transactions that drive Bitcoin adoption in countries choked by despotism or international sanctions, such as Iran and Venezuela.
Another often-ignored statistic is that over 70 percent of bitcoin mining is sourced from renewable energy. In 2017, the world seemed to awaken to the trade-off of proof of work: More activity on the network equals more energy expended. This has led to the common refrain (now something of an inside joke among Bitcoiners) that Bitcoin will boil the oceans.
Hardly. Not only is the vast majority of bitcoin mined using renewable energy, but it consumes fewer kWh annually than Christmas lights or every idle device running in U.S. households yearly not to mention that the carbon footprint is several magnitudes less than that of the global banking and finance industries.
Once again, we see a sensationalist narrative peddled with little regard for oppositional arguments or even hard statistics.
Now, Bitcoin literacy among some journalists has improved since Buterin first covered these misconceptions in 2013. Bitcoins features, such as the 21 million hard cap, its decentralized node architecture and even the Lightning Network, are starting to take hold. But even so, misconceptions abound, some of which as evidenced in this article are almost as old as Bitcoin itself.
Uneducated reporting on Bitcoin eventually gave way to Bitcoin-specific media, of which Bitcoin Magazine was the seminal outlet. Until mainstream media acquaints itself more thoroughly with Bitcoin, well be around to throw the FUD back in their faces and correct the record.
Some, as with their perceptions of gold, may never come to see the value that we do. Or, if they do, they may grudgingly succumb to the changing times as the old guard did with the advent of the internet.
No matter the scenario, Bitcoin needs a voice to right the fallacies preached by the mainstream. So, were not going anywhere.
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.
Originally posted here:
Beanie Babies and Black Markets: Where Mainstream Media Gets Bitcoin Wrong - Nasdaq
Latest Bitcoin Cash price and analysis (BCH to USD) – Coin Rivet
Bitcoin Cash remains on the brink of a major correction after suffering a 26% decline over the past 11 days.
It is now hovering above the $360 level of support despite momentarily rallying to around $400 on Monday.
The lack of positivity from a technical perspective is in stark contrast to that of Ethereum which remains in a bullish posture with daily candles consistently closing above the $257 level of support.
A break down in price from $360 will see Bitcoin Cash test the 100 exponential moving average (EMA) at $327 with potential that it may slide all the way down to the 200 EMA $307.
In order to invalidate the current bearish bias it needs to rally and close daily candles above the $418 level of resistance, failure to do this would add momentum to a further swing to the downside.
In spite of the coming weeks looking bleak for Bitcoin Cash, it is still 88% up since the turn of the year when it was trading below the $200 mark.
The rise in price can be attributed to a unified softening of views towards cryptocurrencies in light of increased institutional investment and mounting anticipation surrounding Bitcoins halving in May.
The Bitcoin halving will see miner rewards slashed from 12.5BTC to 6.25BTC per block, which has historically caused a surge in the price of all cryptocurrencies as the notion of digital scarcity comes into effect.
With less supply the market price will naturally increase. This should, in turn, drive potential demand to increase the likelihood of a rally.
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Current live BCH pricing information and interactive charts are available on our site 24 hours a day. The ticker bar at the bottom of every page on our site has the latest BCH price. Pricing is also available in a range of different currency equivalents:
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Bitcoin Cash was born out of the idea of making Bitcoin more practical for small, day-to-day payments. In May 2017, Bitcoin payments took about four days unless a fee was paid, which was proportionately too large for small transactions. A change to the code was implemented and Bitcoin Cash was born on 1st August 2017.
If you want to find out more information about Bitcoin Cash orcryptocurrenciesin general, then use the search box at the top of this page. Heres an article to get you started:
https://coinrivet.com/roger-ver-to-launch-crypto-exchange-on-bitcoin-com/
As with any investment, it pays to do some homework before you part with your money. The prices of cryptocurrencies are volatile and go up and down quickly. This page is not recommending a particular currency or whether you should invest or not.
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Latest Bitcoin Cash price and analysis (BCH to USD) - Coin Rivet
The Stories of Bitcoin Magazine Revisited – Bitcoin Magazine
From 2012 to 2014, Bitcoin Magazine produced 22 print issues covering the burgeoning technology, its budding culture and potential impact.
This week, weve revisited some of those stories with updates, reflections and commentary.
And if youre really astute, youll notice that weve been experimenting with the format of Bitcoin Magazine over the past few weeks. As part of our new year planning, we decided that we should really shift our focus more toward storytelling instead of primarily publishing news.
While we arent horrible at producing news, there are other sites with more reporters that already do a great job at serving that need for our readers. At some point, it all becomes noise if theres no differentiation.
To help increase the depth of our stories, were doubling down on our non-written content to help support our stories in more formats. We now have multiple podcasts (Weekly Bits, Happy Hour, and our flagship Bitcoin Magazine Podcast) available on every major platform, plus were ramping up our video content on YouTube and Twitter.
If youre interested in writing/podcasting/producing video with us, drop me a note at flip at bitcoinmagazine.com. Were actively wanting to hear from new voices in the ecosystem.
2020 will be a banner year for Bitcoin and theres excitement in the air once again. As all of the precoiners rush to comprehend what is happening, we want to be a place for all of them to learn about the different aspects that reinforce how transformative Bitcoin will be to our lives. Its not just about number go up and orange coin good; true hyperbitcoinization will change in ways for which we are not prepared.
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The Stories of Bitcoin Magazine Revisited - Bitcoin Magazine
Binance CEO Makes Rare Price PredictionSays This Is When To Buy Bitcoin – Forbes
Bitcoin, along with the surging wider cryptocurrency market, has had an incredible start to the year.
The bitcoin price has rallied around 50% since January 1, with some smaller cryptocurrencies making surprise triple-digit percentage gains, and many bitcoin bulls think it still has further to gothough problems could be on the horizon.
Now, Changpeng Zhao, the widely-respected founder and chief executive of the world's biggest bitcoin and cryptocurrency exchange Binance, has broken his rule against market forecasting to predict "the bitcoin price will likely increase."
Binance's chief executive is feeling bullish on the bitcoin price ahead of bitcoin's upcoming ... [+] halving event, expected in May.
"I personally believe the halving has not been priced in," Changpeng Zhao, often known simply as CZ, told bitcoin, cryptocurrency and blockchain video news site BlockTV this week, adding he "doesn't usually give market predictions" because he will be wrong "50% of the time."
Bitcoin traders and investors have begun gearing up for the looming May bitcoin halving event, among other positive bitcoin developments expected this year, when the coin reward for mining new bitcoin blocks is scheduled to drop from 12.5 bitcoin to 6.25 bitcoincutting the supply of new bitcoin coming onto the market by half.
There have already been two bitcoin halvings since bitcoin launched in 2009, one in 2012 and another in 2016. Bitcoin halvings are scheduled to continue roughly once every four years until the maximum supply of 21 million bitcoins has been generated by the network, something that won't happen until well into the next century.
Whether the upcoming bitcoin halving has been "priced in" by the market has become a controversial issue among investors. Generally, in well-developed markets, equity, commodities and currencies are priced based on future expectationssuggesting that as bitcoin traders and investors are aware of the May halving, the price will have already made the gains related to it.
CZ disagrees, however, telling BlockTV: "The market is not efficient. Most people don't get information quickly. People need a lot of time to let concepts sink in and adjust."
Many are hoping the 2020 bitcoin halving will see a repeat of the last cut to supply. Bitcoin prices doubled in 2016 and soared 13-fold the following year.
However, CZ warned that "historic events do not predict future events, so don't take that too literally," but explained the bitcoin halving will mean "it costs miners almost double what it does now to produce one bitcoin. Psychologically, those miners won't be willing to sell below that price."
The bitcoin price has soared so far this year but has swung wildly in recent weeks, bouncing around ... [+] the psychological $10,000 per bitcoin mark.
"New bitcoin coming to market will be severely limited and at the same time we're seeing more users and traders coming in."
"Economic theory tells us that the bitcoin price will likely increase but this is just the theory and hard to predict," CZ said, adding he's feeling "pretty positive."
Meanwhile, the number of people searching Google for the term "bitcoin halving" has been steadily rising along with the bitcoin price.
Analysts at Arcane Research found last monththat an increase in searches could be a sign bitcoin's halving will recapture the wider public interest in bitcoin and crypto that catapulted the bitcoin price to around $20,000 in 2017.
Many other bitcoin and cryptocurrency market watchers share CZ's enthusiasm, though some think it could be other factors that push up the bitcoin price.
"I still think that bitcoin will hit $100,000 by end of December 2021," Anthony Pompliano, the cofounder of bitcoin and crypto investment group Morgan Creek Digital, said last month, pointing to bitcoin's "fixed supply" and "increasing demand" as the reason for bitcoin's performance.
Elsewhere, others are not so upbeatwith the the chief executive of China-based investment advisory group RockTree Capital last month forecasting we could see the bitcoin price dip.
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Binance CEO Makes Rare Price PredictionSays This Is When To Buy Bitcoin - Forbes
Bitcoin’s Coronavirus Selloff Throws Cold Water on Safe-Haven Argument – CoinDesk – CoinDesk
As U.S. stocks tumbled on Monday by the most in six months amid renewed coronavirus fears, bitcoin barely budged - at least in terms of the notoriously volatile cryptocurrencys trading history.
Bitcoin (BTC) was down 4.6 percent as of 6:17 p.m. UTC (1:17 p.m. ET) to $9,517. But a decline of that magnitude represents merely the biggest drop since last week; already this year, bitcoin has suffered six other single-day losses of 3 percent or greater. And due to a powerful rally in recent months, the cryptocurrencys price is still up about 32 percent in 2020.
Such a performance stands in stark contrast with the Standard & Poors 500 Index of large U.S. stocks, whose 3.6 percent plunge was the most for a single day since early August and wiped out investors gains for the year.
Theres certainly a bit of fear in the bitcoin market, but its not anything close to the panic were seeing on Wall Street today, with the clear flight to safety, said Mati Greenspan, founder of the analysis firm Quantum Economics, which specializes in cryptocurrencies and foreign exchange. Three percent is a very different figure for stocks and for bitcoin.
The episode could renew an ongoing debate among investors over whether bitcoin should trade as a risky asset like stocks and junk bonds, or if its more akin to a safe haven like gold or U.S. Treasury bonds. Theres also the possibility that its neither in a category of its own and largely uncorrelated with traditional asset prices.
Indeed, the coronavirus wasnt the only news potentially affecting bitcoin prices on Monday: Billionaire investor Warren Buffett asserted in a CNBC interview that he doesnt own any cryptocurrency and never will.
The plunge in stocks came as authorities globally struggled to stem the spread of the coronavirus beyond China, raising concerns the global economy will suffer a bigger hit from quarantines and delays in international trade and travel, according to Bloomberg News. The epidemic has now spread to more than 30 countries, including South Korea, Italy and parts of the Middle East.
Traditional safe-haven assets like gold and U.S. government bonds rallied on Monday. Gold rose 1.7 percent to $1,676.50 a troy ounce, the highest in seven years. U.S. Treasuries rose, too, as the yield on the 10-year note declined by 0.11 percentage point to 1.36 percent. Bond prices move in the opposite direction from their yield.
A jump in bitcoin prices in January after the U.S. killing of a top Iranian led to heightened concerns of geopolitical and economic turmoil prompted some traders to speculate that the cryptocurrency might be gaining acceptance among investors as a safe haven.
But in a report last week, the Norwegian analysis firm Arcane Research noted bitcoins correlation with gold had weakened since the start of this year.
Greg Cipolaro, co-founder of the crypto-focused firm Digital Asset Research, said in an interview he recently studied bitcoins price performance over the past nine years on days when U.S. stocks experience big swings, defined as a price move thats statistically two standard deviations away from average.
On the 13 times such daily moves occurred over the period, bitcoins price rose an average of 1.5 percent when stocks rallied. Bitcoin's price fell 0.34 percent when there was an unusually large selloff. Since 2011, bitcoin rose by 0.6 percent per day, on average.
On these kinds of days where you have these risk-off scenarios, bitcoin tends to be down on the day, Cipolaro said. Its not the same as owning Treasuries, and not the same as owning gold.
The takeaway for the bitcoin market might still be positive, he said, since hedge funds and other large investors are often hunting for assets that are mostly uncorrelated with traditional markets but boast a track record of high risk-adjusted returns.
Jeff Dorman, chief investment officer of the crypto-focused firm Arca Funds in Los Angeles, said in a phone interview that cryptocurrencies might be slower to react to global developments than stocks and bonds because theyre still largely disconnected from Wall Street; digital assets like bitcoin arent typically bought via traditional brokerage accounts.
It's irresponsible for anyone to say that bitcoin is truly a safe haven, Dorman said. Look at how gold and Treasuries and equities react instantaneously to global fears. Bitcoin and digital asserts live outside that work flow.
Federal Reserve officials led by Chair Jerome Powell have signaled recently they see the current stance of monetary policy as appropriate, but that the coronavirus could put the health of the global economy at risk. The implication is that the U.S. central bank might need to cut interest rates to stimulate markets and business activity if the contagion leads to a steeper-than-anticipated dropoff in growth.
Such monetary-policy easing might ultimately bolster the case for buying bitcoin, Dorman said, since many analysts believe that limits on the supply of new units of the cryptocurrency make it useful as a hedge against inflation.
I don't expect bitcoin to trade as risk-on or risk-off asset, he said. But over a longer period of time, anything that's inflationary, or said another way devalues other currencies, strengthens the purchasing power of bitcoin.
The leader in blockchain news, CoinDesk is a media outlet that strives for the highest journalistic standards and abides by a strict set of editorial policies. CoinDesk is an independent operating subsidiary of Digital Currency Group, which invests in cryptocurrencies and blockchain startups.
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Bitcoin's Coronavirus Selloff Throws Cold Water on Safe-Haven Argument - CoinDesk - CoinDesk