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Ethereum, Bitcoin Slide Further Through The Weekend – Decrypt

The sugar high of the Ethereum merge on Thursday led into a dour weekend of red for both the newly miner-free ETH and top crypto Bitcoin.

Ethereum is down from its pre-merge perch of $1,580 to $1,335 as of this writing, following a steep drop of 6% within hours of the merge and down 15% overall late Sunday.

Bitcoin, meanwhile, fell to $19,414 on Friday, and saw a brief rally take it above $20,000 on Saturday. The boost was shortlived, however, with the largest cryptocurrency by marketcap returning to its Friday lows as the weekend drew to a close.

Ethereum was down 22% for the week, and Bitcoin was down 10%. The declines echo a similarly down previous week in which overall economic metricsranging from the Consumer Price Index to traditional market indicators Nasdaq and the S&P 500also fell.

But Ethereum's sinking fortunes following the merge belies some analysts' assertions immediately following the upgrade that the impact of the merge on the value of ETH had already been priced into the market.

Prior to the conversion, some had even predicted a "merge surge," But the momentary jump in the price of ETH quickly evaporated. Prominent crypto Twitter commentator Doctor Profit announced today that he had sold all of his Ethereum.

The weekend also brought reports of the first "replay attack" targeting the Ethereum and the recently hardforked EthereumPoW blockchains. As with the invalid blockchain setting that briefly delayed the launch of ETHW, this exploit was caused by the failure to verify the chainlink ID to determine on which blockchain a transaction was taking place.

As for Bitcoin, its total market cap was headed back toward its six-week low of $18,661 on Sept. 6, territory it hasn't touched since the end of June. Bitcoin's total market cap was back below $375 billion on Sunday, a threshold last breached on Sept. 6 and not since July 13 before that.

For his part, Doctor Profitwhose main claim to fame is predicting $18,000 as the "ultimate bottom" for Bitcoin as early as April 2021said that "the bottom is being formed" with a likely prince range of $18,000 to $25,000 through next March.

But a lot hinges on the next move announced by the U.S. Federal Reserve, he warns. While Doctor Profit feels Bitcoin's price can withstand a 0.75 basis point increase in interest rates, a full 1 basis point will mean "we see blood."

"Once the FED decides the great reset, all of us will be fkd," he tweeted.

The last Federal Reserve meeting in July yielded a 0.75% increase. The next meeting, set for Sept. 21, will likely bring another increasethe main question being how big an increase. Some are expecting Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell to announce a full percent hike.

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TA: Bitcoin Price Makes U-Turn, Why BTC Could Tumble to $18K – NewsBTC

Bitcoin started a fresh decline below the $20,000 support zone against the US Dollar. BTC traded below $19,000 and remains at a risk of a move to $18,000.

Bitcoin price failed to surpass the $20,500 resistance level. BTC started a fresh decline and traded below the $20,000 and $19,500 support levels.

Besides, there was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $19,850 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The pair accelerated lower below the $19,200 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average. It even declined below $19,000 and traded as low as $18,706.

Bitcoin price is now consolidating losses below $19,200 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. On the upside, an immediate resistance is near the $19,050 level. It is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $20,197 swing high to $18,706 low.

The next major resistance sits near the $19,350 level. It coincides with the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $20,197 swing high to $18,706 low.

The main barrier is now forming near the $20,000 zone and the 100 hourly simple moving average. A close above the $20,000 resistance might start a fresh increase. In the stated case, the price may perhaps rise towards $21,200.

If bitcoin fails to start a recovery wave above the $19,050 resistance zone, it could continue to move down. An immediate support on the downside is near the $18,700 zone.

The next major support is near the $18,550 level. A clear move below the $18,700 and $18,550 levels might open the doors for a move towards the $18,000 level.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels $18,700, followed by $18,550.

Major Resistance Levels $19,050, $19,300 and $19,500.

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Anonymous Bitcoin Whale Just Moved $64M Worth Of BTC Off Coinbase – Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Benzinga

What happened: A Bitcoin BTC/USD whale just sent $64,972,841 worth of Bitcoin off Coinbase.

The BTC address associated with this transaction has been identified as: 1HxNTUuJiuMnegCbV33zLA6EX9AHnqK3mr.

Why it matters: Bitcoin "Whales" (investors who own $10 million or more in BTC) typically send cryptocurrency from exchanges when planning to hold their investments for an extended period of time. Storing large amounts of money on an exchange presents an additional risk of theft, as exchange wallets are the most sought-after target for cryptocurrency hackers.

The best way to secure Bitcoin is through holding it on a hardware wallet, which can't be done through holding digital assets on an exchange. Hardware wallets store one's private keys in an offline device, making it impossible for funds to be hacked via the internet.

According to Glassnode, only 12.49% of the total supply remains liquid across all centralized exchanges.

The removal of BTC from an exchange reduces potential sell side pressure, allowing the price of Bitcoin to increase more easily.

See Also: Best Crypto Apps 2021 and Best Crypto Portfolio Trackers

Price Action: Bitcoin is down -3% in the past 24 hours.

See Also: How To Buy Bitcoin

Public Blockchain data sourced from Whale Alerts Twitter.

This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

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Anonymous Bitcoin Whale Just Moved $64M Worth Of BTC Off Coinbase - Bitcoin (BTC/USD) - Benzinga

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Bitcoin is Heading to $14,000: Heres Why According to DataDash – CryptoPotato

Nicholas Merten a veteran cryptocurrency analyst and founder of DataDash has called for Bitcoin to sink to $14,000 following its plunge below $19,000 over the weekend.

The analyst cited both technical and macroeconomic factors, including an indicator that he calls absolutely damning for Bitcoins price.

In a video published on Monday, Merten pointed out that Bitcoins 200-week moving average (WMA) has turned into a level of price resistance, rather than support. The primary cryptocurrency has almost always stayed above the average throughout its existence, with rare descents below it marking cyclical bottoms.

However, Bitcoin and crypto markets fell below this level during the crypto market crash in June, which saw Bitcoin plunge to $17,600. It has since ranged within the low twenty thousands narrowly below the 200 WMA of about $23,000.

Given its inability to break back above this level, the analyst claimed that Bitcoin is now in uncharted territory.

We have not seen these circumstances ever play out for Bitcoin, he said. Usually price breaks below the weekly moving averages, the rallies out of it, due to people buying into the capitulation.

The founder concluded that Bitcoins recent price action likely signals the end of a decade-long secular bull market that Bitcoin has experienced throughout its life, alongside stocks. As such, he suspects that it may no longer be a leading asset compared to other commodities and equities.

According to the analyst, the cryptocurrencys next bottom could be close to $14,000. This would mark an 80% correction from its all-time high, similar to previous bear markets.

This is the bare minimum we can ask for at this point, said Merten, adding that investors should consider the possibility of an even steeper decline to $10,000.

Commenting on Ethereums recent Merge, Merten labeled the upgrade a clear buy the hype, sell the news event. He expects the second-largest cryptocurrency to retest the $800 to $1000 level, and possibly lower.

Contributing to potential declines is the Federal Reserves upcoming interest rate decision, in which the market expects another 75 basis point hike. Hawkish monetary policy has coincided with major declines in stocks and crypto throughout 2022.

This policy has created a higher cost of shelter in the United States, including sudden rises in fixed-rate mortgages. Its also caused 2-year Treasury bond yields to invert those of their 10 and 30-year equivalents.

Despite the potential dangers to the economy this could pose, Merten doesnt expect the central bank to stop raising rates until it can confidently quell inflation.

This could very well be depressionary levels of recession, he said.

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Report: Bitcoin Mining Companies Spend Excessively On Administration Compared To Other Industries | – Bitcoinist

Data shows the public Bitcoin mining companies have been spending more excessively on administration, compared to other industries like gold mining.

According to a new blog post by Arcane Research, most BTC miners have only focused on minimizing direct production costs, and neglected indirect expenses like administration.

The administrative costs here refer to the expenses incurred by companies that arent directly related to revenue generation. Examples of such costs include stock compensation and executive salary.

The direct production costs, on the other hand, include mining farm staff salaries and electricity-related costs. These two expenses make up for the two main types of expenses suffered by Bitcoin miners.

Here is a chart that shows how the BTC mining production margin has been like since 2021:

As you can see in the above graph, public Bitcoin mining companies have maintained their margins around 60% to 80% during recent years, suggesting that they have been good at minimizing their direct production related costs.

The report notes that these margins should be able to cover depreciation and amortization of mining assets, administrative costs, and some profit on top.

Since the first of these is unavoidable, it would appear that the best way for miners to improve their profits is to reduce the administrative costs.

However, as the below chart shows, the public Bitcoin mining companies have been spending big on these expenses since 2021.

From the graph its apparent that public miners have been spending an average of 50% of their revenues on administrative costs alone.

Marathon spent even higher than the rest of the market, paying off administrative expenses with 97% of their total revenues in the last couple of years.

The companys generous executive stock compensation program is behind why the firm has been dropping nearly all of its revenues on administration.

Some companies, however, have been much better at minimizing these costs. Argo managed to keep these expenses at just 16% of its total revenues.

A look at a comparison with other industries like oil and gas industry, and gold mining reveals that Bitcoin mining firms have been spending much more excessively on these costs.

The report explains that the main reason behind this discrepancy lies in the fact that the Bitcoin mining industry is still relatively immature, and as such, their revenues are still quite low.

Companies have been hiring experienced executive teams keeping future growth goals in mind, and hence have needed to offer highly competitive packages.

However, the post points out that the mining industry is still massively overcompensating these executives. The source of this overspending is likely because of mining being a capital intensive industry, which makes it easier to finance costs like these, and the fact that shareholder oversight is weaker in these firms due to the immaturity of the sector.

At the time of writing, Bitcoins price floats around $19.4k, down 13% in the past week.

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These Hackers Are Trying to Break Bitcoin – U.Today

Alex Dovbnya

These hackers are attempting to break Bitcoins encryption, but they are extremely unlikely to succeed

According to a recent report by Bleeping Computer, TeamTNT, a notorious hacking group, has made a comeback, and it is now attempting to break Bitcoin.

The bad actors are reportedly hijacking servers and using their vast resources in order to run encryption solvers for the largest cryptocurrency.

Bitcoin uses the secp256k1 elliptic curve for its keys and signatures. When the cryptocurrency became popular, the choice of this specific realization puzzled cryptography experts because secp256k1 was almost completely unknown compared to other solutions.

TeamTNT hackers are now attempting to break elliptic curve encryption with stolen resources.

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However, their efforts should be taken with a grain of salt. It is highly likely that they are simply playing around with new attack pathways instead of actually trying to hack Bitcoin.

For now, Bitcoin is considered to be completely safe since there are no machines that could possibly break it.

With that being said, some experts believe that it will be possible to break Bitcoin in the future. In January, U.Today reported that Mark Webber, a quantum physicist at the University of Sussex, had predicted that a quantum computer with more than 300 million qubits would be able to pose a major threat to Bitcoin.

In such a case, it would be necessary to launch a quantum-resistant hard fork in order to save Bitcoin from supercomputers.

Bitcoin has never been hacked, which is one of its key selling points. However, Ripple CTO David Schwartz recently opined that it is highly likely that Bitcoin has some severe bugs that are yet to be discovered.

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Bitcoin hits new 2022 low, outlook remains negative on expectations of aggressive Fed – FXStreet

The Bitcoin hit new 2022 on Monday, extending a steep fall into fifth straight day.

Last week action closed with over 9% loss and generated additional negative signal on completion of weekly bearish engulfing pattern.

Expectations for another large Fed rate hike (0.75% is widely expected, though some economists bet for 1% raise) keeps bitcoin under increased pressure.

Todays dip to new annual low (18242) was so far short-lived as the price bounced, but upticks were limited, as overall structure is bearish and sentiment is negative.

Monthly chart shows that that larger bears off a record high at 68911 (Nov 2021) struggle at pivotal Fibo support at 19143 (76.4% of 3770/68911, Mar 2020/Nov 2021 rally), lacking a clear break lower for the fourth consecutive month.

Eventual clear break here and also through the base that was forming in past 3 months at 18500 zone, would signal a continuation of a larger downtrend and unmask targets at 13207 (Nov 2021 low); 12270 (100MMA) and open way for test of psychological 10000 support on stronger acceleration.

Technical studies are in bearish setup, with fresh negative signal seen on formation of 20/200WMA death-cross.

Falling daily Tenkan-sen (20508) should keep the upside protected, to maintain negative bias.

Res: 19790; 20025; 20280; 20508Sup: 19143; 18512; 18242; 17540

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Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao Says Bitcoin, Ethereum and Rest of Crypto Should Decouple From Stocks Here?… – The Daily Hodl

Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao says that the limited supply of cryptocurrencies, particularly large-cap assets like Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Binance Coin (BNB) could soon break from their correlation with the stock market.

In a new interview on CNBC, Zhao says that unlike fiat, the amount of digital assets that can go into circulation is limited.

I think like were one year in from the previous all-time high. The inflation, the interest rate, the adjustments, etc., those all affect the markets, but those are short-term.

I think longer-term, given how much money was printed over COVID the last couple years, and the amount of quantitative easing that was done, inflation would definitely kick in just by simple logic.

Cryptocurrencies, the big ones Bitcoin, BNB coin, Ethereum, theyre limited supply, so their supply didnt increase. The number of people getting into this industry and the utility, the number of people who need to use those coins have increased. The demand has increased, but today, unfortunately.

Zhao says that he expects a decoupling between crypto and stocks but a correlation in market conditions emerged because people invest in both equities and digital assets.

In theory, if we go by supply and demand, theres a very simple logic to derive from that, but today, many people trading cryptocurrencies are also in the stock market so when the stock market tanks, people want to hold cash and they also sell cryptocurrencies. So today, on the short time frame, its kind of coupled, but in theory, they should be decoupled.

Looking at Ethereums successful merge to proof-of-stake, Zhao says those in the space should manage their expectations since the anticipated changes will not take effect right away.

Many people have very high short-term expectations for the merge. They think the Ethereum gas fees will drop from $10 per transaction to $0.02 overnight. Thats most likely not gonna happen. Its a long process. The Ethereum upgrade takes multiple stages over multiple months or years.

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The Quantum Threat to Bitcoin Revisited with Richard Murray – What Bitcoin Did

Richard Murray is the co-founder and CEO of ORCA Computing. In this interview, we discuss the spooky and baffling effects of quantum mechanics, how ORCA is harnessing these effects to build quantum computers, and why success will be our generation's moonshot.

- - - -

The post-war period has seen an explosion in computing power. The principle underpinning modern digital computers was developed by Alan Turing in 1936 with his paper On Computable Numbers. The concept was that programs with instructions would be stored in memory, which would enable the computer to be programmable.

Since then, digital computers have continued to evolve at a pace. Gordon Moore (who was co-founder and CEO of Intel) predicted in 1975 (revising an earlier 1965 prediction) that the number of components in each integrated circuit would double every two years. This became known as Moores Law and has largely held true.

Innovative chip engineering has resulted in increases in computational power since the war that can be measured in the trillions. This is why our society has changed beyond recognition. And yet, there are limits to what we can do with computers, and limits to continued progress. A single Dutch company, ASML, provides the ultraviolet lithography machines needed to keep pace with Moore's Law. We are reaching the physical limits of increasing transistors to further computational power.

A potential solution to this barrier could be by using the spooky effects of quantum mechanics. Computers work using a binary system, where computation has 2 possible discrete answers: 0 or 1. The effect of quantum mechanics means a computation can dispense with the discrete answer: the solution can be 0 or 1, or any combination of 0 and 1 at the same time. Harnessing this will turn the rapid evolution of computer science into a rapid revolution.

When we can access unimaginable computational power what will be possible? In our specific sphere, what does this mean for Bitcoin mining and encryption more broadly? What does this mean for wider society? What are the ethical ramifications? All of these are questions that we should be grappling with, even though nobody can still explain what causes the spooky phenomena in quantum mechanics!

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Jay-Z And Jack Dorsey Give $1K In Bitcoin To Marcy Projects Residents – Vibe

Jay-Z and Jack Dorseys Bitcoin Academy program has wrapped, as the duo gave residents of Brooklyn, N.Y.s Marcy Projects $1,000 in bitcoin each. Business Insider reported that the course ended with the businessmen personally airdropping adult participants a parting gift that empowers them to make their own financial decisions.

In a statement from Gloria Carter, Jay-Zs mother and president and co-founder of The Shawn Carter Foundation, she thanked the people of Brooklyn for showing up and taking advantage of an opportunity to prepare the next generation.

Marcy residents showed up. The over 350 people who attended The Bitcoin Academy classes let us know that this education is important to them and that it matters, Ms. Carter said. What also matters is providing the necessary resources such as dinner, childcare, devices, internet access, dedicated staff, and instructors so that as many people as possible could participate in person and online.

I am so grateful to the community that came together to make this happen, and especially to all the class participants who are now more empowered to make their own financial decisions with greater knowledge. Knowledge is Power. Its now up to everyone who participated to empower and prepare the next generation.

Dorsey and Hov launched Bitcoin Academy in collaboration with Black Billionaires and Crypto Blockchain Plug earlier this summer, offering free courses on digital currency and how to get started. The duo made the 12-week program exclusively available to residents of Marcy Houses, the housing project the 4:44 rapper was raised in.

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