Category Archives: Bitcoin
Bitcoin rises slightly after key inflation data comes in better than feared – CNBC
Bitcoin prices have been under pressure in 2022 after the collapse of algorithmic stablecoin terraUSD and subsequent bankruptcy filings from lender Celsius and hedge fund Three Arrows Capital.
Nicolas Economou | Nurphoto | Getty Images
Cryptocurrency prices got a slight but brief bump higher Wednesday following the April consumer price index report.
Bitcoin lost an earlier gain of more than 2% and was last hovering above the flatline at $27,748.24, according to Coin Metrics. At one point it rose above $28,000. Ether also pared gains and was last higher by less than 1% at $1,854.33.
Investors grew optimistic after the CPI report showed the inflation rate eased on an annual basis to 4.9% in April, which was slightly less than what economists polled by Dow Jones expected.
"When it comes to inflation data, bitcoin embraces its identity as a riskier asset," said Callie Cox, an analyst at investment company eToro. "Bitcoin has outperformed the S&P 500 on five out of the last six CPI days and it's on track to make it six out of seven with today's gains."
"Inflation is coming down, just as the Fed intended, and that's easing fears about the economy's future," she added. "Lower inflation also supports the case for the end of rate hikes, and higher rates are what started the crypto winter over a year ago."
CPI coming in below economists' forecast further cements the markets' expectation of rate hikes stopping, and rate cuts coming at some point during this year, said Steven Lubka, managing director at Swan Bitcoin.
"Ultimately, this represents an easing of tight liquidity conditions, an environment in which bitcoin has done extremely well historically," he said.
Bitcoin's correlation with the S&P 500 spiked to historic highs in 2022 as the Federal Reserve raised interest rates through the year. The flagship cryptocurrency's price tumbled 65% in 2022.
That link with stocks has fallen this year, however. At the same time, bitcoin's price and correlation with gold have increased. Crypto has also found other catalysts beyond inflation and the Fed namely, the regional banking crisis and the regulatory crackdown in the U.S. More recently, market participants have had their attention on Ordinals, a protocol that makes it possible to store and trade digital content on the Bitcoin blockchain, and memecoins.
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Bitcoin rises slightly after key inflation data comes in better than feared - CNBC
Turkish government accused of using Bitcoin to fund deepfake … – Finbold – Finance in Bold
Turkeys upcoming presidential election on Sunday, May 14, is drawing global attention as it could mark the end of President Recep Tayyip Erdogans decades-long reign. To make the matter even more interesting, the Turkish current government is facing some serious accusations.
Tuncay zkan, chairman of the Turkish opposition party (CHP), claims the has learned that the countrys government will produce deepfake propaganda material on DarkWeb against CHP ahead of the elections, local Turkish outlet Kisadalga reported on May 11.
According to zkan, Turkeys Directorate of Communications had contacted Kemal Kilicdaroglu, the leader of the opposition party, to inform them that fake videos will be made against the opposition on the DarkWeb. These videos include sound and image content that was manipulated using an artificial intelligence (AI) technology known as deepfake, and zkan the payment was made to the people who will do this manipulation with (BTC).
They conveyed that such a thing has been done and that it is against democracy, human rights, and the law. Because they were not comfortable with their conscience, they came and told us. We also have a list of names, said zkan.
The claims come after Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan recently showed an AI-generated video that made Kilicdaroglu appear as if he was praising the PKK a militant political organization responsible for several terrorist attacks in Turkey.
As Turkey approaches the long-awaited presidential elections, AI experts weighed on the deepfake propaganda claims. The Sunday elections are also one of the first major elections in the world to deal with such advanced AI technology.
Henry Ajder, a deepfake specialist, believes this is a concerning matter as such convincing propaganda material could have a significant impact on the final outcome.
If you can flood sophisticated and very human-sounding speech on large networks and inauthentic accounts with one narrative, that could obviously play a role in taking over a sphere.
While there are online tools that can verify the provenance of such content, they pose a risk of building a media hierarchy. For instance, if the content is not certified, people can label it as fake when convenient, Ajder said.
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Turkish government accused of using Bitcoin to fund deepfake ... - Finbold - Finance in Bold
OKX to Establish Bitcoin BRC-20 Industry Standard with Unisat – The Tokenist
Neither the author, Tim Fries, nor this website, The Tokenist, provide financial advice. Please consult ourwebsite policyprior to making financial decisions.
OKX and Unisat, the open-source Chrome wallet extension for Bitcoin Ordinals, announced on Friday they entered into a partnership to establish a BRC-20 token standard. BRC-20 and Ordinals have been a popular subject in recent weeks and the reason behind the division in the Bitcoin community.
Cryptocurrency exchange OKX joined forces with UniSat Wallet to create a cross-verification process for BRC-20 transaction indexing on the Bitcoin blockchain. As part of the partnership, UniSat is set to become OKXs BRC-20 market data supplier.
We are delighted to announce that @OKX and @unisat_wallet are collaborating to develop a cross-verification process for BRC-20 transaction indexing on the #Bitcoin blockchain. This marks the initial stride towards decentralized indexing, enhancing the overall robustness and reliability of BRC-20.
BRC-20 refers to an experimental token standard introduced in March 2023 by an anonymous crypto developer known as Domo. Like ERC-20 standards on Ethereum, BRC-20 allows users to issue fungible tokens using Bitcoins Ordinals protocol.
Since the standard was rolled out, the demand for Bitcoin Ordinals reached sky-high levels, causing congestion on the worlds biggest blockchain and propelling its network fees to a 2-year high earlier this month. In addition, Binance said on May 9 it would add support for Bitcoin Ordinal inscriptions on its non-fungible token (NFT) marketplace in late May.
A big part of the Bitcoin community welcomed the introduction of the BRC-20 standard, as many wanted to join Ethereum proponents in issuing NFTs on their favorite blockchain. On the other hand, some have loudly criticized this idea.
These include the so-called Bitcoin purists, who believe Ordinal inscriptions enabled by the BRC-20 standard represent a departure from the original intent of Bitcoin, which was primarily meant to be used as a medium of exchange and a decentralized store of value. Moreover, purists also think that Ordinals have added elements of centralization and jeopardized the idea of Bitcoin being a decentralized, value-neutral currency.
As a result of their discontent, some Bitcoin developers have proposed to cancel Ordinals and BRC-20 tokens, which have been primarily responsible for the recent network bottleneck and mounting fees. Earlier this week, around 400,000 unconfirmed Bitcoin transactions in the mempool were waiting to be added to a block.
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Tim Fries is the cofounder of The Tokenist. He has a B. Sc. in Mechanical Engineering from the University of Michigan, and an MBA from the University of Chicago Booth School of Business. Tim served as a Senior Associate on the investment team at RW Baird's US Private Equity division, and is also the co-founder of Protective Technologies Capital, an investment firm specializing in sensing, protection and control solutions.
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OKX to Establish Bitcoin BRC-20 Industry Standard with Unisat - The Tokenist
Trader Who Called 2022 Bitcoin Bottom Says One Dogecoin and Shiba Inu Rival Headed to Zero Heres the Timeline – The Daily Hodl
A widely followed trader who called the November 2022 Bitcoin (BTC) bottom is warning one memecoin is going to implode after putting up huge gains.
Pseudonymous trader DonAlt tells his 484,600 Twitter followers that the Dogecoin (DOGE) and Shiba Inu (SHIB) rival Pepe (PEPE) is going to eventually breakdown to zero.
His chart shows Pepes sudden fall after skyrocketing within weeks, and he predicts the memecoin will not be worth anything in three-to-five years.
Where does PEPE go next?
Spoiler alert: The answer is zero Just gotta wait three-five years until it hits the target.
Pepe is trading for $0.00000159 at time of writing, down 16.1% during the past 24 hours.
The meme token is down 62.74% from its all-time high of $0.00000431, which it hit on May 5th. Pepe, the 65th-largest crypto by market cap, had skyrocketed in a matter of weeks from its all-time low of $0.000000055142, which it recorded on April 18th.
Next, DonAlt weighs in on Bitcoin. He predicts the king crypto will likely continue to dip in value in the near term.
BTC update:
Slow bleed has been very accurate. Every bounce so far has simply been forcing shorts out of their over-eager positioning.
A beautiful display of maximum pain for leverage traders I doubt itll stop anytime soon but would love to be surprised.
DonAlt also says that Bitcoin is facing headwinds from the crackdown on crypto by US regulators. He says he plans to reinvest in BTC after the USs anti-crypto effort subsides.
At $16,000 we were so undervalued, anything couldve happened and we wouldve barely budged.
At $30,000 thats a different story.
I feel like people forgot that the US government is actively trying to kill this space.
Ill personally give them some time to fail and then Ill buy the coins.
DonAlt is also predicting Bitcoin will dip down to the $26,700 level in the near term. He also says that Bitcoin will chop around for a while and will not likely make a break to the upside until trading volume cools.
I wasnt kidding when I said the majority of leverage traders are gonna lose all their money in this environment.
This will not stop until trading volumes are near zero IMO (in my opinion). First nuke longs, then shorts, then go sideways with outsized impulses on either side to kill the rest.
Bitcoin is trading for $27,161 at time of writing, down 3.9% during the past 24 hours.
Featured Image: Shutterstock/Profil_zero/WindAwake
The Untold Secret of Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle: Fortune-Making Patterns – BeInCrypto
The buzz around the Bitcoin 4-year cycle has grown louder in recent years, becoming a widely-discussed topic among crypto enthusiasts and market analysts. The cycle, marked by significant events and trends in the crypto market, has aroused curiosity and intrigue in both seasoned participants and newcomers.
However, the causes and implications of the Bitcoin 4-year cycle are often misunderstood or oversimplified. Examining the factors that shape it, including the halving, macroeconomic influences, and human behavior, may benefit investors.
One of the most intriguing aspects of Bitcoins behavior is the halving. This is a predetermined event in which the number of new BTC generated and distributed by the network is cut in half.
Currently, about 900 Bitcoins are produced daily. In the forthcoming halving, scheduled for late Q1 or early Q2 of next year, this figure will decrease to 450. The previous halvings in 2012, 2016, and 2020 have marked significant turning points in Bitcoin.
The halving impacts Bitcoins price due to a simple supply-demand principle.
When the halving occurs, even if Bitcoin demand remains steady, the reduction in supply can create an imbalance, pushing prices upwards. This price momentum can trigger a multi-year bull market in Bitcoin.
As the cycle progresses, the initial impulse from the halving diminishes, yet the momentum continues, carrying the market forward.
As the bull market matures, liquidity spreads from Bitcoin to other cryptos, such as Ethereum, and eventually to riskier, long-tail assets.
This dispersion continues until the inflow of new funds into the crypto market cannot sustain the increasing number of assets driven by correlation with the major cryptocurrencies and the new projects being created.
When this unsustainable point is reached, the market collapses, reversing the dispersion of liquidity. Funds flow from long-tail assets back into Bitcoin and Ethereum, providing a reset point for the liquidity cycle.
This liquidity flow pattern is not unique to the crypto market but is characteristic of traditional financial markets.
Beyond halving and liquidity cycles, another vital factor shaping Bitcoins market behavior is the psychological dynamics of market participants. To understand this better, one must delve into Bitcoins on-chain data.
Bitcoins price and the profitability of active network participants significantly influence the market dynamics. Indeed, market participants who have accrued substantial unrealized profits are more likely to sell during market downturns, fearing the loss of these gains.
Moreover, individuals who enter the market after a significant price rise are typically less experienced or less convinced about the assets long-term value. These factors result in a more volatile holder base than the stable base seen during bear market lows.
When discussing profitability, one often refers to a series of metrics categorized under cost basis. These include realized price, a proxy for the networks aggregated cost basis, and the short and long-term holder realized price.
These metrics help understand the state of the market whether it is in unrealized losses or gains.
The change between the market price and the aggregated cost basis can be measured using the Market-Value-to-Realized-Value (MVRV) ratio.
High readings of MVRV, indicating large amounts of unrealized profits, have historically marked the peak of Bitcoin 4-year cycles.
Historically, Bitcoin miners have significantly impacted the market, acting as pro-cyclical forces.
Miners accumulate Bitcoin when it is profitable during bull markets and are forced to sell during bear markets.
However, the term capitalization metric shows that their influence on the market has decreased.
Historically, Bitcoin has maintained some isolation from global macroeconomic factors. However, it becomes more susceptible to these influences as it integrates more with the traditional financial system and garners more adoption by institutional investors.
For instance, fluctuations in the US dollars strength, changes in monetary policy, and geopolitical tensions can now directly impact Bitcoins market behavior.
People often consider Bitcoin, much like gold, as a safe haven asset during economic crises or financial market instability.
Thus, during periods of heightened risk or uncertainty in the global economy, one might see a surge in demand for Bitcoin, which can push its price upward.
The role of regulatory factors in shaping Bitcoins market behavior is considerable and can often be unpredictable. While some countries have embraced Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, others have imposed stringent regulations or outright bans.
Positive regulatory news can drive Bitcoins price upwards, while negative news can trigger steep declines.
For instance, when countries like Japan and South Korea recognized Bitcoin as a legal payment method, its price had a significant positive impact.
Conversely, when China announced a crackdown on Bitcoin mining and trading, it led to a sharp market downturn.
A complex interplay of factors shapes Bitcoins market behavior. These include its inbuilt halving mechanism, liquidity cycles, the psychology and behavior of market participants, the influence of miners, global macroeconomic factors, and regulatory developments.
Understanding these factors can give investors and market participants valuable insights into Bitcoins potential price movements.
Despite this, one should not consider these factors as definitive predictors due to the crypto markets highly volatile and unpredictable nature. Instead, one should use them as tools to assess probabilities and manage risk.
As Bitcoin continues to evolve and mature, the factors influencing its market behavior may also change. Therefore, staying updated with the latest developments in Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market is crucial.
Following the Trust Project guidelines, this feature article presents opinions and perspectives from industry experts or individuals. BeInCrypto is dedicated to transparent reporting, but the views expressed in this article do not necessarily reflect those of BeInCrypto or its staff. Readers should verify information independently and consult with a professional before making decisions based on this content.
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The Untold Secret of Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle: Fortune-Making Patterns - BeInCrypto
Large Immersion Cooled Crypto Mining Farms to Extract Bitcoin in … – Bitcoin News
A project to build two large-scale facilities for cryptocurrency mining is underway in the United Arab Emirates (UAE). The high-tech data centers will rely on a full immersion solution to cool the power-hungry miners as the desert climate renders air-cooled mining infeasible, participants said.
Marathon Digital Holdings, a leading U.S.-based crypto mining company, and emerging blockchain infrastructure developer Zero Two, are working to launch what they say will be the Middle Easts first immersion bitcoin mining operations.
The partners have formed a joint venture, Abu Dhabi Global Markets (ADGM), to develop and run two new sites for digital asset mining with a combined capacity of 250 megawatts (MW), Marathon announced in a press release providing information about the project.
The larger, 200 MW facility will be constructed in Masdar City, the sustainability hub of Abu Dhabi, the capital city of UAE. The other, 50MW crypto farm will be located in the port zone of Mina Zayed, the announcement detailed.
The sites will be powered with excess energy, thus increasing the base load and sustainability of Abu Dhabis power grid. The two companies emphasized their intention is to also offset any non-sustainably produced electricity used with clean energy certificates.
Construction of the crypto mining farms is already underway and the mining equipment has been ordered. Both sites, which will have a combined hashrate of approximately 7 EH/s, are expected to come online as early as this year.
Before starting the realization of the project, Marathon Digital and Zero Two launched a pilot program to establish the efficacy of a large crypto mining operation in Abu Dhabi, where the hot desert climate renders air-cooled mining infeasible.
The initial results of the pilot indicate that operating mining sites in the UAE is now feasible thanks to an immersion solution to cool the ASIC miners, custom-built by the two companies, and implementing proprietary software to optimize their performance.
The equity ownership in the ADGM joint venture will be 80% for Zero Two and 20% for Marathon, with capital contributions in 2023 expected to total around $406 million. The details about the mining project come after analysts recently predicted that increased regulatory pressures, energy costs, and taxes in current mining hotspots may result in a new migration of crypto miners to more favorable jurisdictions.
Do you expect to see a growing number of crypto mining facilities in the Middle East? Tell us in the comments section below.
Lubomir Tassev is a journalist from tech-savvy Eastern Europe who likes Hitchenss quote: Being a writer is what I am, rather than what I do. Besides crypto, blockchain and fintech, international politics and economics are two other sources of inspiration.
Image Credits: Shutterstock, Pixabay, Wiki Commons
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It is not a direct offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation or endorsement of any products, services, or companies. Bitcoin.com does not provide investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice. Neither the company nor the author is responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods or services mentioned in this article.
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Large Immersion Cooled Crypto Mining Farms to Extract Bitcoin in ... - Bitcoin News
William Clemente III tips Bitcoin will hit six figures toward end of … – Cointelegraph
Will Clemente III has 680,200 followers on Twitter thanks to his viral crypto analysis content. He co-founded blockchain research firm Reflexivity Research with Anthony Pomp Pompliano while still a teenager.
Will Clemente III is still only 21 years old, but his keen insights into the industry mean hes followed by some of the biggest names in crypto and 680,200 others.
But whats the III thing all about?
Yes, I am a third, he laughs about his family name.
He explains that he dropped out of school in August 2021 while in sophomore year to work in crypto.
Clementes decision has paid off, as the 21-year-old now boasts influential industry figures like MicroStrategy co-founder Michael Saylor, Messari CEO Ryan Selkis and Polygon co-founder Sandeep Nailwal among his large follower count.
A bit like a teenage pop sensation being discovered by Simon Cowell, Clemente was originally discovered by Anthony Pomp Pompliano, the venture capitalist and podcaster who proposed they start a blockchain research firm together, before Clemente was even legally allowed to take a sip of beer.
Pomp said, Why dont we start a research firm? so we launched Reflexivity Research in September 2021, Clemente explains.
Clemente explains that, as he gained an obsession with crypto, he lost a girlfriend but not before she bought Bitcoin herself, in the hope Clemente would pretty much shut up about it. It didnt work.
After learning that Bitcoin is probably the thing you want to own most, I became obsessed, and my girlfriend said you need to find a group of people to ramble on [about it], as she was getting sick of it.
Early on, Clemente recognized the importance of grabbing the attention of prominent figures in the crypto industry to get his content out to a wider audience.
I wrote a report on Bitcoins role in the financial system, published it, and tagged all the crypto influencers I knew. Preston Pysh found it, retweeted it, and shouted me out. I owe him credit to go from 300 followers to 3,000 followers, Clemente says.
After Pysh retweeted Clementes report, Pomp stumbled upon it and invited Clemente to be a guest on his podcast The Pomp Podcast which boosted his follower count to 5,000.
From there, it gave me the confidence to go from 5,000 to 10,000, and it just took off after that, he says. I owe Preston and Pomp big time.
Clemente appears unfazed by the enormous size of his audience online.
600,000 its just numbers on the screen, he declares.
That said, hes even getting recognized on the street these days.
When you see people recognize you, that is weird. Four people recognized me, while I was on a walk. Thats when it hit me this is actually real.
Clemente tweets almost every day, sharing a combination of crypto-related news and insights and retweeting trusted content from others.
My Twitter is a combination of Bitcoin and crypto data points, cool data points, different data sources, other research, whether its coming from me or others Im endorsing.
Clemente doesnt consider it beneath him to take the free quizzes on crypto exchanges to earn altcoins for himself, either.
Mild beef: Bitcoin maxis
Clemente is a polite young man who actively avoids conflicts.
Despite emphasizing his respect for the perspective of Bitcoin maximalists, he has faced criticism from the community after shifting from talking solely about Bitcoin on Twitter.
I came in as a hardcore Bitcoin maximalist, then I shifted from Bitcoin as the only thing to look at, which is when I started copping it from the Bitcoin maxi community, Clemente states.
But he was prepared for the backlash and decided it was worth it in the long run.
I thought Ill probably take the shit for a month or two, and then itll slowly fizzle out, he says.
Clemente says he treats his Twitter feed like a crucial data source and carefully chooses who he follows.
I follow a little bit of everything, I view my Twitter account as a Bloomberg terminal, he says.
I also follow meme accounts for fun I guess amongst the serious stuff, he says.
Hes a fan of accounts that share on-chain analysis insights, including Dylan LeClair and the lead on-chain analyst for Glassnode, Checkmate.
Clemente isnt one to get easy likes with big price predictions but anticipates that the price of Bitcoin could reach six figures sometime between the fourth quarter of 2024 and the first quarter of 2025.
According to him, the market has bottomed on a multi-year view.
Clemente also believes that the majority of those who are buying Bitcoin at lower prices are in it for the long haul.
People buying down there arent looking to sell at a double, they are looking to hold at a multi-year, he says.
Were going to see major price appreciation over the next two years, he says.
Clemente says its important to consider that countries will begin to take steps towards moving off of dollar system reliance.
If thats true, in my view, it gives a high probability that they may take at least a small position or conduct a small portion of trade in Bitcoin, given its the purest decentralized bearer asset on Earth, Clemente says.
Most market participants base their expectations of Bitcoin adoption on the future outlook of the global macroeconomic landscape, but I think people underestimate the geopolitical significance of Bitcoin.
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Ciaran Lyons is an Australian crypto journalist. He's also a standup comedian and has been a radio and TV presenter on Triple J, SBS and The Project.
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William Clemente III tips Bitcoin will hit six figures toward end of ... - Cointelegraph
This Week in Coins: Bitcoin and Ethereum Stand Still After Fed Rate Hike – Decrypt
Illustration by Mitchell Preffer for Decrypt.
After posting small gains last weekend, the price growth of crypto market leaders Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) slowed to effectively nothing this week.
Bitcoin remains at the level it was this time last weekend, hovering around $28.820, a decrease of about 5% from its April high of $30,979 set nearly three weeks ago but still about 77% up from the start of January when the price was $16,615.
Ethereum added 4.2% to its value over the seven days and currently changes hands at $1,885, a decline of about 7% from its 2023 high of $2,129 set in mid-April and 66% up from January 1, when the price was $1,197.
TRON experienced the most growth this week and was the only top thirty cryptocurrency to grow by 8% over the week to trade at $0.070261 at the start of the weekend.
All other leading cryptocurrencies remain virtually unmoved over the last seven days.
The markets lack of growth this week is at least partly attributable to the Feds decision to hike interest rates by another 25 basis points to fight inflation, the tenth consecutive hike since March last year.
In macroeconomic terms, interest rate hikes tend to drive investors away from risk-on assets like stocks and crypto as the cost of borrowing rises, making money more expensive and thus discouraging more speculative investments.
On Tuesday the White House released a report reinforcing the idea of a Digital Asset Mining Energy tax (DAME). It would apply to miners of both proof-of-work and proof-of-stake cryptocurrencies, despite their different levels of energy consumption, andbeginning in 2024 assessing a tax thats based on their electricity costs, starting at 10% and increasing each year until it reaches 30%.
The proposal has already received heavy pushback from the crypto industry, especially because it doesnt take into account the energy sources of the mining companies. Critics argue that the U.S. government is making a value judgment on crypto mining as a bad (or consumptive) activity regardless of whether a miner uses renewably-sourced energy or not.
A 2024 Presidential hopeful for the Democrat party, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., on Tuesday tweeted that he believes there is a top-down war on crypto that had something to do with the recent collapses of Silicon Valley Bank, Silvergate and Signature.
Barely a month ago, Kennedy posted a long rant on Crypto Twitter railing against the idea of a dollar-pegged cryptocurrency being released by the Federal Reserve. However, Kennedys thread was based on a misreading of an article about The Feds new digital payments system FedNow, which has nothing to do with central bank digital currencies (CBDCs).
Meanwhile, in the red corner, Republican Florida governor Ron DeSantiswho is widely expected to run as a Presidential candidate next yearonce more pushed back against CBDCs at a press conference on Tuesday titled "Government of Laws, Not Woke Politics."
DeSantis aired a package of bills opposing "'Environment, Social, and Governance" or ESG policies. ESG policies evaluate factors beyond fiscal performance in evaluating a company or organization, such as environmental and community impact. One example is the White Houses DAME tax mentioned above.
DeSantis criticized the ESG approach as virtue signaling and tied the concept of a CBDC to ESGs "woke" practices by saying that CBDC advocates "will impose ESG and social credit scores onto that, and that's going to be a huge reduction in freedom for people in this country." His words echoed his earlier remarks that a U.S. CBDC would be Big Brothers Digital Dollar."
Finally, in adoption news, famed auction house Sothebys on Monday launched an on-chain NFT marketplace for secondary NFT sales, enabling collectors to list and make offers on work from artists.
Argentine crypto fans fear they could be witnessing the start of a crypto crackdown, meanwhile. On Friday the countrys central bank banned payment platforms from offering crypto trading services to their customers.
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This Week in Coins: Bitcoin and Ethereum Stand Still After Fed Rate Hike - Decrypt
First Mover Asia: Bitcoin Struggles as U.S. Regulators Fumble: Analyst – CoinDesk
Good morning. Heres whats happening:
Prices: Bitcoin continued its two-day swoon, dropping below $28K at one point. The head of research at Canadian crypto asset manager 3iQ linked its decline to U.S. regulatory woes and also noted that "market liquidity remains heavily tilted to Asia."
Insights: With MICA and a separate crypto-related rule, European legislators have built a promising, regulatory foundation for digital assets. U.S. efforts remain disjointed and counterproductive, CoinDesk columnist Daniel Kuhn writes in The Node.
Bitcoin Decline Due to U.S. Regulatory Woes
U.S. crypto regulatory woes have been weighing heavily on bitcoin.
So wrote Mark Connors, the head of research at Canadian crypto asset manager 3iQ, in a series of texts discussing BTC's stumble from what seemed safe heights above $30,000.
"The Kabuki theatre that unfolded in Washington this week suggests Asia and other jurisdictions will continue to gain market share from the U.S., Connors wrote to CoinDesk, adding: "Coinbases decision to get licensed in Bermuda to launch an exchange as early as next week shows that U.S. digital asset companies are now voting with their feet. So this week we had both price and regulatory volatility, with only one clear loser, the U.S. economy."
The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization was recently trading at about $28,100, down about 2.7% over the past 24 hours. But earlier on Thursday, bitcoin fell briefly to $27,991 on Coinbase, its lowest level since April 9. The decline continued a two-day slump that started early Wednesday amid a hot U.K. inflation report and massive sell-off on Binance. BTC is down about 10% from last week's high near $31,000 with investors more fretful than upbeat about crypto assets' path forward.
Connors noted that "market liquidity remains heavily tilted to Asia, so he was "not surprised to see bitcoin's downswing start as markets in that part of the world closed. "Remember, last May and June dislocations occurred in a similar window," he wrote.
Ether was recently changing hands at about $1,936, off a few fractions of a point and well off its recent, Shanghai upgrade highs above $2,100. Other major cryptos were largely in the red, mostly darker shades. XRP, the token of the XRP open source public blockchain XRP Ledger, and ARB, the native crypto of the Arbitrum layer 2 blockchain, were both down more than 3.5%. The CoinDesk Market Index, a measure of crypto markets overall performance, was recently down 1.3%.
Equity markets fell, albeit not severely, with the tech-focused Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500, which has a strong technology component, off 0.8% and 0.6%, respectively. Gold hovered comfortably over $2,000, suggesting that investor appetites for assets that hold their value in good times and bad remained strong.
Despite encouraging first quarter earnings from a number of major banks, investors remain warily watchful, given the decline of a number of important economic indicators that may foreshadow recession. Recent jobs data has indicated a fall-off in the torrid employment market, and on Thursday, the National Association of Realtors monthly report showed home prices registering their biggest decline since 2012 and mortgage rates rising.
Meanwhile, Connors wrote that "more volatility" was likely in store, "but not the YTD upside volatility we have seen so far in 2023."
"We may be entering a period of consolidation as U.S. regulation dims hopes and prompts regulatory reboots by many players. Both are counteracting the long running and structural tailwinds for BTC" that the company highlighted in its 2023 Outlook.
Why the EU Has MiCA and the U.S. Has Securities Law Confusion
The European Parliament went ahead and did it: Today, after years of deliberations and at least twoofficial delays, the landmark Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulatory framework was voted in. European Union legislators also passed a separate crypto-related rule known as the Transfer of Funds regulation that imposes stronger surveillance and identification requirements for crypto operators, CoinDesksJack Schickler reported.
The rules were described as a"world firstby the European Commission's Mairead McGuinness, and also an end of the Wild West era for crypto assets," according to Green Party lawmaker Ernest Urtasun. The laws, which will be enforced at the state-level, still need to be officially approved by the supra-governmental body called the EU Council, are just about cleared to take effect next year. (The Councils approval is more of a formality at this point, considering it already approved the text of the law last year.)
This article is excerpted from The Node, CoinDesk's daily roundup of the most pivotal stories in blockchain and crypto news. You can subscribe to get the fullnewsletter here.
For many, MiCA represents a crucial step forward for the crypto industry. Its the first major attempt to provide a comprehensive set of rules for crypto companies so they know in advance what they can and cannot do and where their responsibilities lie if they want to operate in the 27-nation strong trading bloc. The European Unionhopes it sets the global standard(and, in some sense, is worried about MiCAs effectiveness in the EU if similar rules are not adopted everywhere).
CoinDeskhas written a number of overviewsof the legal framework. But. in short, MiCA requires crypto firms like wallet providers and exchanges to be licensed by the EU, and comply with money laundering and terrorism finance safeguards if they want to serve EU-based customers. Some have balked at the reporting standards, which will undoubtedly weaken privacy for crypto users in the name of customer safety and national security.
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Lawmakers in the European Union on Thursday voted 517-38 in favor of a new crypto licensing regime, MiCA, with 18 abstentions, making it the first major jurisdiction in the world to introduce a comprehensive crypto law. Bitstamp Chief Operating Officer John Ehlers joined the conversation. This came as bitcoin (BTC) fell for a second straight day, touching a 10-day low. Options Insights founder Imran Lakha shared his crypto markets analysis. And, Lukso co-founder Marjorie Hernandez discussed why the layer 1 blockchain for creative types is opening a smart contract that lets original validators participate in running the blockchain.
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First Mover Asia: Bitcoin Struggles as U.S. Regulators Fumble: Analyst - CoinDesk
Bitcoin is up 72% in 2023. Is Crypto Winter finally over? – Fortune
A regulatory crackdown, a banking collapse, and persistent inflation seemingly would spell trouble for the health of the crypto industry, but Bitcoin, Ether, and other marquee tokens have skyrocketed since the beginning of 2023.
Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, is up 72%, recently crossing the $30,000 threshold. (It has since dipped below $28,500, as inflation and rising interest rates have spooked investors.) Ether, the second largest, is up 62%, blowing past $2,000 after a successful upgrade to Ethereum, the tokens blockchain. And the total market cap for all cryptocurrencies is up to about $1.2 trillion, an increase of approximately 50% since the beginning of the year, according to CoinMarketCap.
While recent prices for the most prominent digital assets still pale in comparison to their heights in 2021, when the total crypto market cap neared $3 trillion, the price rally has observers questioning whether Crypto Spring has finally sprung.
But is Crypto Winter actually over? Fortune spoke to four analysts to place the current rally in historical context.
Crypto has worked like clockwork in four-year cycles, Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise Asset Management, a crypto investment outfit, told Fortune.
And so far, he says, there have been three rounds of peaks and valleys.
From 2011 to 2013, the price of the cryptocurrency rose and then fell in 2014 with the collapse of one of the earliest Bitcoin exchanges, Mt. Gox, which went bankrupt after hackers made off with hundreds of millions in customer funds.
From 2015 to 2017, crypto prices increased again, plummeting in 2018 when the era of ICOs, or initial coin offerings, left many investors bereft as many of the tokens they feverishly bought turned out to be quick cash grabs.
And from 2019 to 2021, prices rose once more, dropping in 2022 after a series of high-profile crypto companies went belly-up, most significantly FTX, the bankrupt exchange once valued at $32 billion.
Some analysts have commonly understood Bitcoins price fluctuationsand the crypto industrys growth writ largeto roughly correspond to when Bitcoin is halved, or when the rewards for mining Bitcoin, the process by which computers secure the digital assets blockchain, are reduced by 50%.
This reduction in Bitcoin rewards, the theory goes, makes the cryptocurrencys supply scarcer, which thereby increases its price.
Post-halving, theres a big rally that happens, Gautam Chhugani, managing director and senior digital assets analyst at AB Bernstein, told Fortune. Pre-halving, theres an anticipation rally that happens.
Bitwises Hougan, on the other hand, believes that the start of each four-year cycle corresponds to technical innovations. In 2011, mass-market crypto exchangesCoinbase, Kraken, etc.launched, allowing laypeople to buy Bitcoin with cash. In 2015, Vitalik Buterin invented Ethereum, which promised to decentralize cloud computing. And in 2019, the first real applications of Ethereum appeared, Hougan says, including DeFi, or decentralized finance, stablecoins, and NFTs, or non-fungible tokens.
The four-year cycle hypothesis uses asample size of three instances of price gains and falls, a small dataset. However, if the trend holds, crypto is due for another bull run.
View the Bitcoin's Price In 2023 chart
In the near term, Chhugani of AllianceBernstein believes Bitcoin and the crypto industry will follow the peaks and valleys of the larger world economy. However, hes optimistic on its medium and long-term outlook. Bitcoin has never had two negative years consequently, he told Fortune.
Analysts at Bitfinex Alpha, a market research team within the crypto exchange Bitfinex, agree. While the jury is still out as to whether the Crypto Winter is finally over, Bitcoin network activity is indicating a healthy uptrend in transaction fees, they said in a statement to Fortune.
And Brian Rudick, senior strategist at crypto trading firm GSR, thinks its arguable that the industry is even in a bear market at all. It depends on what your definition of Crypto Winter is, he said.
Going by price and sentiment, or how the public views crypto, the chill of winter is obvious. However, going by other metrics, its comparatively balmy.
Rudick cited a 40% increase in crypto users in 2022, according to Crypto.com, a 5% increase in the number of developers in 2022, according to Electric Capital, and a 293% increase in smart contracts deployed on Ethereum, or programs running on the blockchain, according to Alchemy.
Despite the optimism, Chhugani, the analyst at AB Bernstein, warned that the feverish pace that saw Bitcoins price rise to almost $70,000 in 2021 isnt directly around the corner. Regulation remains challenging, he told Fortune. So were not in the middle of a crazy raging bull market.
That said, he remains bullish. This industry has died like a few hundred times in the last 14 years, he said. However, despite constant predictions of cryptos collapse, he added, it doesnt really happen.
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Bitcoin is up 72% in 2023. Is Crypto Winter finally over? - Fortune