Category Archives: Machine Learning

The consistency of machine learning and statistical models in predicting clinical risks of individual patients – The BMJ – The BMJ

Now, imagine a machine learning system with an understanding of every detail of that persons entire clinical history and the trajectory of their disease. With the clinicians push of a button, such a system would be able to provide patient-specific predictions of expected outcomes if no treatment is provided to support the clinician and patient in making what may be life-or-death decisions[1] This would be a major achievement. The English NHS is currently investing 250 million in Artificial Intelligence (AI). Part of this AI work could help to identify patients most at risk of diseases such as heart disease or dementia, allowing for earlier diagnosis and cheaper, more focused, personalised prevention. [2] Multiple papers have suggested that machine learning outperforms statistical models including cardiovascular disease risk prediction. [3-6] We tested whether it is true with prediction of cardiovascular disease as exemplar.

Risk prediction models have been implemented worldwide into clinical practice to help clinicians make treatment decisions. As an example, guidelines by the UK National Institute for Health and Care Excellence recommend that statins are considered for patients with a predicted 10-year cardiovascular disease risk of 10% or more. [7] This is based on the estimation of QRISK which was derived using a statistical model. [8] Our research evaluated whether the predictions of cardiovascular disease risk for an individual patient would be similar if another model, such as a machine learning models were used, as different predictions could lead to different treatment decisions for a patient.

An electronic health record dataset was used for this study with similar risk factor information used across all models. Nineteen different prediction techniques were applied including 12 families of machine learning models (such as neural networks) and seven statistical models (such as Cox proportional hazards models). It was found that the various models had similar population-level model performance (C-statistics of about 0.87 and similar calibration). However, the predictions for individual CVD risks varied widely between and within different types of machine learning and statistical models, especially in patients with higher CVD risks. Most of the machine learning models, tested in this study, do not take censoring into account by default (i.e., loss to follow-up over the 10 years). This resulted in these models substantially underestimating cardiovascular disease risk.

The level of consistency within and between models should be assessed before they are used for treatment decisions making, as an arbitrary choice of technique and model could lead to a different treatment decision.

So, can a push of a button provide patient-specific risk prediction estimates by machine learning? Yes, it can. But should we use such estimates for patient-specific treatment-decision making if these predictions are model-dependant? Machine learning may be helpful in some areas of healthcare such as image recognition, and could be as useful as statistical models on population level prediction tasks. But in terms of predicting risk for individual decision making we think a lot more work could be done. Perhaps the claim that machine learning will revolutionise healthcare is a little premature.

Yan Li, doctoral student of statistical epidemiology, Health e-Research Centre, Health Data Research UK North, School of Health Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester.

Matthew Sperrin, senior lecturer in health data science, Health e-Research Centre, Health Data Research UK North, School of Health Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester.

Darren M Ashcroft, professor of pharmacoepidemiology, Centre for Pharmacoepidemiology and Drug Safety, School of Health Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester.

Tjeerd Pieter van Staa, professor in health e-research, Health e-Research Centre, Health Data Research UK North, School of Health Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester.

Competing interests: None declared.

References:

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The consistency of machine learning and statistical models in predicting clinical risks of individual patients - The BMJ - The BMJ

PathAI and Gilead Report Data from Machine Learning Model Predictions of Liver Disease Progression and Treatment Response at AASLD’s The Liver Meeting…

BOSTON (PRWEB) November 06, 2020

PathAI, a global provider of AI-powered technology applied to pathology research, today announced the results of a research collaboration with Gilead that retrospectively analyzed liver biopsies from participants in clinical trials evaluating treatments for NASH or CHB (1). Using digitized hematoxylin and eosin (H&E)-, picrosirius red-, and trichrome-stained biopsy slides, PathAIs machine learning (ML) models were able to accurately predict changes in features traditionally used as markers for liver disease progression in clinical practice and clinical trials, including fibrosis, steatosis, hepatocellular ballooning, and inflammation. The new results will be presented in an oral presentation and 4 poster sessions at The Liver Meeting Digital Experience (TLMdX) that will be held from November 13-16, 2020.

The data builds upon PathAIs previous success in retrospectively staging liver biopsies from clinical trials by showing that ML models may uncover patterns of histological features that correlate with disease progression or treatment response. Furthermore, ML models were able to estimate the hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) in study subjects with NASH related cirrhosis and quantify fibrosis heterogeneity from digitized slides, which are measures that are not reliably captured by traditional pathology methods. After appropriate clinical validation, these new tools could be useful in staging disease more accurately than can be done with current approaches.

"We continue to use machine learning to advance our understanding of liver diseases, including NASH and hepatitis B, as a foundation for developing new methods to track disease progression and assess response to therapeutics, said PathAI co-founder and Chief Executive Officer Andy Beck MD, PhD. Our long-standing partnership with Gilead continues to demonstrate the power of AI-based pathology to support development efforts to bring new therapies to patients."

Highlights include:

Data presented at AASLD demonstrate the potential of machine learning approaches to improve our assessment of liver disease severity, reduce the variability of human interpretation of liver biopsies, and identify novel features associated with disease progression, said Rob Myers, MD, Vice President, Liver Inflammation/Fibrosis, Gilead Sciences. We are proud of our ongoing partnership with PathAI and look forward to continued collaboration toward our shared goals of enhancing research efforts and improving outcomes of patients with liver disease.

The antiviral drug TDF effectively suppresses hepatitis B virus in patients with CHB, but a small subset of patients have persistently elevated serum ALT despite virologic suppression. ML-models were applied to biopsy data from registrational studies of TDF to examine this small subgroup of non-responders. Analyses of the ML-model predicted histologic features showed that persistently elevated ALT after five years of TDF treatment is associated with a higher steatosis score at BL and increases in steatosis during follow-up. These data suggest that subjects with elevated ALT despite TDF treatment may have underlying fatty liver disease that impacts biochemical response.Machine Learning Enables Quantitative Assessment of Histopathologic Signatures Associated with ALT Normalization in Chronic Hepatitis B Patients Treated with Tenofovir Disoproxil Fumarate (TDF) Oral Abstract #18

ML-models were deployed on biopsies from registrational trials of TDF in CHB to identify cellular and tissue-based phenotypes associated with HBV DNA and hepatitis B e-antigen (HBeAg). The study demonstrated that proportionate areas of ML-model-predicted hepatocellular ballooning at BL and Yr 5, and lobular inflammation at Yr 5 were higher in subjects that did not achieve virologic suppression. In addition, lymphocyte density across the tissue and within regions of lobular inflammation correlated with HBeAg loss, supporting the importance of an early immune response for viral clearance.Machine Learning Based Quantification of Histology Features from Patients Treated for Chronic Hepatitis B Identifies Features Associated with Viral DNA Suppression and dHBeAg Loss Poster Number #0848

Standard manual methods for staging liver fibrosis have limited sensitivity and reproducibility. Application of a ML-model to evaluate changes in fibrosis in response to treatment in the STELLAR and ATLAS trials enabled development of the DELTA (Deep Learning Treatment Assessment) Liver Fibrosis Score. This scoring method accounts for the heterogeneity in fibrosis severity that can be detected by ML-models and reflects changes in fibrotic patterns that occur in response to treatment. Application of the DELTA Liver Fibrosis Score to biopsies from the Phase 2b ATLAS trial demonstrated a reduction in fibrosis in response to treatment with the investigational combination of cilofexor and firsocostat that was not detected by standard staging methods. Validation of a Machine Learning-Based Approach (DELTA Liver Fibrosis Score) for the Assessment of Histologic Response in Patients with Advanced Fibrosis Due to NASH Poster Number #1562

Integration of tissue transcriptomic data with histologic information is likely to reveal new insights into disease. Using liver tissue obtained during the STELLAR trials evaluating NASH subjects with advanced fibrosis, RNA-seq-generated, tissue-level gene expression profiles were integrated with ML-predicted histology. This analysis revealed five key genes strongly correlated with proportionate areas of portal inflammation and bile ducts, features that are themselves predictive of disease progression in NASH. High levels of expression of these genes was associated with an increased risk of progression to cirrhosis in subjects with bridging (F3) fibrosis (hazard ratio [HR] 2.1; 95% CI 1.25, 3.49) and liver-related clinical events among those with cirrhosis (HR 4.05; 95% CI 1.4, 14.36). Integration of Machine Learning-Based Histopathology and Hepatic Transcriptomic Data Identifies Genes Associated with Portal Inflammation and Ductular Proliferation as Predictors of Disease progression in Advanced Fibrosis Due to NASH Poster Number #595

The severity of portal hypertension as assessed by HPVG predicts the risk of hepatic complications in patients with liver disease but is not simple to measure. ML-models were trained on images of 320 trichrome-stained liver biopsies from a phase 2b trial of investigational simtuzumab in subjects with compensated cirrhosis due to NASH to recognize patterns of fibrosis that correlate with centrally-read HVPG measurements. Deployed on a test set of slides, ML-calculated HVPG scores strongly correlated with measured HVPG and could discriminate subjects with clinically-significant portal hypertension (HVPG 10 mm Hg).A Machine Learning Model Based on Liver Histology Predicts the Hepatic Venous Pressure Gradient (HVPG) in Patients with Compensated Cirrhosis Due to Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis (NASH) Poster Number #1471

(1) Trials include STELLAR, ATLAS, and NCT01672879 for investigation of NASH therapies, and registrational studies GS-US-174-102/103 for tenofovir disoproxil fumarate [TDF] for CHB.

About PathAIPathAI is a leading provider of AI-powered research tools and services for pathology. PathAIs platform promises substantial improvements to the accuracy of diagnosis and the efficacy of treatment of diseases like cancer, leveraging modern approaches in machine and deep learning. Based in Boston, PathAI works with leading life sciences companies and researchers to advance precision medicine. To learn more, visit pathai.com.

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PathAI and Gilead Report Data from Machine Learning Model Predictions of Liver Disease Progression and Treatment Response at AASLD's The Liver Meeting...

Google Introduces New Analytics with Machine Learning and Predictive Models – IBL News

IBL News | New York

Google announcedthe introduction of its new Google Analytics with machine learning at its core, which is privacy-centric by design. They are built on the foundation of the App + Web propertypresentedlast year.

The goal of the giant searching company is to help users to get better ROI and improve their marketing decisions. It follows what a survey from Forrester Consulting points out that improving the use of analytics is a top priority for marketers.

The machine learning models include will allow the ability to alert on trends in data, like products seeing rising demand, and help to anticipate future actions from customers. For example, it calculates churn probability so you can more efficiently invest in retaining customers at a time when marketing budgets are under pressure, says in a blog-postVidhya Srinivasan,Vice President, Measurement, Analytics, and Buying Platforms at Google.

It also adds new predictive metrics indicating the potential revenue that can be earned from a particular group of customers. This allows you to create audiences to reach higher-value customers and run analyses to better understand why some customers are likely to spend more than others, so you can take action to improve your results, wroteVidhya Srinivasan.

The new Google Analytics providescustomer-centric measurement, including conversion from YouTube video views, Google and non-Google paid channels, search, social, and email. The setup works with or without cookies or identifiers.

They come by default for new web properties. In order toreplace the existing setup, Google encourages tocreate a new Google Analytics 4 property (previously called an App + Web property). Enterprise marketers are currently using a beta version with an Analytics 360 version with SLAs and advanced integrations with tools like BigQuery.

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Google Introduces New Analytics with Machine Learning and Predictive Models - IBL News

Free Webinar | Machine Learning and Data Analytics in the Pandemic Era – MIT Sloan

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Global Predictive Analytics Market (2020 to 2025) – Advent of Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence is Driving Growth – PRNewswire

DUBLIN, Nov. 3, 2020 /PRNewswire/ -- The "Predictive Analytics Market by Solution (Financial Analytics, Risk Analytics, Marketing Analytics, Web & Social Media Analytics, Network Analytics), Service, Deployment Mode, Organization Size, Vertical, and Region - Global Forecast to 2025" report has been added to ResearchAndMarkets.com's offering.

The global predictive analytics market size to grow from USD 7.2 billion in 2020 to USD 21.5 billion by 2025, at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 24.5% during the forecast period.

Various factors such as the growing focus on digital transformation, rise adoption of big data and AI and ML technologies, increasing focus on remote monitoring in support of the COVID-19 pandemic, and the need to forecast possible future financial scenarios to answer specific business questions are expected to drive the adoption of the predictive analytics market. The objective of the report is to define, describe, and forecast the predictive analytics market size based on component, organization size, deployment mode, vertical, and region.

The spread of COVID-19 has generated a massive disruption in daily activities. It has forced people to follow social distancing policies, temporarily suspend many business activities, and limit travel. Under such circumstances, the healthcare vertical has emerged as the biggest user of big data and predictive analytics to understand the virus and its spread. Predictive modeling has provided organizations with transportation fleets to create future business insights with a significant degree of accuracy. Predictive analytics companies are witnessing a slowdown in their growth, owing to the lockdowns imposed worldwide.

Healthcare and life sciences and BFSI verticals have been least impacted by the COVID-19 and are continuing the adoption of predictive analytics solutions. The healthcare vertical has sought to use big data and predictive analytics tools to better understand the virus and its spread. Predictive analytics has helped researchers around the world to build predictive analytics models that can track COVID-19 surges in different countries. The competition among key predictive analytics companies is expected to intensify as most upcoming analytics projects have been put on hold owing to the pandemic. Businesses have already started making efforts to return to the normal and are facing multiple challenges at customer and operational levels. New practices, such as work-from-home and social distancing, have led to the requirement of remote health monitoring of patients and assets and smart payment technologies, as well as the development of digital infrastructures for large-scale technology deployments.

The services segment to grow at a higher CAGR during the forecast period

The predictive analytics market is segmented on the basis of components, such as solutions and services. The services segment is expected to grow at a rapid pace during the forecast period. Factors such as pre-sales and post-sales support and the lack of technical skills and capabilities needed for assistance during the up-gradation of software drive the adoption of predictive analytics services.

The risk analytics solution segment to have the largest market size during the forecast period

The Predictive analytics market by solution has been segmented into financial analytics, risk analytics, marketing analytics, sales analytics, customer analytics, web and social media analytics, supply chain analytics, network analytics, and others (HR analytics and legal analytics). The risk analytics solution in predictive analytics facilitates enterprises to establish a baseline for measuring risks across verticals, such as BFSI, healthcare, and life sciences, and retail and eCommerce, by incorporating all the facets of risks together into a single unified system that provides key decision-makers with adequate clarity in identifying, viewing, understanding, and managing risks leading to its adoption in the predictive analytics market.

The BFSI segment to grow to have the largest market size during the forecast period

The predictive analytics market by vertical has been segmented into BFSI, retail and eCommerce, manufacturing, government and defense, healthcare and life sciences, energy and utilities, transportation and logistics, telecommunications and IT, and others(media and entertainment, travel and hospitality, and education). BFSI vertical is expected to register the largest market size during the forecast period due to significant financial data's sensitivity and need to coordinate with numerous other sectors, including stock exchanges, tax authorities, central banks, securities controlling authorities, and revenue departments. The emergence of predictive analytics in finance has necessitated the development of predictive analytics solutions capable of handling it in real-time.

Among regions, Asia Pacific (APAC) to grow at the highest CAGR during the forecast period

APAC is expected to grow at the highest CAGR during the forecast period. The increasing investments by the tech companies in major APAC countries, such as China, and Japan, increasing the increasing adoption of AI and deep learning algorithms are expected to drive the growth of the market in APAC. Key Topics Covered:

1 Introduction

2 Research Methodology

3 Executive Summary

4 Premium Insights4.1 Attractive Opportunities in Predictive Analytics Market4.2 Market, by Solution4.3 Market, by Region4.4 Market, by Solution and Vertical

5 Market Overview and Industry Trends5.1 Introduction5.2 Market Dynamics5.2.1 Drivers5.2.1.1 Rising Adoption of Big Data and Other Related Technologies5.2.1.2 Advent of Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence5.2.1.3 Cost Benefits of Cloud-Based Predictive Analytics Solutions5.2.2 Restraints5.2.2.1 Changing Regional Data Regulations Leading to the Time-Consuming Restructuring of Predictive Models5.2.3 Opportunities5.2.3.1 Rising Internet Proliferation and Growing Usage of Connected and Integrated Technologies5.2.3.2 Increasing Demand for Real-Time Streaming Analytics Solutions to Track and Monitor the COVID-19 Spread5.2.4 Challenges5.2.4.1 Growing Demand for Diversified Data Models Based on Business Needs5.2.4.2 Ownership and Privacy of Collected Data5.2.5 Cumulative Growth Analysis5.3 Impact of COVID-19 on the Predictive Analytics Market5.4 Predictive Analytics: Evolution5.5 Predictive Analytics: Ecosystem5.6 Case Study Analysis5.7 Patent Analysis5.8 Value Chain Analysis5.9 Technology Analysis5.10 Pricing Analysis5.11 Regulatory Implications

6 Predictive Analytics Market, by Component6.1 Introduction6.1.1 Components: Market Drivers6.1.2 Components: COVID-19 Impact6.2 Solutions6.2.1 Financial Analytics6.2.1.1 Fraud Detection6.2.1.2 Profitability Management6.2.1.3 Governance, Risk, and Compliance Management6.2.1.4 Others6.2.2 Risk Analytics6.2.2.1 Cyber Risk Management6.2.2.2 Operational Risk Management6.2.2.3 Credit and Market Risk Management6.2.2.4 Others6.2.3 Marketing Analytics6.2.3.1 Predictive Modelling6.2.3.2 Yield Management6.2.3.3 Product and Service Development Strategies6.2.3.4 Others6.2.4 Sales Analytics6.2.4.1 Sales Life Cycle Management6.2.4.2 Sales Rep Efficiency Management6.2.4.3 Others6.2.5 Customer Analytics6.2.5.1 Customer Segmentation and Clustering6.2.5.2 Customer Behavior Analysis6.2.5.3 Monitoring Customer Loyalty and Satisfaction6.2.5.4 Others6.2.6 Web and Social Media Analytics6.2.6.1 Social Media Management6.2.6.2 Search Engine Optimization6.2.6.3 Performance Monitoring6.2.6.4 Competitor Benchmarking6.2.7 Supply Chain Analytics6.2.7.1 Distribution and Logistics Optimization6.2.7.2 Inventory Management6.2.7.3 Manufacturing Analysis6.2.7.4 Others6.2.8 Network Analytics6.2.8.1 Intelligent Network Optimization6.2.8.2 Traffic Management6.2.8.3 Others6.2.9 Others6.3 Services6.3.1 Managed Services6.3.2 Professional Services6.3.2.1 Consulting6.3.2.2 Deployment and Integration

7 Predictive Analytics Market, by Deployment Mode7.1 Introduction7.1.1 Deployment Mode: Market Drivers7.1.2 Deployment Mode: COVID-19 Impact7.2 Cloud7.3 On-Premises

8 Predictive Analytics Market, by Organization Size8.1 Introduction8.1.1 Organization Size: Market Drivers8.1.2 Organization Size: COVID-19 Impact8.2 Large Enterprises8.3 Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises

9 Predictive Analytics Market, by Vertical9.1 Introduction9.1.1 Vertical: Market Drivers9.1.2 Vertical: COVID-19 Impact9.2 Predictive Analytics: Enterprise Use Cases9.3 Banking, Financial Services, and Insurance9.4 Telecommunications and It9.5 Retail and Ecommerce9.6 Healthcare and Life Sciences9.7 Manufacturing9.8 Government and Defense9.9 Energy and Utilities9.10 Transportation and Logistics9.11 Others

10 Predictive Analytics Market, by Region10.1 Introduction10.2 North America10.3 Europe10.4 Asia-Pacific10.5 Middle East and Africa10.6 Latin America

11 Competitive Landscape11.1 Overview11.2 Market Evaluation Framework11.3 Market Share, 202011.4 Historic Revenue Analysis of Key Market Players11.5 Key Market Developments11.5.1 New Product Launches and Product Enhancements11.5.2 Business Expansions11.5.3 Mergers and Acquisitions11.5.4 Partnerships, Agreements, Contracts, and Collaborations

12 Company Evaluation Matrix and Company Profiles12.1 Overview12.2 Company Evaluation Matrix Definitions and Methodology12.2.1 Market Ranking Analysis, by Company12.3 Company Evaluation Matrix, 202012.3.1 Star12.3.2 Emerging Leaders12.3.3 Pervasive12.3.4 Participant12.4 Company Profiles12.4.1 Introduction12.4.2 Microsoft12.4.3 IBM12.4.4 Oracle12.4.5 SAP12.4.6 SAS Institute12.4.7 Google12.4.8 Salesforce12.4.9 Aws12.4.10 Hpe12.4.11 Teradata12.4.12 Alteryx12.4.13 Fair Issac Corporation12.4.14 Altair12.4.15 Domo12.4.16 Cloudera12.4.17 Board International12.4.18 Tibco Software12.4.19 Hitachi Vantara12.4.20 Happiest Minds12.4.21 Dataiku12.4.22 Rapidminer12.4.23 Qlik12.4.24 IBI12.4.25 Infor12.5 Startup/Sme Evaluation Matrix, 202012.5.1 Progressive Companies12.5.2 Responsive Companies12.5.3 Dynamic Companies12.5.4 Starting Blocks12.6 Startup/Sme Profiles

13 Appendix

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Global Predictive Analytics Market (2020 to 2025) - Advent of Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence is Driving Growth - PRNewswire

Microsoft Introduces Lobe: A Free Machine Learning Application That Allows You To Create AI Models Without Coding – MarkTechPost

Microsoft has releasedLobe, a free desktop application that lets Windows and Mac users create customized AI models without writing any code. Several customers are already using the app for tracking tourist activity around coral reefs, the company said.

Lobeis available on Windows and Mac as a desktop app. Presently it only supports image classification by categorizing the image to a single label overall. Microsoft says that there will be new releases supporting other neural networks in the near future.

To create an AI in Lobe, a user first needs to import a collection of images. These images are used as a dataset to train the application. Lobe analyzes the input images and sifts through a built-in library of neural network architectures to find the most suitable model for processing the dataset. Then it trains the model on the provided data, creating an AI model optimized to scan images for the users specific object or action.

AutoML is a technology that can automate parts and most of the machine learning creation workflow, reducing the advancement costs. Microsoft has made AutoML features available to enterprises in its Azure public cloud. The existing AI tools in Azure target only advanced projects. Lobe being free, easy to access, and convenient to use can now support even simple use cases that were not adequately addressed by the existing AI tools.

The Nature Conservancy is a nonprofit environmental organization that used Lobe to create an AI. This model analyzes the pictures taken by tourists in the Caribbean to identify where and when visitors interact with coral reefs. A Seattle auto marketing firm,Sincro LLC,has developed an AI model that scans vehicle images in online ads to filter out pictures that are less appealing to the customers.

GitHub: https://github.com/lobe

Website: https://lobe.ai/

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Microsoft Introduces Lobe: A Free Machine Learning Application That Allows You To Create AI Models Without Coding - MarkTechPost

Machine learning and predictive analytics work better together – TechTarget

Like many AI technologies, the difference between machine learning and predictive analytics lies in applications and use cases. Machine learning's ability to learn from previous data sets and stay nimble lends itself to diverse applications like neural networks or image detection, while predictive analytics' narrow focus is on forecasting specific target variables.

Instead of implementing one type of AI or choosing between the two strategies, companies that want to get the most out of their data should combine the processing power of predictive analytics and machine learning.

Artificial intelligence is the replication of human intelligence by machines. This includes numerous technologies such as robotic process automation (RPA), natural language processing (NLP) and machine learning. These diverse technologies each replicate human abilities but often operate differently in order to accomplish their specific tasks.

Machine learning is a form of AI that allows software applications to become progressively more accurate at prediction without being expressly programmed to do so. The algorithms applied to machine learning programs and software are created to be versatile and allow for developers to make changes via hyperparameter tuning. The machine 'learns' by processing large amounts of data and detecting patterns within this set. Machine learning is the foundational basis for advanced technologies like deep learning, neural networks and autonomous vehicle operation.

Machine learning can increase the speed at which data is processed and analyzed and is a clear candidate through which AI and predictive analytics can coalesce. Using machine learning, algorithms can train on even larger data sets and perform deeper analysis on multiple variables with minor changes in deployment.

Machine learning and AI have become enterprise staples, and the debate over value is obsolete in the eyes of Gartner analyst Whit Andrews. In years prior, operationalizing machine learning required a difficult transition for organizations, but the technology has now successful implementation in numerous industries due to the popularity of open source and private software machine learning development.

"Machine learning is easier to use now by far than it was five years ago," Andrews said. "And it's also likely to be more familiar to the organization's business leaders."

As a form of advanced analytics, predictive analytics uses new and historical data in order to predict and forecast behaviors and trends.

Software applications of predictive analytics use variables that can be analyzed to predict the future likely behavior, whether for individual consumers, machinery or sales trends. This form of analytics typically requires expertise in statistical methods and is therefore commonly the domain of data scientists, data analysts and statisticians -- but also requires major oversight in order to function.

For Gartner analyst Andrew White, the crucial piece of deploying predictive analytics is strong business leadership. In order to see successful implementation, enterprises need to be using predictive analytics and data to constantly try and improve business processes. The decisions and outcomes need to be based on the data analytics, which requires a hands-on data science team.

Because of the smaller training samples used to create a specific model that does not have much capacity for learning, White stressed the importance of quality training data. Predictive models and the data they are using need to be equally fine-tuned; confusing the analytics or the data as the main player is a mistake in White's eyes.

"The reality is [data and analytical models] are equal," White said. "You need to have ownership or leadership around prioritizing and governing data as much as you have the same for analytics, because analytics is just the last mile."

Data-rich enterprises have established successful applications for both machine learning and predictive analytics.

Retailers are one of the most predominant enterprises using predictive analytics tools in order to spot website user trends and hyperpersonalize ads and target emails. Massive amounts of data collected from points of sale, retail apps, social media, in-store sensors and voluntary email lists provide insights on sales forecasting, customer experience management, inventory and supply chain.

Another popular application of predictive analytics is predictive maintenance. Manufacturers use predictive analytics to monitor their equipment and machinery and predict when they need to replace or repair valuable pieces.

Predictive analytics is also popularly deployed in risk management, fraud and security, and healthcare applications across enterprises.

Machine learning, on the other hand, has a wider variety of applications, from customer relationship management to self-driving cars. These algorithms are in human resource information systems to identify candidates, within software sold by business intelligence and analytics vendors, as well as in customer relationship management systems.

In businesses, the most popular machine learning applications include chatbots, recommendation engines, market research and image recognition.

Enterprise trend applications are where predictive analytics and AI can converge. Maintaining best data practices as well as focusing on combining the powers of machine learning and predictive analytics is the only way for organizations to keep themselves at the cutting edge of predictive forecasting.

Machine learning algorithms can produce more accurate predictions, create cleaner data and empower predictive analytics to work faster and provide more insight with less oversight. Having a strong predictive analysis model and clean data fuels the machine learning application. While a combination does not necessarily provide more applications, it does mean that the application can be trusted more. Splitting hairs between the two shows that these terms are actually hierarchical and that when combined, they complete one another to strengthen the enterprise.

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Machine learning and predictive analytics work better together - TechTarget

Amwell CMO: Google partnership will focus on AI, machine learning to expand into new markets – FierceHealthcare

Amwell is looking to evolve virtual care beyond just imitating in-person care.

To do that, the telehealth companyexpects to use its latestpartnership with Google Cloud toenable it to tap into artificial intelligence and machine learning technologies to create a better healthcare experience, according to Peter Antall, M.D., Amwell's chief medical officer.

"We have a shared vision to advance universal access to care thats cost-effective. We have a shared vision to expand beyond our borders to look at other markets. Ultimately, its a strategic technology collaboration that were most interested in," Antall said of the company's partnership with the tech giant during a STATvirtual event Tuesday.

"What we bring to the table is that we can help provide applications for those technologiesthat will have meaningful effects on consumers and providers," he said.

The use of AI and machine learning can improve bot-based interactions or decision support for providers, he said. The two companies also want to explore the use of natural language processing and automated translation to provide more "value to clients and consumers," he said.

Joining a rush of healthcare technology IPOs in 2020, Amwell went public in August, raising$742 million. Google Cloud and Amwell also announced amultiyear strategic partnership aimed at expanding access to virtual care, accompanied by a$100 million investmentfrom Google.

During an HLTH virtual event earlier this month, Google Cloud director of healthcare solutions Aashima Gupta said cloud and artificial intelligence will "revolutionize telemedicine as we know it."

RELATED:Amwell files to go public with $100M boost from Google

"There's a collective realization in the industry that the future will not look like the past," said Gupta during the HTLH panel.

During the STAT event, Antall said Amwellis putting a big focus onvirtual primary care, which has become an area of interest for health plans and employers.

"It seems to be the next big frontier. Weve been working on it for three years, and were very excited. So much of healthcare is ongoing chronic conditions and so much of the healthcare spend is taking care ofchronic conditionsandtaking care of those conditions in the right care setting and not in the emergency department," he said.

The companyworks with 55 health plans, which support over 36,000 employers and collectively represent more than 80million covered lives, as well as 150 of the nations largest health systems. To date, Amwell says it has powered over 5.6million telehealth visits for its clients, including more than 2.9million in the six months ended June 30, 2020.

Amwell is interested in interacting with patients beyond telehealth visits through what Antall called "nudges" and synchronous communication to encouragecompliance with healthy behaviors, he said.

RELATED:Amwell CEOs on the telehealth boom and why it will 'democratize' healthcare

It's an area where Livongo, recently acquired by Amwell competitor Teladoc,has become the category leader by using digital health tools to help with chronic condition management.

"Were moving into similar areas, but doing it in a slightly different matter interms of how we address ongoing continuity of care and how we address certain disease states and overall wellness," Antallsaid, in reference to Livongo's capabilities.

The telehealth company also wants to expand into home healthcare through the integration of telehealth and remote care devices.

Virtual care companies have been actively pursuing deals to build out their service and product lines as the use of telehealth soars. To this end, Amwell recently deepened its relationship with remote device company Tyto Care. Through the partnership, the TytoHome handheld examination device that allows patients to exam their heart, lungs, skin, ears, abdomen, and throat at home, is nowpaired withAmwells telehealth platform.

Looking forward, there is the potential for patients to getlab testing, diagnostic testing, and virtual visits with physicians all at home, Antall said.

"I think were going to see a real revolution in terms ofhow much more we can do in the home going forward," he said.

RELATED:Amwell's stock jumps on speculation of potential UnitedHealth deal: media report

Amwell also is exploring the use of televisions in the home to interact with patients, he said.

"We've done work with some partners and we're working toward a future where, if it's easier for you to click your remote and initiate a telehealth visit that way, thats one option. In some populations, particularly the elderly, a TV could serve as a remote patient device where a doctor or nurse could proactively 'ring the doorbell' on the TV and askto check on the patient," Antall said.

"Its video technology that'salready there in most homes, you just need a camera to go with it and a little bit of software.Its one part of our strategy to be available for the whole spectrum of care and be able to interact in a variety of ways," he said.

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Amwell CMO: Google partnership will focus on AI, machine learning to expand into new markets - FierceHealthcare

93% of security operations centers employing AI and machine learning tools to detect advanced threats – Security Magazine

93% of security operations center employing AI and machine learning tools to detect advanced threats | 2020-10-30 | Security Magazine This website requires certain cookies to work and uses other cookies to help you have the best experience. By visiting this website, certain cookies have already been set, which you may delete and block. By closing this message or continuing to use our site, you agree to the use of cookies. Visit our updated privacy and cookie policy to learn more. This Website Uses CookiesBy closing this message or continuing to use our site, you agree to our cookie policy. Learn MoreThis website requires certain cookies to work and uses other cookies to help you have the best experience. By visiting this website, certain cookies have already been set, which you may delete and block. By closing this message or continuing to use our site, you agree to the use of cookies. Visit our updated privacy and cookie policy to learn more.

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93% of security operations centers employing AI and machine learning tools to detect advanced threats - Security Magazine

Microsoft/MITRE group declares war on machine learning vulnerabilities with Adversarial ML Threat Matrix – Diginomica

(Pixabay)

The extraordinary advances in machine learning that drive the increasing accuracy and reliability of artificial intelligence systems have been matched by a corresponding growth in malicious attacks by bad actors seeking to exploit a new breed of vulnerabilities designed to distort the results.

Microsoft reports it has seen a notable increase in attacks on commercial ML systems over the past four years. Other reports have also brought attention to this problem.Gartner's Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2020, published in October 2019, predicts that:

Through 2022, 30% of all AI cyberattacks will leverage training-data poisoning, AI model theft, or adversarial samples to attack AI-powered systems.

Training data poisoning happens when an adversary is able to introduce bad data into your model's training pool, and hence get it to learn things that are wrong. One approach is to target your ML's availability; the other targets its integrity (commonly known as "backdoor" attacks). Availability attacks aim to inject so much bad data into your system that whatever boundaries your model learns are basically worthless. Integrity attacks are more insidious because the developer isn't aware of them so attackers can sneak in and get the system to do what they want.

Model theft techniques are used to recover models or information about data used during training which is a major concern because AI models represent valuable intellectual property trained on potentially sensitive data including financial trades, medical records, or user transactions.The aim of adversaries is to recreate AI models by utilizing the public API and refining their own model using it as a guide.

Adversarial examples are inputs to machine learning models that attackers haveintentionally designed to cause the model to make a mistake.Basically, they are like optical illusions for machines.

All of these methods are dangerous and growing in both volume and sophistication. As Ann Johnson Corporate Vice President, SCI Business Development at Microsoft wrote in ablog post:

Despite the compelling reasons to secure ML systems, Microsoft's survey spanning 28 businesses found that most industry practitioners have yet to come to terms with adversarial machine learning. Twenty-five out of the 28 businesses indicated that they don't have the right tools in place to secure their ML systems. What's more, they are explicitly looking for guidance. We found that preparation is not just limited to smaller organizations. We spoke to Fortune 500 companies, governments, non-profits, and small and mid-sized organizations.

Responding to the growing threat, last week, Microsoft, the nonprofit MITRE Corporation, and 11 organizations including IBM, Nvidia, Airbus, and Bosch released theAdversarial ML Threat Matrix, an industry-focused open framework designed to help security analysts to detect, respond to, and remediate threats against machine learning systems. Microsoft says it worked with MITRE to build a schema that organizes the approaches employed by malicious actors in subverting machine learning models, bolstering monitoring strategies around organizations' mission-critical systems.Said Johnson:

Microsoft worked with MITRE to create the Adversarial ML Threat Matrix, because we believe the first step in empowering security teams to defend against attacks on ML systems, is to have a framework that systematically organizes the techniques employed by malicious adversaries in subverting ML systems. We hope that the security community can use the tabulated tactics and techniques to bolster their monitoring strategies around their organization's mission critical ML systems.

The Adversarial ML Threat, modeled after the MITRE ATT&CK Framework, aims to address the problem with a curated set of vulnerabilities and adversary behaviors that Microsoft and MITRE vetted to be effective against production systems. With input from researchers at the University of Toronto, Cardiff University, and the Software Engineering Institute at Carnegie Mellon University, Microsoft and MITRE created a list of tactics that correspond to broad categories of adversary action.

Techniques in the schema fall within one tactic and are illustrated by a series of case studies covering how well-known attacks such as the Microsoft Tay poisoning, the Proofpoint evasion attack, and other attacks could be analyzed using the Threat Matrix. Noted Charles Clancy, MITRE's chief futurist, senior vice president, and general manager of MITRE Labs:

Unlike traditional cybersecurity vulnerabilities that are tied to specific software and hardware systems, adversarial ML vulnerabilities are enabled by inherent limitations underlying ML algorithms. Data can be weaponized in new ways which requires an extension of how we model cyber adversary behavior, to reflect emerging threat vectors and the rapidly evolving adversarial machine learning attack lifecycle.

Mikel Rodriguez, a machine learning researcher at MITRE who also oversees MITRE's Decision Science research programs, said that AI is now at the same stage now where the internet was in the late 1980s when people were focused on getting the technology to work and not thinking that much about longer term implications for security and privacy. That, he says, was a mistake that we can learn from.

The Adversarial ML Threat Matrix will allow security analysts to work with threat models that are grounded in real-world incidents that emulate adversary behavior with machine learning and to develop a common language that allows for better communications and collaboration.

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Microsoft/MITRE group declares war on machine learning vulnerabilities with Adversarial ML Threat Matrix - Diginomica