Category Archives: Bitcoin

Britain’s largest broker offers bitcoin investment – Telegraph.co.uk

Hargreaves customers can hold the bitcoin investment in their self-invested personal pension(Sipp) or a normal broking account.

Mr Cox added that Hargreaves already allowed investors to access the Bitcoin Investment Trust. The$389m fund isrun by Grayscale Investments, which specialises in "crypto-currencies".

"By adding self-service, online dealing, the team at Hargreaves Lansdown is providing UK investors with professional and quick access to bitcoin in the UK and greater Europe," saidRyan Radloff, XBT's head of investor relations.

Crypto-currencies came to noticefollowing the launch of bitcoinby a developer under the pseudonym ofSatoshi Nakamotoin 2009. Online currencies are beyond the control of the worlds central banks and allow anonymous transactions. They operate using a digital ledger of transactions known as a blockchain.

The price of bitcoin has surged since the start of the year.Its price indollar terms has more than doubledfrom less than $900 to more than $2,400 today. Currently one bitcoin equals 1,902, 2,145or $2,422, according to CryptoCompare.com.

The currency also hit the headlines last monthwhen the hackers behind the WannaCry cyber attack that took down parts of theNHS IT system demanded ransom payments in bitcoin. The currency has long been linked to the online underworld.

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Britain's largest broker offers bitcoin investment - Telegraph.co.uk

Beginners buying bitcoins should do these three things – Stansberry Churchouse Research (registration) (blog)

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Investment Education

Weve received a lot of feedback from our last few write-ups on the bitcoin and cryptocurrency market.

And because a many readers have said they are going to roll up their sleeves and enter the market themselves, we thought wed offer three simple pieces of advice to bitcoin beginners.

Speaking from personal experience, I highly recommend that folks looking to buy some bitcoin start with an extremely small amount no more than a bitcoins worth, which today is the equivalent of a couple thousand U.S. dollars. (You can use less money and buy a fraction of a bitcoin also if you prefer).The process of buying, moving and storing bitcoin is not like traditional online banking or investing. If you send bitcoin to the wrong location, for example, you cant just call up your bank and cancel your transaction. So its critical to familiarise yourself with the mechanics of buying and moving bitcoin around first with a relatively small sum, before moving on to larger dollar amounts.

The process of buying, moving and storing bitcoin is not like traditional online banking or investing. If you send bitcoin to the wrong location, for example, you cant just call up your bank and cancel your transaction. So its critical to familiarise yourself with the mechanics of buying and moving bitcoin around first with a relatively small sum, before moving on to larger dollar amounts.

Its ironic that whilst bitcoin is a highly modern technology, you must make sure you keep offline records of all your bitcoin information. That means a pen and paper, or at least using a Microsoft word document and printing it out as a back up.

Storing and sending/receiving bitcoin involves setting up a digital wallet. This is a where you keep your bitcoin.

Your wallet has a public key (which might look a bit like this: 1GwV7fPX97hmavc6iNrUZUogmjpLPrPFoE) which is where the bitcoin gets sent to. This is like an account name.

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Your wallet also has a private key. This will either be an alpha-numeric sequence that looks like the public key above, or a long sequence of random words generated by the wallet. This is the password you use to access your wallet.

Either way, secure wallets do not have an I forgot my password option.

If you lose or forget your private key, you lose access to your wallet. And you lose your investment. Period.

I write everything down, and I print out screen grabs (that is, printouts of what is shown on the screen).

In order to convert your cash into bitcoin, you need to open an account with an exchange.

This process will typically take a few days as the exchange will need to conduct KYC (know your customer) diligence on you. This means theyll do a standard identity verification so the exchange knows who you are, and that youre not a wanted criminal.

Once youve opened the account, youll be able to fund it with a bank transfer or by credit card in some cases before you buy bitcoin.

If the exchange where you bought bitcoin (and left it there) gets hacked ,then you can lose your money. This has happened in a couple of high-profile cases.

For example, in 2014 bitcoin exchange Mt. Gox, which at the tie was handling up to 70 percent of all bitcoin volume, filed for bankruptcy, saying that 750,000 of customer bitcoin was missing. Thats US$1.5 billion-worth at todays prices.

The safest place to store your bitcoin is in a wallet. Theres a good selection to choose from here.

Good investing,

Tama

P.S. I know weve been banging on about a particular stock recommendation from The Churchouse Letter for a few weeks now, but thats what we do when we find great ideas for our subscribers. Our recommendation is now up 32 percent since we recommended it at the end of April. Click here for your subscriptionand the full story.

Tama Churchouse spent nearly a decade creating and selling financial derivatives for a global investment bank in Hong Kong. As Lead Analyst he brings technical expertise across the entire asset class spectrum, from equities and index products, to interest rates and credit.

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Beginners buying bitcoins should do these three things - Stansberry Churchouse Research (registration) (blog)

A Bitcoin Beginner’s Guide to Surviving the BIP 148 UASF – Bitcoin Magazine


Bitcoin Magazine
A Bitcoin Beginner's Guide to Surviving the BIP 148 UASF
Bitcoin Magazine
There is a chance Bitcoin will experience a chain-split on August 1st. A segment of all Bitcoin users is committed to activate a user activated soft fork (UASF) as described in Bitcoin Improvement Proposal 148 (BIP 148). Specifically, they will reject ...

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A Bitcoin Beginner's Guide to Surviving the BIP 148 UASF - Bitcoin Magazine

Bitcoin, Stocks and the Fear of Missing Out – Bloomberg

On the up and up.

Bitcoin has been on an unbelievable run. The cryptocurrency is up around 124 percent for 2017. And thats after it gained 125 percent in 2016. In May alone, its up more than 60 percent. Its hard to know what the long-term impact or performance will be, but one things for sure -- investors are swept up in cryptocurrency mania.

One simple theory for Bitcoins vertiginous rise in recent weeks is that its turning into something of a self-fulfilling prophecy. Momentum begets momentum and buying begets buying when gains begin to come hard and fast.

Consider that Bitcoins price is up, on average, four out of every five days in May. Its up seven out of every 10 days in 2017. When you combine these types of batting averages with large gains, its sure to grab peoples attention and attract performance chasers and speculators who want to get in on the action. Seeing gains on top of gains increases investor confidence that those gains will last indefinitely. Confidence grows with each new high.

Contrast these results with the stock market. Since 1926, if you were to take the daily performance of the S&P 500 and break things down into gains and losses, the numbers show that its basically a coin flip between up and down days, with 54 percent of all days showing positive performance and 46 percent with negative returns.

Even during the huge bull market since early 2009, the daily returns have followed a similar pattern:

The positive days slightly outweigh the negative days, but its close enough that any time stocks begin to fall investors worry that the end is near for this lengthy rally.

The reason these types of statistics matter is that human nature makes it difficult for people to process losses in the same way they deal with gains. Research from the behavioral psychologist Daniel Kahneman shows that we regret losses twice as much as gains make us feel good. This bias is called loss aversion.

So the probability of seeing gains or losses can have a huge impact on our actions as investors.

Since the daily performance in the stock market is more or less a 50-50 proposition, loss aversion means that checking the value of your investments on a daily basis will make you feel terrible every single day. All those warm feelings you get from the winning days in the markets will be completely wiped out by the double dose of pain of the down days.

The simple solution to deal with this issue for stock market investors is to avoid evaluating your portfolio on a regular basis. The more you look, the more likely it is that youll see losses since stocks dont hit new highs every single day. While stocks alternate gains and losses, on average, if you lengthen your time horizon, the probabilities for a positive return are much higher.

Using the same data for the S&P 500 going back to 1926, all one-year periods showed gains roughly three out of every four years. Extend the time horizon to 10 years, and it was close to 95 percent of all periods with gains. Less frequent portfolio evaluations make it more likely that youll see gains, and, in effect, reduce the pain experienced through loss aversion.

Everyone seems to have an opinion about how high the price of Bitcoin can go or how quickly it will fall back down to Earth. Yet its impossible to forecast the emotions of other investors, and at a certain point thats all that ends up driving these types of price moves. But my guess would be that the current Bitcoin rally will start its downfall once the daily returns are more evenly balanced out between up and down days.

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It may be obvious to state that an increase in volatility will cause investors to bail, but its helpful to understand the reasons behind this type of price action. Once loss aversion begins to be felt again in the price of Bitcoin, that will likely spell the end of its relentless rally. Unfortunately, figuring out when this will happen is extremely difficult, as predicting a change in market direction has almost no rhyme or reason.

This column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP and its owners.

To contact the author of this story: Ben Carlson at ben@ritholtzwealth.com

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Max Berley at mberley@bloomberg.net

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7 People Set to Make a Killing from the Bitcoin Boom – Fortune

You've probably heard about bitcoin's incredible bull run and how, if you'd bought some a few years ago, you would be a lot richer. Well, it turns out some people did just that.

Those who bet big on bitcoin in recent years are now presiding over the digital equivalent of Scrooge McDuck's money bin. The currency has given up some of its crazy gains from last week, but is still sitting at around $2,300 as of Monday morningup about $1,000 from a month ago, and over 300% from a year ago.

No one knows for sure who has the most bitcoin since the digital currency is hard to trace. But here is a list of those who have a big stake in bitcoin, and are set to clean up if the boom continues.

Tim DraperPhotograph by Danny Moloshok Reuters

In 2014, billionaire Tim Draper made the sort of bold bet that is the hallmark of famous venture capitalists: he bid for and won all 30,000 bitcoinsup for grabs in an auction run by the U.S. Marshals Service.

Draper did not reveal how much he made for the bitcoins, which wereseized from the drug lord Ross Ulbricht, but the market price at the time was around $600. Today, the 30,000 bitcoins are worth around $7 million and most of thatis profit for Draper.

Cameron Winklevoss and Tyler Winklevoss in Austin, Texas in March 2015.Photograph by Alli HarveyGetty Images

For the longest time, it looked like theWinklevoss twinsfate in life was to be known for losing out to Mark Zuckerberg for control of Facebook. But their successful second act (aside from those weird pistachio ads ) as bitcoin entrepreneurs mean Cameron and Tyler are now most likely to remembered as cryptocurrency pioneers and very wealthy ones at that.

While they lost their initial bid to create a bitcoin ETF, the twins are likely to winover regulators in the long-run. In the meantime, their 2013 investment of $11 million worth of bitcoin (which reported amounted to 1 percent of all bitcoins in circulation) would now be worth more than 20 times that amount.

Fortune Photograph by Kevin Moloney/Fortune Brainstorm

Barry Silbert is another long-time player in the bitcoin scene, who made big bets when most people laughed that the currency was for kooks. One of his bets saw him obtain 48,000 bitcoins in a second auction held by the U.S. Marshals Service in 2014. At that time, bitcoin prices had fallen to around $350, which means Silbert's stake could now be worth around $110 million.

Silbert is currently focused on building a rival financial product to the Winklevoss ETF, and likely owns a lot more than the 48,000 bitcoins he won at auction.

Charlie ShremPhotograph by Craig RuttleAP

Shrem is a colorful figure from the wild west early days of bitcoin. Once a member of the Bitcoin Foundationagroup that was supposed to govern bitcoin but saw several of its members endup on the lam or in jailShremreceived a two-year prison sentence for charges related to money laundering.

Since late 2016, hehas been back on the cryptocurrency scene and appears as enthusiastic as ever about its prospects.Shrem hasn't saidhow many bitcoins he owns, but he is rumored to have acquired thousands of them back they cost $3 a pop and his new venture, a startup involving crypto-investments, suggests he still has a very big stake.

Faceless manMichael Murphy Getty Images

Sincehis2008 white paper, which described a new type of software tied to a digital currency, the man known as Satoshihas stood as the soul of bitcoin.

But no one can say for sure he is.

Satoshi has not spoken publicly for years, but he is believed to control large numbers of bitcoin wallets from the currency's early days. Some reports say he controls more than 5% of all bitcoin in circulation, which means his net worthcould be in the billions.

It remains to be seen if Satoshi will emerge one day and distribute that wealth (maybe by endowing a bitcoin university?) orif Satoshi and his riches will remain invisible and out of reach forever.

The early idealists of bitcoin saw it as an anarchy-currency free of the control of national governments. Alas, the U.S. government didn't get the memo. Since 2016, the Internal Revenue Service has been stepping up a campaign to identify bitcoin investors and slap them with capital gains tax.

Right now, the agency is locked in a legal fight with the popular cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase, and is demanding information about millions of customer accounts. The IRS is annoyed because it says only 802 people declared bitcoin income in 2015even though the value of the currency has increased dramatically from its 2013 value of $13.

The dispute is now before the courts and, even though Republicans in Congress told the IRS to back off , the tax man usually wins in the end.

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7 People Set to Make a Killing from the Bitcoin Boom - Fortune

Bitcoin could hit $100000 in 10 years, says the analyst who correctly called its $2000 price – CNBC

The bitcoin industry has had its fair share of problems and reputational damage. The digital currency has often had an image of being used for illegal means such as buying drugs online. The collapse of Mt.Gox in 2014, once the world's largest bitcoin exchange, is still fresh in the minds of users. Some members of the exchange are still waiting for compensation.

More recent issues include some exchanges not allowing people to withdraw their money in fiat currency. On top of this, the view of bitcoin as a currency for criminals is still prevalent after the major WannaCry ransomware cyberattack saw hackers lock peoples' files and ask for bitcoin in exchange to unlock them.

Still, Van-Petersen says that the industry is still extremely young and big improvements will come. A few factors will boost bitcoin adoption including better wallets, easier methods to buy the digital currency, use of it for money transfers in areas like remittances, as well as citizens of countries with volatile economies and currencies buying it.

"Volumes are going up, volatility is going down. A lot of people talk about the volatility, but if you are in Zimbabwe or Venezuela, this volatility is nothing. This is the interesting thing to me. I think in the West, a lot of people view it is as speculative, but emerging markets will get it, their needs will be different," Van-Petersen added.

While Van-Petersen is offering one way to value bitcoin in the future, others say that there are other factors to take into consideration.

"It's one way of slicing the pie to try and predict future prices which always relies on a lot of assumptions," Charlie Hayter, CEO of industry website CryptoCompare, told CNBC by email.

"Equating volumes to price value is one method of attempting a valuation, but it doesn't take into account the fundamentals of the ecosystem."

The fundamentals of what bitcoin is capable of from a technical point of view and how regulation is molded around its use will determine its value too, Hayter added.

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Bitcoin could hit $100000 in 10 years, says the analyst who correctly called its $2000 price - CNBC

Five Big Reasons Why People Are Still Skeptical About Bitcoin – Bloomberg

Bitcoins astronomical rally has cryptocurrency bulls feeling vindicated. Not so fast, skeptics say.

The digital currencysmore than 100 percent surge in the past two months looks eerily familiar, argue the bears, pointing to November 2013, when the price quintupled in short order to top $1,000 for the first time. By Valentines Day it was worth around half that, and spent the better part of the next two years languishing below $500.

Then it absolutely exploded -- jumping more than $1,400 in two months. At its height last week, one bitcoin could buy about two ounces of gold. Its championstouted the arrival of blockchain into the mainstream, the coins underlying technology which they say can lift the poor out of poverty and make transactions more secure, inexpensive and efficient.

But signs of a top have emerged, detractors warn. On May 25, bitcoin surged more than $300 to a record only to turn tail and close little changed. The $600 round trip was the biggest daily swing in its history. It then slumped 8 percent the next day. Bitcoin was down 1.5 percent to $2,255.50 as of 12:35 p.m. in New York. For bears, that kind of volatility shows the assets unreliability as a store of value.

Here are some other reasons why they warn caution is warranted:

This months ransomware attacks serve as a reminder that bitcoin is still beloved by hackers and criminals because of its anonymity. The cryptocurrency plunged in 2014 after Tokyo-based Mt. Gox -- then the largest bitcoin exchange -- said it had been breached and then filed for bankruptcy. Its value sank again in August 2016 after hackers stole about $69 million from Hong Kong-based Bitfinex. The exchange has since repaid its customers.

The bitcoin community has beensplit for more than a year on how to upgrade its blockchain. The time and fees necessary to verify transactions have climbed to record highs, making it more difficult for businesses to use the currency as a means of payment.While bitcoin executives have said that 2017 might be the year the cryptocurrency really starts to scale, others arent so sure.

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Last week, more than 50 companies signed a pact to speed up transactions, but ideological differences have prevented similar agreements -- like the one reached last year in Hong Kong -- from actually being implemented. The much-touted SegWit upgrade was also released in October, but only a third of the community has embraced it.If the latest proposal fails to gain traction and the deadlock continues, digital currency users may dump bitcoin in favor of alt-coins that offer better blockchains.

As the surge sends the cryptocurrency world into a frenzy, it can be easy to lose sight of the bigger picture. While bitcoins value has increased more than 100 percent since the beginning of the year, its slice of the pie has shrunk as its digital cousins steal some of the spotlight. There are an estimated 700 rivals, according to Ron Quaranta, chairman of the Wall Street Blockchain Alliance.

Bitcoin dominated about half of the overall digital currency market as of Friday, down from around 85 percent in February, according to data from CoinMarketCap.com. Meanwhile, Ethereums share increased to about 20 percent. Some token fans arent sweating it though, as they say bitcoins potential demise doesnt really matter as long as another digital currency takes hold.

The general public doesnt understand bitcoin, and many regulators still dont either, which makes it tough to regulate. In 2015, New York started issuing controversial licenses to cryptocurrency companies, but only three had been issued as of mid-January, according to Coinbase, as many startups couldnt afford the costs of applying.

In January, the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority asked the public for help identifying the potential risks of blockchain. Two months later,bitcoin plummeted after the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission rejected a proposal by the Winklevoss twins for a publicly traded fund based on the digital currency.

In a report last week about blockchain in China, analysts at Sanford C. Bernstein wrote that while the technology could benefit Chinese banks, its unlikely to start a financial revolution.

"We believe blockchain application is more likely to be evolutionary rather than revolutionary in developing countries like China," the analysts said. "Aside from the conservative regulatory attitudes toward financial innovations, the constraint of confidentiality and performance of blockchain technology would make it best positioned to be enterprise-oriented rather than consumer-end."

Whether its Hollands tulip-bulb craze in the 17th century or the Internet-stock frenzy of the late 1990s, history shows that markets self correct. Speculative markets usually run out of steam at some point. Determining the trigger is always the hard part. Given the breathtaking run in bitcoin as of late, some say its tough to believe the oft-cited mantra that this time is different.

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Five Big Reasons Why People Are Still Skeptical About Bitcoin - Bloomberg

‘Bitcoin Oracle’ Vinny Lingham On Why Bitcoin Is Overpriced – Forbes


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'Bitcoin Oracle' Vinny Lingham On Why Bitcoin Is Overpriced
Forbes
During the episode, he describes how his experience with fraud at his former company, gift card retailer Gyft (which he eventually sold to First Data) helped him understand the advantages of bitcoin and blockchain technology. (Here's how Gyft was using ...

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'Bitcoin Oracle' Vinny Lingham On Why Bitcoin Is Overpriced - Forbes

Is The PBOC Stopping The Music On Bitcoin? – Forbes – Forbes


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Is The PBOC Stopping The Music On Bitcoin? - Forbes
Forbes
Will a currency move from China be the catalyst to end the bitcoin run, as it did the runup in Chinese stocks two years ago?

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Japan’s BITPoint to Add Bitcoin Payments to Retail Outlets … – Bloomberg

BITPoint Japan Co., the company behind Peach Aviation Ltd.s move to let travelers use bitcoin to pay for tickets, is planning to give hundreds of thousands of Japanese retail outlets the ability to accept the digital currency.

Were holding discussions with a retail-related company, Genki Oda, BITPointspresident, said in a recent interview. By going through a company providing payment terminal services to shops, we have the possibility of increasing its use at one stroke.Its easier than talking to lots of individual retailers.

Photographer: Akio Kon/Bloomberg

BITPoint is joining a flurry of companies embracing regulations, enacted in Japan last month, that recognize digital currencies as a form of payment. That has helped to make yen trades one of the worlds largest transaction pools, exceeding Chinas pole position at the end of 2016, according to Oda. Bic Camera Inc., one of the countrys biggest electronics retailers, began accepting bitcoin at two stores in Tokyo last month.

Were also talking to a big convenience store operator about using it, said Oda, 36, who also runs BITPoint parent Remixpoint Co., which had a market value of about 21 billion yen ($189 million) on Friday. He said hes aiming to make an announcement by early next year.

The shares of Remixpoint rose as much as 18 percent to their daily price limit. Last week, Remixpoint said it will convert debt issued to BITPoint into equity, raising its ownership in the subsidiary to 97.7 percent.

Bitcoin, which debuted eight years ago, is gaining wider use as a way to pay for goods and services, and lets people transact without oversight from governments, regulators or central banks. The virtual currency has been rallying against the dollar and other fiat currencies and was trading at $2,210 on Monday, near record highs.

While BITPoint operates as a bitcoin exchange, its pushing to promote the use of the cryptocurrency in stores and other retail outlets, instead of as a speculative instrument. The company currently has ties with tens of retailers and plans to expand that number, Oda said.

Photographer: Akio Kon/Bloomberg

A change in Japanese law on April 1 formalized rules around anti-money laundering and put in place standards for security and audits. Restaurant booking site Gurunavi Inc. will start letting diners pay with bitcoin later this year, the Nikkei newspaper reported last month.

Its funny how the whole narrative of bitcoin being risky or dangerous has changed, and it is now seen as a form of pride to regulate and embrace it, said Thomas Glucksmann, head of marketing at Hong Kong-based bitcoin exchange Gatecoin.

Asked about the recent climb in bitcoins value, Oda said hes wary of the sudden jump and doesnt think its sustainable. At the same time, Japanese investors and day traders are taking a serious look at bitcoin as an asset class, thanks to the new regulations, he said, adding that several large foreign exchange brokerages will begin bitcoin trading in the coming months, boosting volumes.

Still, its unclear whether bitcoin payments can become more than a marketing gimmick. The biggest hurdles include long network confirmation times and high transaction fees. While many bitcoin community members rallied around a new proposal last week to fix the problem, deep differences within the group have led to several similar solutions falling through since 2015.

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Japan's BITPoint to Add Bitcoin Payments to Retail Outlets ... - Bloomberg