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Bitcoin Developers Have Technical Expertise That Users Dont – Bitcoin Magazine

This is an opinion editorial by Shinobi, a self-taught educator in the Bitcoin space and tech-oriented Bitcoin podcast host.

Bitcoin is ultimately defined by its users, by the people actually running nodes and enforcing the protocol rules to verify the payments they receive over the network. This is a fundamental and inescapable property of the Bitcoin network, so long as users choose to engage in this activity. This does not however mean that users deeply understand how the protocol works, the different effects that proposed changes would make or the most efficient way on a strictly technical level to handle a problem or improvement. Users absolutely can understand these things if they take the time to do their research and actually learn about the protocol on a strictly technical level, but to assume you as a user understand these things simply because of the reality that users are the ultimate arbiters of how the protocol works based on what software they choose to run is pure hubris.

Just because you drive a car does not mean you understand the deep and nuanced engineering trade-offs as well as the engineer who designed the car. Just because you use a cellphone every day does not mean you understand how to optimize the power consumption of all the different radio transmitters, WiFi, Bluetooth, cellular, etc. Using something does not mean understanding how it works by default. This is something that should be very obvious to a person who is being honest with themselves.

So why do so many users without much technical expertise or familiarity with how things work under the hood feel so confident in declaring how things work under the hood, while getting all the details and facts wrong? Now, I feel like in this climate, I have to add a million caveats. Im not talking to you, the software developers building applications, or who work in some normie tech field without the time to contribute to Bitcoin in some way, but who follow it regularly; Im not talking to, the user who has actually put in what is frankly an unhealthy amount of time (trust me, I know by experience) in understanding how things work under the hood. I am talking to you, the average user who just listens to some podcasts now and again, and dollar-cost averages (DCAs) and doesnt really deeply follow the development of technical things in this space. Im talking to the user who literally hasnt even withdrawn their funds from the exchange you bought them at yet. Im talking to you, the user who, when running your business, just had their Bitcoin friend set up a mobile wallet for you to accept Bitcoin the one out of 100 times a customer pays with it.

Why are you so confident in your opinions about the technicals of how Bitcoin works?

How familiar are you with the mempool policy of how transactions are relayed? Did you know that there is a big difference between policy rules and consensus rules? That there are transactions that are perfectly valid by consensus to be included in a block, but by mempool policy, will not be relayed by anyones node, so that miners have to be directly given that transaction and use custom code to include it in a block?

What about the fact that the Lightning Network actually doesnt use hash time-locked contracts (HTLCs) for very small value payments? Did you know that for a 10 satoshi payment for example, the Lightning Network doesnt actually use HTLCs or make the payment success or failure atomic with Bitcoin script? Those very tiny payments are actually rounded off into miner fees during the middle period when they are not yet finalized and confirmed with the channels. This means that if a hop along a payment path has one side stop cooperating, there is no way for that node to enforce getting paid or refunded on-chain, depending on which side you are discussing for that specific payment. It just goes to miner fees for a transaction, no actual HTLC output in the channel commitment transaction is created for routing that payment. Its just a best try system of honesty with no enforcement. Did you know that?

Heres a fun story. Bitcoin has two opcodes for time locking, check lock time verify (CLTV) and check sequence verify (CSV). CLTV prevents a coin being spent before a certain predefined Unix timestamp or a predefined block height. CSV prevents a coin being spent until after x amount of time has passed or y blocks have been found since the block or time that coin was created. When you spend a coin using CLTV or CSV in the script there is a field in the actual spending transaction called nLocktime that must be set to the value the CLTV or CSV script used. The original purpose of this field was to have presigned transactions that couldnt be mined until that time or block had passed. But Satoshi Nakamoto himself also had another use in mind for this: a very basic form of payment channel. The idea was that you could take the nLocktime field and increment it up by one each time to create a new net payment, and have miners settle the most recent one by count.

The problem is there was no consensus rule or way to enforce miners have to settle the most recent transaction. So Nakamoto himself planned to use this field in the transaction to require miners to settle only the most recent or highest numbered transaction. Except there wasnt actually any consensus rule to enforce that! Not only wasnt there a consensus rule, but it was impossible to construct one because miners are capable of including any valid transaction in a block. Once you sign a transaction, it is valid, it is always valid. So there was no logical way for Nakamotos original idea to ever work in the first place.

Think about that for a second. The creator of Bitcoin envisioned something being built on top of Bitcoin that was literally impossible to build in the way he imagined working. Think about that. The creator of the entire protocol built some function to do a certain thing, when doing that certain thing in that way is literally not possible.

Why are you so confident in your understanding of how Bitcoin works on a technical level? Why are you so confident that your ideas about what effects certain changes will have are actually correct? The creator of the protocol had such a terrible misunderstanding about how it worked that, to be frank, I am kind of embarrassed for him that he thought such a thing would be possible to build in that way.

So what is the point of all of this? That experts still exist. That users ultimately being in control of the protocol and having the ultimate choice of what software to run and what rules to enforce does not change the reality that there are people who understand how this protocol actually works better than you. Peoples understanding of things is directly correlated to how much time they have spent actually trying to learn about and understand the thing.

You cant just magically understand how Bitcoin actually works just because you buy it, or use it or buy things with it. That is not how knowledge works. So when Bitcoiners get involved in discussions of how things actually work on a technical level, when they start publicly talking about why they have made decisions about things in regards to running software and making rules, they should be aware of what they do and do not know because just owning bitcoin does not magically impart knowledge by itself.

The catch phrase of this space is Dont trust, verify. So how many of you are verifying things before you start repeating them?

This is a guest post by Shinobi. Opinions expressed are entirely their own and do not necessarily reflect those of BTC Inc or Bitcoin Magazine.

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Rich Dad Poor Dad’s Robert Kiyosaki Warns of Stocks and Bonds Crashing Depression, Civil Unrest Coming Bitcoin News – Bitcoin News

The famous author of the best-selling book Rich Dad Poor Dad, Robert Kiyosaki, has predicted that a depression and civil unrest are coming. He also warned of the stock and bond markets crashing.

The author of Rich Dad Poor Dad, Robert Kiyosaki, has issued more warnings about the U.S. economy. Rich Dad Poor Dad is a 1997 book co-authored by Kiyosaki and Sharon Lechter. It has been on the New York Times Best Seller List for over six years. More than 32 million copies of the book have been sold in over 51 languages across more than 109 countries.

Kiyosaki claims that liberals and environmentalists are to blame for a reduction in oil production, which he said caused inflation, while stimulus checks paid workers not to work. Besides predicting that the stock and bond markets are crashing, he warned that a depression and civil unrest are coming.

The famous author also noted that inflation is killing retailers, even giant corporations like Target and Walmart, noting that shoppers are out of money. Retailers are starting to reveal the impact of eroding consumer purchasing power, Paul Christopher, head of global market strategy at Wells Fargo Investment Institute, described earlier this month.

The Rich Dad Poor Dad author has been warning about an imminent depression for quite some time. In April, he cautioned that a depression and hyperinflation are here, advising investors to buy gold, silver, and bitcoin. On Friday, he tweeted:

Bad news. Depression coming.

In April, he explained that bonds are the riskiest investment in a global meltdown. Tragically rookie investors follow rookie advice of 60 (stocks) 40 (bonds) mix, he opined.

Earlier this month, he said he remained bullish on bitcoin and is planning to buy more BTC when the bottom is in. He expects it could be as low as $9K. The famous author wrote, Bitcoin is the future of money.

Kiyosaki also predicted earlier this year that the U.S. dollar is about to implode, stressing that the end of the dollar is coming. In March, he said we are in the biggest bubble in world history.

What do you think about Robert Kiyosakis warnings? Let us know in the comments section below.

A student of Austrian Economics, Kevin found Bitcoin in 2011 and has been an evangelist ever since. His interests lie in Bitcoin security, open-source systems, network effects and the intersection between economics and cryptography.

Image Credits: Shutterstock, Pixabay, Wiki Commons

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Glassnode: Bitcoin Market Behavior Has Now Returned To Strong Accumulation | Bitcoinist.com – Bitcoinist

Latest data from Glassnode shows investors in the Bitcoin market have shown strong accumulation behavior recently.

As per the latest weekly report from Glassnode, the BTC accumulation trend score has shown a value of more than 0.9 in the past couple of weeks.

The accumulation trend score is an indicator tells us about the big picture aggregate accumulation or distribution trend by Bitcoin investor wallets.

The metric filters out both miners and exchanges, and only keeps track of when whales (and smaller entities in large numbers) add to their wallets.

When the accumulation trend score is close to zero, it means investors are distributing at the moment, or there isnt simply enough accumulation happening in the market right now.

On the other hand, values of the indicator towards one signify that holders have shown strong accumulation lately.

Scores between the two ends show that there is some accumulation going on, but investors hold a low conviction right now.

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin accumulation trend score over the past few years:

As you can see in the above graph, the Bitcoin accumulation trend score had been in the intermittent accumulation zone during the period from January to April.

However, in the last almost two weeks, the indicators value has shot up and stayed above a score of 0.9, suggesting that investors have been strongly accumulating recently.

Related Reading |Bitcoin Supply In Profit Drops To 55%, Is The Bottom Here Yet?

Historical occurrences of similar values of the metric have been observed during both bull runs and bearish periods.

In the former instances, as the price rises to a top, the market observes a large influx of relatively new buyers that make up for any distribution from smart money holders.

Related Reading |JP Morgan Embraces Blockchain Technology Yet Jamie Damon Stays Critical Of Bitcoin

The latter instances take place after the price has seen a sharp correction, where investors now shift from being uncertain to accumulating as the BTC value per dollar goes up.

There has been one exception to this, however. Back in December 2021, strong accumulation took place during the downtrend, but the price didnt stop falling and soon investors went back to low conviction.

At the time of writing, Bitcoins price floats around $31.6k, up 8% in the past seven days. Over the last month, the crypto has lost 18% in value.

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Bank of America CEO: We Have Hundreds of Blockchain Patents But Regulation Won’t Allow Us to Engage in Crypto Regulation Bitcoin News – Bitcoin News

The CEO of Bank of America says that his bank has hundreds of blockchain patents but regulations will not allow it to engage in crypto. The reality is that we cant do it by regulation, he said.

Bank of America (BOA) CEO Brian Moynihan talked about cryptocurrency in an interview with Yahoo Finance Live at the recent World Economic Forum event in Davos, published Saturday.

He was asked about his banks plans for cryptocurrencies. The reality is that we run a payments business across our platform. Its trillions of dollars a day, and almost all of it is digital, the executive replied, adding:

If you think about the blockchain, we have hundreds of patents on blockchain as a process and as a tool and as a technology.

However, with regard to cryptocurrency, he revealed: Were not engaging in accounts for people in cryptocurrency were not allowed to, frankly.

The Bank of America chief explained: Because were regulated and they [regulators] have said you cant. Theyve said, you have to ask us before you do it and, by the way, dont ask was basically the tone. He emphasized:

The reality is that we cant do it by regulation. Were not really allowed to engage.

However, Moynihan clarified: On the trading side, we could do it. Our research team writes on it.

Bank of Americas research team has been actively publishing reports on cryptocurrencies. The bank formally established a cryptocurrency research team in July last year. In October, the research team debuted a lengthy report stating that digital assets are too large to ignore. The bank also sees a massive opportunity in the metaverse for the entire crypto ecosystem.

The Bank of America CEO was also asked if he feels like he is missing out on the next big thing. No, Moynihan simply replied.

What do you think about the comments by Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan? Let us know in the comments section below.

A student of Austrian Economics, Kevin found Bitcoin in 2011 and has been an evangelist ever since. His interests lie in Bitcoin security, open-source systems, network effects and the intersection between economics and cryptography.

Image Credits: Shutterstock, Pixabay, Wiki Commons

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It is not a direct offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation or endorsement of any products, services, or companies. Bitcoin.com does not provide investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice. Neither the company nor the author is responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods or services mentioned in this article.

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Suze Orman Says to Only Invest This Type of Money in Bitcoin – The Motley Fool

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It pays to take her advice.

There was most likely a point in time, and not so long ago, when you never even heard of Bitcoin. But nowadays, it's all over the news and has gained popularity among investors.

In fact, a lot of people have made a nice amount of money with Bitcoin, and so you may be at a point where you want in on the action. But if you're going to buy Bitcoin, it's important to do so under the right conditions. And financial expert Suze Orman has some key advice in that regard.

Orman says that if you're going to buy Bitcoin, you should only invest money that:

The first point is actually applicable to any investment you might make in your brokerage account. You never know when the value of a given investment might plunge, so it's important to only invest money you don't anticipate using for many years.

So if, for example, you have $20,000 you're hoping to put toward a home down payment in the next two to three years, investing it (whether in Bitcoin, stocks, or something else) is generally a poor choice. Rather, that $20,000 should sit in cash in the bank, where you won't risk losing out on any of that principal.

Orman's second point, however, speaks more to the risks involved in buying Bitcoin -- or any cryptocurrency, really. While there's no guarantee you won't lose money with more established investments, like stocks and bonds, digital currencies are notoriously speculative. That means they don't have a long history behind them and it's hard to know how much staying power they have.

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It may very well be the case that Bitcoin is worth nothing in 10, 20, or 30 years from now -- if not sooner. And while you could say the same thing about any given stock, the reality is that stocks on a whole are an established investment. And if you invest in companies that have been around for a long time, there's less of a chance of them going under in the near term.

Bitcoin, however, has only been around for a little over a decade. And so it's harder to have faith in an asset that didn't even exist 15 years ago.

If you've done your research on Bitcoin and determined that it's a good fit for your portfolio, then you may want to buy it if you have extra money and aren't afraid to lose it. But if you're new to investing, you may want to stick to tried-and-true assets like stocks, which have a long history of generating solid returns despite their volatile tendencies.

Whats more, don't mistake Bitcoin for cryptocurrency in general. You may be interested in owning digital currencies, but don't automatically rush to invest in Bitcoin because it's a name you hear the most on the news. There may be another currency that's a better fit for you, so take the time to do the research on crypto before diving in.

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JPMorgan Says Bitcoin Is Undervalued By 28%, Cryptocurrencies Are Now A ‘Preferred Alternative Asset’ – Forbes

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Despite the crypto slump, banking giant JPMorgan says bitcoin is massively undervalued.

Maintaining its estimate of bitcoin's fair value at $38,000, the bank today reiterated the assessment it gave the asset in February when the cryptocurrency was trading around $43,400. This price ($38,000) is approximately 28% higher than its current level of $29,757.

TradingView

In a note to clients issued Wednesday, the bank has also stated that it is replacing real estate with digital, or crypto, assets as its preferred alternative asset class along with hedge funds, citing potential lagged repricing in private equity, private debt and real estate. Alternative assets typically refer to investments that aren't stocks, bonds or cash.

The appraisal is a nod of confidence to bitcoin, which is currently trading at less than half its all-time high of $68,721, and the broader category in general. In addition to rising interest rates and the fallout from the war in Ukraine, the cryptocurrency market is grappling with the $50 billion collapse of algorithmic stablecoin TerraUSD and its sister token LUNA. The total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies currently sits at $1.3 trillion, a dramatic decline from $3 trillion in November.

The past month's crypto market correction looks more like capitulation relative to last January/February and going forward we see upside for bitcoin and crypto markets more generally," the banks strategists, led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, noted in the report.

The strategists also believe that the trajectory for VC funding would be crucial in helping the crypto market to avoid the long winter of 2018/2019, which followed the initial coin offerings boom. Just today, Ethereum scaling startup Starkware raised $100 million at an $8 billion valuation and venture giant Andreessen Horowitz announced that it had raised $4.5 billion for its fourth crypto fund.

Thus far there is little evidence of VC funding drying up post-Terras collapse. Of the $25 billion VC funding year-to-date, almost $4 billion came after Terra, the strategists noted. Our best guess is the VC funding will continue and a long winter similar to 2018/2019 would be averted.

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Billionaire Tim Draper On What Will Trigger The Next Bitcoin Bull Market – NewsBTC

Bitcoin has been on a bear path given its recent movements and its no secret that the digital asset is well out of the bull market. This has sparked speculations as to what will actually trigger another bull rally for the pioneer cryptocurrency. Billionaire Tim Draper who has always been vocal when it comes to his thoughts about the crypto market has weighed in on this and put forward what he believes will be the defining factor for the next bitcoin bull market.

It is no surprise that more women are moving into the market. Even though males still disproportionately dominate crypto investing, the number of women moving into the space has been on the rise, reaching as high as one in every three investors now being a woman. Nevertheless, there is still a long way to go when it comes to bringing more women into crypto and billionaire Tim Draper believes that they will drive the next bitcoin rally.

Related Reading |Bitcoin Dominance Remains High As Market Sell-Offs Settle

Draper bases this on the fact that women command an immense purchasing power and if they were to bring this power into the bitcoin market, it will trigger another rally for the digital asset. He is not very far off with this assessment given that he said that women control approximately 80% of retail spending.

Women, who only currently make up 30% of all crypto investors in the United States, are still yet to move into the market en masse compared to their male counterparts, who by comparison possess less retail purchasing power. The factors behind this disparity usually come down to the fact that males are said to be risk-takers compared to women. Hence, are more comfortable playing in a relatively new space with little to no regulation.

Drapers analysis of more women moving into the market could mean that bitcoin will hit new all-time highs. He puts forward where he believes that the price of the digital asset may end up and that number came out to $250,000.

Related Reading |Bearish Indicator: Is Bitcoin Headed For Its Ninth Red Weekly Close?

However, the billionaire explains another factor that will drive the price to this point. Alongside more adoption from women, he cites adoption from merchants who save more money when they accept bitcoin compared to credit cards.

He notes that once the cryptocurrency becomes more widely accepted as a form of payment, it will drive more women to own bitcoin wallets and buy things with BTC. Then youre going to see a Bitcoin price thatll just blow right through my $250,000 estimate, the billionaire added.

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Why the Central African Republic intends to press ahead with Bitcoin – CryptoSlate

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Central African Republic (CAR) President Faustin-Archange Touadra is pressing ahead with plans to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender.

This is despite the price of BTC falling and concerns raised by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which has threatened to cut off fiat lifelines in response to the move.

President Faustin-Archange Touadra doubled down by recently announcing the Sango project. This project builds on the Bitcoin law by developing infrastructure to sustain a crypto economy, including a government-backed wallet and a legal framework incorporating digital identity and ownership protocols.

This vision also includes the construction of Crypto Island and a virtual representation of the island in the Metaverse.

Last month, the CAR made headlines as the second country to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender. Similar to the situation in El Salvador, the government will operate a dual currency system with BTC used alongside the Central African Franc.

Despite the CARs vast mineral resources, which include reserves of gold and diamonds, the country is still one of the worlds poorest nations, with 79% of the population living in poverty and 45% suffering from food insecurity.

Whats more, the basic infrastructure is rated underdeveloped, poorly maintained, and inadequate. Rather nonsensically, for nationwide adoption of digital currency, just 4% of the population, as of 2017, use the internet. And electricity blackouts are a daily occurrence.

For these reasons, critics argue that the CARs attempt to modernize, with Bitcoin as the foundational platform, is doomed to fail.

In response to the criticisms, President Faustin-Archange Touadra laid out some home truths regarding the legacy system, calling it an impenetrable bureaucracy that keeps the CAR down and unable to capitalize on its vast resource wealth.

With that no longer being an option, he added that Bitcoin offers a new path to a bright future.

For us, the formal economy is no longer an option. An impenetrable bureaucracy keeps us stuck in systems that dont give us the opportunity to be successful. Bitcoin opens a new path to a bright future.

International gangster banksters, as represented by organizations such as the IMF, have long been accused of preying on impoverished nations through predatory loan agreements. The upshot to this is the concentration of wealth and power in the hand so the corporate elite.

With that in mind, the CARs gamble to adopt Bitcoin, while seemingly nonsensical, is a power play designed to wrest influence and control back from bankster parasites.

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Down 17%, what went so wrong for the Bitcoin price in May? – The Motley Fool Australia

Image source: Getty Images

The Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) price finished the final day of May on a positive note, up 4% from the previous day to US$31,685 (AU$43,865).

But that last minute rally wasnt enough to stem some hefty losses incurred earlier in the month, leaving the Bitcoin price down 17% since 1 May. The worlds top token by market cap is now down 36% year-to-date.

In a sign of the ongoing volatility that comes with crypto investing, the Bitcoin price hit a high of US$39,903 in May and plumbed lows of US$26,350, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

So why did it end the month down 17%?

Much of the pressure facing Bitcoin and most every crypto has come from rising inflation and the resulting interest rate hikes.

This has seen risk assets, like cryptos and high growth tech shares, come under heavy selling pressure.

On 6 May, the Bitcoin price tumbled 11%. This followed on the US Feds 0.50% interest rate increase in the worlds biggest economy, which also saw the tech-heavy Nasdaq lose 5% in a single day.

Commenting on that selloff at the time, Valkyrie Investments head of research Josh Olszewicz said:

Bitcoin has become increasingly correlated with US trading hours and US traditional market indices, likely due to a combination of increasing US institutional presence as well as the absence of China after the sweeping bans last year.

The Oracle of Omaha, Warren Buffett, and his long-time partner at Berkshire Hathaway, Charlie Munger, are well known for their general disdain of cryptos.

But with the Bitcoin price already under pressure, the closely-followed billionaire investors surely didnt spark a bull run with their comments at their annual shareholder meeting early in May.

Munger led the charge saying:

When you have your own retirement account and your friendly adviser suggests you put all your money into Bitcoin, just say no In my life, I try and avoid things that are stupid and evil and make me look bad in comparison with somebody else. Bitcoin does all three.

Another blow to the Bitcoin price in May was the collapse of Terra.

On 12 May, Australians woke to the news that a top-ranked stablecoin TerraUSD (CRYPTO: UST) had lost its peg to the US dollar. Over the following days, UST would drop to as low as 10 US cents.

The token meant to help UST maintain that US$1 peg Terra (CRYPTO: LUNA) fell even harder, losing more than 99% of its value.

The collapse sent almost every top crypto into the red. The Bitcoin price dropped 5% to US$29,830.

And with fewer tailwinds than headwinds in May, it finished the month well into the red.

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Down 17%, what went so wrong for the Bitcoin price in May? - The Motley Fool Australia

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Assessing if Bitcoin Cash [BCH] will see a period of accumulation soon – AMBCrypto News

Disclaimer: The findings of the following analysis are the sole opinions of the writer and should not be considered investment advice.

Bitcoin Cash has a strong positive correlation to Bitcoin, in terms of price movement. The 30-day price correlation stands at +0.96, which means that BCH has been following the trend of Bitcoin in the past month.

Bitcoin appears primed for a push toward the $34.4k and $36k resistance areas, and this could propel Bitcoin Cash higher on the price charts as well. However, the longer-term trend remained bearish, and BCH could face strong sellers at $217 and $240.

Source: BCH/USDT on TradingView

Bitcoin Cash had traded within a range from $277 to $380 in 2022, until early May, when the price plummeted to the $180 mark. This was an ugly development for the bulls because the $278 support was a long-term horizontal level of significance. However, the price just crashed past it in late April/early May.

Technically, the market structure is strongly bearish as evidenced by BCH forming a series of lower highs and lower lows since November on the D1 chart. For the longer-term bias to flip to bullish, the price has to push past the $27-$300 area of resistance and flip it to support.

On the way up there, the $217 and $242 levels can also pose stiff resistance. Ultimately, Bitcoins own trend can force BCH higher, although a market structure shift might not take place.

Source: BCH/USDT on TradingView

The RSI has been below neutral 50 since early April, to indicate that the momentum was in favor of the sellers. This was when the price was near the 2022 range highs, and the price has been slipping lower since. The Stochastic RSI was also in the overbought territory.

The CMF has been beneath -0.05 since April, but at press time was on the verge of climbing back above it to show that the selling pressure had subsided. In May 2022, the A/D took a sharp dive, but it has been rising overall since August 2021.

The larger trend for BCH remained bearish, and the $217 and $240 levels can be areas where market participants can look to sell the asset. The presence of heavy resistances to the north, combined with the strong bearish structure, meant that longer-term investors would need to be patient for the bias to shift and a buying opportunity to present itself. The rising A/D does not by itself dictate a reversal in the trend towards the upside.

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