Category Archives: Bitcoin

Who’s Behind The Spike In Bitcoin? – Forbes


Forbes
Who's Behind The Spike In Bitcoin?
Forbes
The Nasdaq continues to defy gravity, sniffing back toward new record highs today. It took two days to shed 3%. And four business days to get it all back. The VIX (the index that measures the demand big investors have for downside protection) has had ...

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Who's Behind The Spike In Bitcoin? - Forbes

Bitcoin Tops $2600, Double the Price of Gold – Finance Magnates

If you were expecting the price of bitcoin to settle down and remain stable for a while after recently setting one record after another, you are in for a shock. The BTC/USD exchange rate just went over $2640 for the first time, thanks to another 11% daily rise.

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To put this meteoric rise in some perspective, only at the start of March 2017 we reported thatthe price of bitcoinsurpassed that of an ounce of goldfor the first time. Now, with gold trading at $1,290, bitcoin is more than double its value, completing a 100% rise in less than three months.

In terms of overall market cap, the bitcoin blockchain is now valued at $43 billion, or almost two-thirds of the current equity market cap of Paypal (NASDAQ: PYPL). The value of the entire cryptocurrency and blockchain assets ecosystem is now $87 billion, well over that of Paypal, withBTC dominance remaining at just under 50%.

Trading volumes supporting the recent move are very high, reaching over $2 billion daily inBTC/USD trading. However most of the trading activity is coming from Asia, as we reported before, with exchange rate premiums now reported on exchanges in Japan, Korea, China and India.

Trying to rationalize this irrational exuberance, bitcoin holders and advocates give a number of reasons for the jump. One is thatJapan is to stop applying consumption taxes on cryptocurrencies in July.Another is that mainstream adoption seems closer than ever with companies such asFidelityjumping on the bandwagon. The Chinese are also said to be protecting themselves from an expected economic downturnthat might devalue their RMB holdings. And lastly, anagreement announcedon Tuesday to end the bitcoin civil war by56 companiesrepresenting83.28% of the hashing power (whichincludes activatingSegWit at an 80% threshold and a2 MB hard fork within six months.)

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Bitcoin Tops $2600, Double the Price of Gold - Finance Magnates

Bitcoin Surge Is Driven by People Leaving Riskier Digital Currencies, Say Execs – Bloomberg

Bitcoins dramatic surge may be more than just a speculative frenzy. The recent rally is being driven partially by enthusiasts rotating out of riskier digital assets and into the more establishedcryptocurrency, according to industry executives.

"A lot of the volume into bitcoin right now is actually not dollar or yen or euro into bitcoin, but is rather alt digital assets," said Peter Smith, co-founder and CEO of digital asset software platform Blockchain, at an industry conference Tuesday that brought in 2,700 people on the first day. People do view a lot of these newer assets as more risky, and so when they make big gains there, theyre selling down those gains and rotating into bitcoin."

Numerous alternative cryptocurrencies, or "altcoins" such as ripple, have emerged since bitcoin broke into public consciousness in 2013. Companies can sell new tokens through initial coin offerings, or ICOs. While the cost of one bitcoin has skyrocketed to more than $2,000 from just 8 cents in 2010, you can buy one litecoin for about $30.

The price of ether, the cryptocurrency tied to the Ethereum blockchain, has almost doubled in the last week.

Some are worried that theres a bitcoin bubble in the making, but Smith and Erik Voorhees, founder and chief executive officer of cryptocurrency exchange ShapeShift, arent too concerned. Booms and busts are a normal part of any economic cycle, they said at the Consensus 2017 conference.

"Every time bitcoin goes through these bubbles, a whole new wave of users come in," Voorhees said. "The reason that bitcoin is taking off is because banks have not been innovating."

Read more on Fidelitys Abby Johnsons view on blockchain barriers

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The surge has also been tied to global political uncertainty and increased interest in Asia. Chinese stocks have slumped in recent months as bitcoin soared. The Shanghai Composite Index has fallen 6.9 percent from its high this year on April 11 amid concern authorities will step up measures to crack down on leveraged trading. China also may publish bitcoin regulations in June, according to a report earlier this month.

"Bitcoin up 100% in under 2 months. Shanghai down almost 10% same timeframe, compared to most global stocks up. Probably not a coincidence!" Doubleline Capital CEO Jeff Gundlach wrote in a tweet Tuesday.

ShapeShift users, only about 15 percent of whom are in the U.S., are moving small amounts of value between different digital tokens as they speculate about the best place to put their money, Voorhees said. Bitcoin is the "least speculative" of the digital assets, he explained.

Smiths company, whichadded former Barclays Plc CEO Antony Jenkins as a board member last year, has grown every year regardless of bitcoins price, he said.

"One of the beautiful things about bitcoin is you get to see free-market economics at work every day, and bubbles and creative destruction are part of that process," added Smith, who said people have been incorrectly writing bitcoins obituary as it goes through natural up and down cycles. "Im sure well add a lot of obituaries if the market reverses and we go down below $2,000."

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Bitcoin Surge Is Driven by People Leaving Riskier Digital Currencies, Say Execs - Bloomberg

$100 of bitcoin in 2010 is worth $75 million today – Washington Post

Bitcoin has received a lot of attention over the past few weeks in the wake of the recent malware attacks that impacted dozens of countries and thousands of businesses around the world which required a ransom payment to be made in the digital currency to unlock files that were encrypted by the virus. The question for many business owners is that, given its growing acceptance, is it ready for prime time? Should we accept bitcoin?

Theres no question that its been a good investment, particularly if you bought at the right time. According to this report from CNBC, the price of a single bitcoin has recently soared to $2,200 from just $0.003 only seven years ago. We know this because on Monday its fans celebrated the anniversary of Bitcoin Pizza Day, when Laszlo Hanyecz, a programmer, spent 10,000 bitcoin for two Papa Johns pizzas. Times have definitely changed.

So whats driving the run up in price? CNBCs tech correspondent Arjun Kharpal cites factors such as new legislation in Japan that allows retailers to accept the cryptocurrency (40 percent of all bitcoin trade is in Japan), the resolution of a dispute in the digital community that couldve created competing currencies and the general market turmoil brought on by global economic uncertainty.

PresidentTrumps stated desire to weaken the dollar and make American goods more attractive overseas may also be contributing. Not only that, but according to this report on CNN.com, a few high ranking members of his administration, like budget director Mick Mulvaney and vice president Mike Pences chief economist Mark Calabria, have both supported the cryptocurrency.

The currency is not backed by any government and cant be physically held in your hands. Its just out therein the etherand protected by blockchain, a digital recordkeeping system thats so secure many banks are considering a move toward adopting it as the backbone of their payment systems.

Some small businesses, particularly online retailers, are considering accepting bitcoin as another means of payment. Most investors agree that, although the currencys meteoric rise is very attractive, its also an extremely volatile and risky investment. Once you start accepting bitcoin in your company youll have to ask yourself what business youre really in: your business, or the currency business.

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$100 of bitcoin in 2010 is worth $75 million today - Washington Post

Using Bitcoin to prevent identity theft – MIT News

A reaction to the 2008 financial crisis, Bitcoin is a digital-currency scheme designed to wrest control of the monetary system from central banks. With Bitcoin, anyone can mint money, provided he or she can complete a complex computation quickly enough. Through a set of clever protocols, that computational hurdle prevents the system from being coopted by malicious hackers.

At the IEEE Symposium on Security and Privacy this week, researchers from MITs Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory are presenting a new system that uses Bitcoins security machinery to defend against online identity theft.

Our paper is about using Bitcoin to prevent online services from getting away with lying, says Alin Tomescu, a graduate student in electrical engineering and computer science and first author on the paper. When you build systems that are distributed and send each other digital signatures, for instance, those systems can be compromised, and they can lie. They can say one thing to one person and one thing to another. And we want to prevent that.

An attacker who hacked a public-key encryption system, for instance, might certify or cryptographically assert the validity of a false encryption key, to trick users into revealing secret information. But it couldnt also decertify the true key without setting off alarms, so there would be two keys in circulation bearing certification from the same authority. The new system, which Tomescu developed together with his thesis advisor, Srini Devadas, the Edwin Sibley Webster Professor of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science at MIT, defends against such equivocation.

Because Bitcoin is completely decentralized, the only thing ensuring its reliability is a massive public log referred to as the blockchain of every Bitcoin transaction conducted since the system was first introduced in 2009. Earlier systems have used the Bitcoin machinery to guard against equivocation, but for verification, they required the download of the entire blockchain, which is 110 gigabytes and growing hourly. Tomescu and Devadas system, by contrast, requires the download of only about 40 megabytes of data, so it could run on a smartphone.

Striking paydirt

Extending the blockchain is integral to the process of minting or in Bitcoin terminology, mining new bitcoins. The mining process is built around a mathematical function, called a one-way hash function, that takes three inputs: the last log entry in the blockchain; a new blockchain entry, in which the miner awards him- or herself a fixed number of new bitcoins (currently 12.5); and an integer. The output of the function is a string of 1s and 0s.

Mining consists of trying to find a value for the input integer that results in an output string with a prescribed number of leading 0s currently about 72. Theres no way to do this except to try out lots of options, and even with a huge bank of servers churning away in the cloud the process typically takes about 10 minutes. And its a race: Adding a new entry or block to the blockchain invalidates the most recent work of all other miners, who now have to start over using the newly added block as an input.

In addition to assigning the winning miner the latest quota of bitcoins, a new block in the blockchain also records recent transactions by Bitcoin users. Roughly 100,000 commercial vendors in the real world now accept payment in bitcoins. To verify a payment, the payer and vendor simply broadcast a record of their transaction to the Bitcoin network. Miners add the transaction to the blocks theyre working on, and when the transaction shows up in the blockchain, its a matter of public record.

The transaction record also has room for an 80-character text annotation. Eighty characters isnt enough to record, say, all the public keys certified by a public-key cryptography system. But it is enough to record a cryptographic signature verifying that a certification elsewhere on the Internet is legitimate.

Previous schemes for preventing equivocation simply stored such signatures in the annotations of transaction records. Bitcoins existing security structure prevents tampering with the signatures.

But verifying that a Web service using those schemes wasnt equivocating required examining every transaction in every block of the blockchain or at least, every block added since the service first used the scheme to certify a public assertion. Its that verification process that Tomescu and Devadas have refined.

Efficient audits

Our idea is so simple its embarrassingly simple, Tomescu says. The central requirement of Bitcoin is that no one can spend the same bitcoin in more than one place, and the system has cryptographic protocols in place to prevent that from happening.

So Tomescu and Devadass system called Catena simply adds the requirement that every Bitcoin transaction that logs a public assertion must involve an actual bitcoin transfer. Users may simply transfer the bitcoin to themselves, but that precludes the possibility of transferring the bitcoin to anyone else in the same block of the blockchain. Consequently, it also precludes equivocation within the block.

To prevent equivocation between blocks, its still necessary to confirm that the bitcoin that the Catena user spends in one block is the same one that it spent the last time it made a public assertion. But again, because the ability to verify a bitcoins chain of custody is so central to the success of the whole Bitcoin system, this is relatively easy to do. People who want to use Catena to audit all the public assertions of a given Web service still need to download information from every block of the blockchain. But they need to download only a small cryptographic proof about 600 bytes for each block, rather than the blocks full megabyte of data.

The abstraction that the paper lays out is a really good idea the idea of making it possible to create, you might say, smaller blockchains or linked lists within a blockchain specific to a particular account or a particular object, says Bryan Ford, an associate professor of computer science at the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology in Lausanne. Its very cool, nice, clean, useful primitive, clearly explained. Its very synergistic with an idea weve been working on, which creates an efficiently traversable timeline, which we call a skip chain, meaning a timeline you can skip around on arbitrarily forward and back, where from any point you can verify any other point in the timeline very efficiently.

If you can eliminate the possibility of equivocation, it becomes easier to secure many algorithms, he adds. Its a generally important problem.

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Using Bitcoin to prevent identity theft - MIT News

As bitcoin rockets to records, here’s how much skeptics missed out on, says one money manager – MarketWatch

Investors who made bullish bets in bitcoin near its nascence may be getting the last laugh, as the digital currency, which has drawn skeptics, has raced to repeated records in recent trade.

The value of one bitcoin BTCUSD, +11.49% shot to nearly 2,200 for the first time on Monday. Trading at 2,195,81:

The unmitigated ascent for bitcoin comes as virtual currencies broadly have been gaining more prominence, putting them on a tear since last year, with cryptocurrency bulls pointing out stratospheric climb for bitcoin, compared with other traditional investments.

One regret chart sent around on Monday by Jeroen Blokland, portfolio manager on the Robeco Global Allocation team, shows how a $1,000 investment in bitcoin in July 2010 would be worth more than $35 million. Comparatively, the equivalent investment in the S&P 500 would be around $2,500 (excluding dividends):

While the S&P 500 index SPX, +0.48% has eased about 0.1% so far in May, essentially going nowhere, one bitcoin is about 61% higher for the month, climbing from around $1,344 at the start of the month to Mondays fresh record. Those gains have in part been driven by upbeat regulatory moves, and the Securities and Exchange Commissions decision to rethink its rejection of the proposed Winklevoss Bitcoin Trust exchange-traded fund.

As well, given the political tension in the U.S., some investors have sought out alternative investments, and bitcoin was tracking gains for gold GCM7, +0.58% until the virtual currency started sprinting ahead of the more traditional haven commodity this month:

Of course, comparing the S&P 500 (or even gold) with bitcoin is a bit of apples-and-oranges comparison, and there are plenty of caveats. Chris Dannen, founder of New York-based cryptoasset fund Iterative Instinct, said earlier this month that some of the recent run-up could have been caused by a handful of wealthy traders, awash in crytocurrency and moving prices to their advantage.

Manfred Hubner, chief executive officer at Sentix.de, which provides a weekly capital market survey on hundreds of different indexes, said there has been a systematic increase in interest the bitcoin market since 2014, but noted a change in expectations recently, which could trigger those prices to correct, or move lower.

In a note on Sentixs website, Hubner likened bitcoin to the Dutch tulip bubble of the 17th century (it isnt the first time such a comparison has been made), as well as a Ponzi -like scheme. He said investors should be cautious as bad things tend to happen to those who get in late on what he described as a speculative bubble.

There are some pretty heady valuations out there at the moment, when it comes to bitcoin, Charles Hayter, chief executive officer and founder of Cryptocompare, said in a Monday note.

At the moment all you need to be showered in cash are a couple of buzzwords tagged onto something crypto or blockchain related. Ironic is the fact that some prediction markets who have raised via this method rely on the wisdom of crowds for their USP (unique selling point) yet are subject to their madness in terms of valuation, he added.

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As bitcoin rockets to records, here's how much skeptics missed out on, says one money manager - MarketWatch

Bitcoin prices are soaring under Trump – CNNMoney

Just in 2017, bitcoin prices have soared 125%.

And traders can probably thank President Trump for at least part of the big spike.

Last week, markets were rocked after reports about former FBI director James Comey's memo about being asked by Trump to stop an investigation of former National Security Adviser Michael Flynn's ties to Russia.

Stocks plunged due to rising levels of uncertainty about Trump's ability to get anything meaningful accomplished as he deals with this crisis. And the US dollar weakened too. But bitcoin (XBT) is a beneficiary of this turmoil. So is gold.

One of the reasons digital currencies like bitcoin and lesser known ones such as Ethereum and Ripple have soared this year is because they, like gold, are not backed by governments. Bitcoins are tracked in a public online record known as the blockchain.

There are a finite number of bitcoins that can be "mined" -- that is, made available after a complex math problem is solved. And even though the record of transactions is public, there is a level of anonymity about who is making the transactions.

Bitcoin prices have tended to pop over the past few years at times of geopolitical uncertainty -- and especially when there were significant questions or concerns about the health of a major country's paper currency.

Trump has already talked about wanting the dollar to be weaker to help make the products of big US multinationals more competitive overseas. So that may be helping to lift the price of bitcoin.

The president also has some known bitcoin bulls in his administration as well.

His budget director, former US House member Mick Mulvaney, had been dubbed the "Bitcoin Congressman" by some of the currency's backers.

Related: Billionaire says he has 10% of his money in bitcoin and other digital currencies

And vice president Mike Pence's chief economist Mark Calabria has given speeches in support of bitcoin as well. Calabria was formerly the director of financial regulation studies at the libertarian-leaning Cato Institute before joining the administration.

Many experts also think President Trump's fiscal spending plans could be highly inflationary. That could further weaken the dollar and fuel the rise in bitcoin and gold prices.

But concerns about just what Trump will actually be able to accomplish in the wake of the Comey allegations are another big reason for the dollar's recent slide and accompanying rise in bitcoin.

There is even some speculation about whether or not Trump's presidency could end prematurely due to him resigning, being impeached, or removed via the 25th Amendment of the US Constitution.

Add it all up and it appears that bitcoin prices could continue to climb higher. But some are worried that the party could end soon.

I asked my followers on Twitter what they thought was next for bitcoin.

Several expressed concerns that prices will come tumbling down since bitcoin has been an extremely volatile investment over the past few years. When bitcoin topped the $1,000 level in January, it was the first time it had done so in three years.

Those are great points. It is debatable whether bitcoin can ever become a mainstream form of payment. Just look at how little money the hackers behind the recent WannaCry ransomware made by demanding payment in bitcoin.

But Ross Gerber, CEO of investment firm Gerber Kawasaki and a frequent guest on CNNI's business programs, noted that bitcoin may be the perfect currency for these crazy and tumultuous times.

In other words, bitcoin and its smaller digital currency siblings could continue to benefit from all the turmoil in Washington.

CNNMoney (New York) First published May 22, 2017: 10:58 AM ET

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Bitcoin prices are soaring under Trump - CNNMoney

Why Bitcoin Is Surging, Again, Up 130% This Year – Wall Street Journal (subscription)


CoinDesk
Why Bitcoin Is Surging, Again, Up 130% This Year
Wall Street Journal (subscription)
The price of bitcoin surged over the weekend and into Monday morning as a new wave of speculative investment drove up prices. Bitcoin traded above $2,200 on Monday, according to the news and research website CoinDesk. That was up about 9% on the ...
Consensus 2017: BitPay CEO Calls Bitcoin Fork 'Only Option' For BusinessesCoinDesk

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Why Bitcoin Is Surging, Again, Up 130% This Year - Wall Street Journal (subscription)

IRS Probe of Bitcoin Goes Too Far, GOP Warns – Fortune

A closely-watched fight between the Internal Revenue Service and a popular bitcoin exchange took a new twist last week, as senior Republicans in Congress sent a sharply-worded letter that suggests the tax agency is overstepping its powers.

The letter concerns an IRS investigation into possible tax evasion by customers who use Coinbase, a San Francisco-based company that many people use to buy digital currencies. As part of the investigation, which began last year, officials demanded that Coinbase turn over information for every one of its accounts.

Coinbase and its customers are currently in court trying to block the demand, saying it's too broad, and now the letter from the Republicans is likely to give them extra ammunition.

"The summons is estimated to affect 500,000 active Coinbase customers and would result in the production of millions of pages of associated records, many of which contain personally identifiable information ... Based on the information before us, this summons seems overly broad, extremely burdensome, and highly intrusive to a large population of individuals ," says the letter, which is signed by Sen. Orrin Hatch (R-Ut), Chairman of the Senate Finance Committee, and by Vern Buchanan and Kevin Brady, who head the House Committee on Ways and Means. (my emphasis)

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The Republicans' concerns echo those of Coinbase and its customers, who argue the IRS does not need every single Coinbase account to carry out its audit, and that the investigation sweeps in people who have clearly done nothing wrong.

The tax agency, for its part, has pointed out that only 802 Coinbase users filed a tax form related to bitcoin in 2015, which suggests large number of people have failed to declare capital gains related to bitcoin.

The IRS investigation also comes at a time when the price of bitcoin has been on an incredible tear, climbing from $13 in 2013 to a new high of over $2,000 last week. Those who profited from the higher priceseither by selling bitcoin for dollars or exchanging it for merchandiseare required to pay taxes on the gain.

Some Coinbase customers, however, have not sold any bitcoin at all while many others hold only a minimal amount, raising questions of why the IRS demanded information about every account.

One theory, according to a lawyer who spoke with Fortune late last year, is that the IRS's sweeping demand is a negotiating tactic to make Coinbase more cooperative, and that the two sides will reach an agreement to allow the agency to inspect some, but not all, of the accounts.

The letter from the Republicans, which asks the IRS to explain its strategy for enforcing tax payments on digital currency by June 7, is likely to put pressure on the agency to come to a deal with Coinbase.

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IRS Probe of Bitcoin Goes Too Far, GOP Warns - Fortune

Bitcoin Surges Past $2200 – Futurism

In Brief Bitcoin has set record after record as a global currency. It also has the potential to become a universal currency. But, what are the realities behind the impressive figures? The Rise of Bitcoin

Bitcoin (for its history, see this infographic) has experienced unprecedented success since their domain name was registered on anonymousspeech.com. Monday, it was reported that the single bitcoin hit a landmark point, reaching $2,251.61 dollars, which far exceeds the price of gold. Its exchange rate has increased in 23 of its past 26 sessions. It has been the top performing currency every year since 2010 (besides 2014). By the summer, it will be accepted at more than 260,000 stores in Japan, since it is officiallylegal tender in the country. The verdict against the Winklevoss Twins to not allow it to enter the U.S stock exchange may, in the wake of this success, be overturned.

All of this seems to point to Bitcoin becoming a currency on par with the Dollar, Pound, Yen or Euro; or because of its decentralized and digital nature it could become the global currency.

These figures, however, may not tell us the whole story. All that glitters is not gold.

The first thing that Bitcoin will have to do to continue its rise is to become more stable. The reason Bitcoin is so successful is also the reason it could fail. It has the ability to swing and shift extremely quickly: we need only look at when it dropped 15% in a matter of minutes in response to the Winklevoss Twins ETF verdict. One key characteristic of a successful currency, rather than its worth as an asset, is stability, which Bitcoin has not yet achieved.

Second, it will need to increase its transaction speed. In comparison with payment processors like Visa, the number of transactions Bitcoin can process is tiny: around 7 compared to thousands. This is because of each transaction has to be validated and verified by an individual due to it being part of a blockchain. And, even though it has the potential to stretch to 27, unless this value is increased there will forever be a serious limitation to how much bitcoin can grow.

Third, these exciting new figures may be artificially caused by an indirect centralization (centralization not through the legal process, but by market means similar to a hostile takeover of a company). While Bitcoin is an uncentralized currency, if an individual miner (or collection of miners) take control of most of the mining then they are able to abuse the majority loophole, created as a democratic foundation of the currency. This would also allow the individual or group to rewrite the blockchain. As the majority of the miners are Chinese companies, and demand for the currency is increasing in the country due to the value of domestic currency falling, some fearthe rise of state control in a system designed to be anti-state.

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Bitcoin Surges Past $2200 - Futurism