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2 key Bitcoin indicators have ‘cooled off’ Why it could be bullish – Cointelegraph

Two key Bitcoin trading indicators the funding rate and three-month annualized basis rate could suggest the price is on track to go upward soon, according to a crypto analyst.

Looks like were consolidating before the next leg up, Reflexivity Research co-founder Will Clemente wrote in a May 7 post on X, explaining that Bitcoins funding and basis rates have cooled off after briefly dipping to negative readings.

The Bitcoin (BTC)funding rate is often used to track overall trader sentiment for the cryptocurrency market. Exchanges use this rate to balance out traders entering long positions with those opting for short positions to mitigate the risk of overexposure.

When long-position traders take more dominant positions, the funding rate turns positive, indicating their confidence in Bitcoins price increasing.

At the time of writing, the open interest-weighted funding rate is 0.0091%, having recovered from a negative rate of -0.0050% on May 4, according to CoinGlass data.

Sounds like the calm before the storm, saidpseudonymous crypto commentator Crypto Empire.

The Bitcoin funding rates still remaining this low, while Bitcoin is bouncing makes me feel extremely bullish, echoed pseudonymous crypto trader Mister Crypto to their 98,000 X followers.

The shift in the funding rate over the four-day period was also mirrored by a slight increase in Bitcoins price, which rose 1.11% to $62,361, per CoinMarketCap data.

Related: Bitcoin trader flags key levels as BTC price attacks $64K liquidity

However, liquidation data contradicts this, suggesting that futures traders are still leaning bearish and anticipate a near-term price drop.

A 3.5% rise in price to the key $65,000 level could liquidate $1.36 billion in short positions, whereas a 3.5% drop to $60,500 would only wipe out $650 million in long positions.

Meanwhile, some traders note that Bitcoins annualized basis rate has increased to the higher end of the 510% neutral range on major exchanges such as Binance, OKX and Deribit.

The annualized basis rate is a way to measure the cost difference between a Bitcoin futures contract and the actual price of Bitcoin.

Traders often view rates above 10% as a neutral-to-bullish signal.

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This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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Who owns the most Bitcoin in the world? – Quartz

Photo: Nacho Doce (Reuters )

The anonymous creator of Bitcoin, Satoshi Nakamoto, reportedly possesses approximately 1 million Bitcoin, which are stored in multiple wallets. At the current price, the amount would be worth around $60 billion.

Bitcoin has a maximum cap of 21 million, which makes Nakamoto one of the top Bitcoin owners.

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Bitcoin price today: slips to $62k as regulatory jitters, rate fears weigh – Investing.com

Investing.com-- price slid on Wednesday, further reversing a rebound seen over the weekend as persistent concerns over more regulatory scrutiny against the cryptocurrency industry kept traders largely wary of buying in.

Broader crypto prices were also pressured by uncertainty over U.S. interest rates, after several Federal Reserve officials signaled this week that the central bank was more likely to keep rates unchanged in 2024. The dollar rebounded from recent losses after their comments.

Bitcoin fell 1.8% in the past 24 hours to $62,336.7 by 08:21 ET (12:21 GMT). The worlds largest cryptocurrency remained comfortably within a trading range seen for most of the past two months, as momentum in the token waned after it hit a record high in March.

Capital flows data released earlier this week also showed that crypto investment products, particularly Bitcoin, saw a third straight week of steep outflows as hype over exchange-traded funds launched earlier this year ran dry.

A report released earlier this week showed that over 90% of transactions in stablecoins- which are an important aspect of crypto trade- were inorganic and not from real users, raising questions over just how much retail demand there actually was for crypto.

The report also raised concerns over more regulatory action against stablecoin operators, specifically , which is the largest of the lot.

In instances of actual regulatory action, trading app Robinhood Markets Inc (NASDAQ:) said it was facing potential regulatory action from the Securities and Exchange Commission over the nature of crypto tokens traded on its platforms. The SEC has long argued that crypto tokens are securities, and is currently embroiled in legal battles with XRP issuer and crypto exchange Coinbase (NASDAQ:) over the matter.

The SEC is also reportedly investigating world no. 2 crypto over it potentially being a security, and had this week postponed a decision to approve spot-traded Ethereum ETFs for U.S. markets to July.

But the regulator is widely expected to reject applications for the ETF.

Broader cryptocurrency prices retreated, also coming under pressure from a resurgence in the dollar as Federal Reserve officials said the central bank was likely to leave interest rates unchanged this year.

Ethereum fell 2.5% to $2,996.41, while and XRP fell 6.1% and 2.7%, respectively.

High for longer U.S. rates bode poorly for crypto markets, given that the sector usually benefits from a low-rate, high-liquidity environment.

A Bitcoin price indicator known as volatility risk premium (VRP) currently indicates a relatively calm market environment ahead, which long-term investors might view positively, CoinDesk reported Wednesday.

The VRP measures the difference between an asset's option-implied volatility, which gauges expected price swings, and the realized volatility over time. This spread reflects the extra premium option sellers seek to offset the risks of future market uncertainty.

According to data from Bitfinex analysts, the one-month VRP has sharply declined from 15% to 2.5% following the Bitcoin blockchain's mining reward halving on April 20. The calculation relies on the difference between Volmex's bitcoin 30-day implied volatility index (BVIV) and the one-month realized volatility (VBRV).

"The significant narrowing of the VRP indicates a realignment of market expectations to a more stable and predictable environment post-halving," analysts at Bitfinex said in a note seen by CoinDesk.

"The market consensus seems to be that future volatility may be less than previously anticipated following the halving."

Put differently, uncertainty has diminished, and market participants anticipate more stable market conditions.

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Bitcoin price today: slips to $62k as regulatory jitters, rate fears weigh - Investing.com

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Bitcoin Could Benefit From a Trump Win and U.S. Fiscal Dominance: Standard Chartered – CoinDesk

Please note that our privacy policy, terms of use, cookies, and do not sell my personal information has been updated .

CoinDesk is an award-winning media outlet that covers the cryptocurrency industry. Its journalists abide by a strict set of editorial policies. In November 2023, CoinDesk was acquired by the Bullish group, owner of Bullish, a regulated, digital assets exchange. The Bullish group is majority-owned by Block.one; both companies have interests in a variety of blockchain and digital asset businesses and significant holdings of digital assets, including bitcoin. CoinDesk operates as an independent subsidiary with an editorial committee to protect journalistic independence. CoinDesk employees, including journalists, may receive options in the Bullish group as part of their compensation.

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Bitcoin Price Prediction for the Short Term: Will BTC Return to $70K Soon? – CryptoPotato

Our website is a comprehensive guide to digital currency investing & trading.Here are a few suggestions to get started, and get the most from us:

Begin with Bitcoin for Beginners.

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Bitcoin exchange inflows drop to 10-year lows after $74K all-time highs – Cointelegraph

Bitcoin (BTC) exchange inflows are plumbing lows not seen in nearly a decade, the latest data shows.

Figures from on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant show daily BTC inflows declining significantly since Bitcoins $73,800 all-time highs.

Bitcoin traders are in no mood to keep coins available for quick sale on exchanges.

According to CryptoQuant, April and May 2024 have seen some of the lowest daily inflows to major exchange accounts in the past 10 years.

On April 20, when BTC/USD was around the same levels as at the time of writing, just 8,400 BTC flowed into exchanges.

The last time that such small flows were observed was when Bitcoin traded at less than $1,000 per coin.

CryptoQuant tracks a large number of both spot and derivative exchanges to compile the data.

The numbers reflect a significant shift in hodler sentiment this year as Bitcoin investment enters a new era of institutional involvement.

As Cointelegraph continues to report, appetite for increasing exposure to BTC has persisted despite short-term BTC price volatility including last weeks trip to $56,500.

Market observers continue to flag positive events tied to Bitcoin whale cohorts.

Related:Bitcoin trader flags key levels as BTC price attacks $64K liquidity

Whales in the range of 1k to 10k, which typically provide significant downward volatility to the market, have not been consistently participating in this current uptrend cycle, CryptoQuant contributor Mignolet wrote in one of its Quicktake research updates this week.

Mignolet referred to whale entities holding between 1,000 BTC and 10,000 BTC. An accompanying chart showed spent output age bands of on-chain transactions.

The post added that whales may not be willing to sell yet as the cycle has not ended.

There might be demand outside of exchanges, particularly in the OTC (over-the-counter) market, capable of absorbing large selling volumes even without deposits into exchanges post-ETF approval, Mignolet wrote.

Commenting on the current market landscape, however, Checkmate, the pseudonymous lead on-chain analyst at data firm Glassnode, said that the new spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds were likely shaping the numbers.

Data around these entities is notoriously noisy, and I can almost guarantee that the big whale wallets youre watching are ETFs, and exchanges, he told followers in part of a post on X.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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Bitcoin distribution ‘danger zone’ over, analysts say – Cointelegraph

Bitcoins (BTC) price rose above the $65,000 mark on May 6 as analysts argued that the post-halvingdanger zone may be over, with more BTC upside on the way.

Bitcoins post-halving danger zoneis a three-week window after the halving, historically associated with downside volatility occurring below the reaccumulation range.

With Bitcoin rising above the current reaccumulation range of approximately $60,000, the post-halving danger zone may be over, according to popular crypto analyst Rekt Capital. He wrote in a May 6 post:

During the 2016 bull cycle, Bitcoin produced an 11% downside wick 21 days after the halving, which marked the beginning of the price reversal, noted Rekt Capital in a May 6 X post:

Meanwhile, Bitcoin analyst Willy Woo also expects higher BTC prices based on the volume-weighted average price (VWAP), a popular oscillator used by traders to determine the average asset price based on price action and volume.

Woo wrote in a May 6 X post:

Further showcasing a change in investor sentiment, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index rose to 71/100, signaling greed up from 43/100, or fear, on May 2.

Outflows from the 11 United States spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have contributed to Bitcoins correction. The U.S. ETFs recorded their highest week of outflows since launching, with nearly $900 million in net cumulative outflows over the past week, according to Dune data.

Related: Bitcoin enters new era as whales scoop up over 47K BTC during price pullback

Interestingly, data suggests that long-term holders (LTH) at the $70,000 price have finished selling to new investors. Thus, a new active accumulation phase could bestarting, according to CryptoQuant author Axel Adler Jr.s May 6 X post.

This can significantly reduce Bitcoins sell pressure, paving the way toward a gradual climb to new highs, according to Eitan Katz, the founder of Kima, a decentralized money transfer protocol. Katz told Cointelegraph:

However, Bitcoin could remain subdued in the short term, due to concerns over inflation and dampened expectations for rate cuts, according to Mithil Thakore, CEO of Velar, a Bitcoin-native liquidity protocol. Thakore told Cointelegraph:

After the current short-term consolidation, Thakore expects Bitcoin price to reach $100,000 before the end of 2024. He said:

Related: Mr. 100 buys the Bitcoin dip for the first time since halving Is the BTC bottom in?

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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Bitcoin reaches one billion transactions – Cointelegraph

The Bitcoin network has processed its one billionth transaction marking a huge milestone moment for the network 15 years after its creation.

Clark Moodys Bitcoin dashboard showsthat transaction 1,000,000,000 was processed inblock 842,241 at 9:34 pm UTC on May 5.

It comes 15 years, four months and four days after thepseudonymous creator Bitcoin (BTC), Satoshi Nakamoto, mined the networks first block on Jan. 3, 2009.

The network has processed an average of 178,475 daily transactions in its 5,603-day existence.

However, the count doesnt include transactions made on the Lightning Network, a Bitcoin layer-2 payment protocol enabling faster transactions.

Data from the Bitcoin-only exchange River found the Lightning Network processed a lower-bound estimate of 6.6 million transactions alone in August 2023, suggesting that hundreds of millions of transactions have been made on Lightning since it launched in January, 2018.

Daily transactions on Bitcoin spiked around the networks fourth halving event on April 20, with a record high of 926,000 transactions processed on April 23.

Much of this demand came from the launch of the Runes protocolat block 840,000.

That said, Bitcoinsdaily transaction count has since cooled off to 660,260 on May 4.

Despite Bitcoin being the oldest cryptocurrency network, it isnt the first of its kind to process one billion transactions.

Bitcoins biggest rival, Ethereum, has processed well over two billion transactions since it launched in July 2015, Etherscan data shows.

Related: Impact of Bitcoin halving event on transaction confirmation times

Bitcoin is currently priced at $63,750, up over 12% since it hit a two-month low of $56,800 on May 2, according to CoinGecko.

However, it is still down 13,6% from its all-time high of $73,740 set on March 13.

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Bitcoin mining revenue hits post-halving yearly low – Cointelegraph

Earnings from Bitcoin mining dropped significantly in May as the effects of the fourth Bitcoin halving event set in.

The Bitcoin halving mechanism was designed to increasingly limit the issuance of 21 million Bitcoin (BTC)spread over decades. The April 20 halving reduced mining rewards to 3.125 BTC from 6.25 BTC.

While initial hype around the halving and the launch of Bitcoin Runes temporarily sustained the miners daily earnings, a strong revenue drop was recorded in May. On May 1, the total revenue earned from block rewards and transaction fees fell to a new low of $26.3 million.

In contrast, Bitcoin miners earned roughly $6 million per day on average before the halving, according to data sourced from Blockchain.com.

All the other days in May also recorded similar revenue patterns, signaling a new normal in Bitcoin mining revenue. Coincidentally, mining revenue peaked on April 20, marking an all-time high daily earnings of over $107 million for the first time in Bitcoin history.

Anticipating this significant drop, miners worldwide restrategized operations to remain profitable in the next phase of the Bitcoin economy. If not, miners would have to rely solely on Bitcoins high market value to support operations.

Read Cointelegraphs guide to learn more aboutbeing a profitable Bitcoin miner from home.

CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju calculated that Bitcoin needs to hold above $80,000 to keep mining profitable post-halving under current conditions. However, most miners took proactive measures to upgrade their mining equipment to reduce long-term operational costs while being competitive.

Related:Bitcoin reaches one billion transactions

For example, Bitcoin mining firm Bitfarms allotted $240 million to triple its hash rate. Previously speaking to Cointelegraph, Bitfarms chief financial officer Jeffrey Lucas laid out the firms drive to procure 88,000 highly efficient Bitcoin miners:

Despite the effort, Bitfarms recorded its lowest monthly earnings of 269 Bitcoin in over two years in April.

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Bitcoin will ‘propel the next leg up’ if key trading pattern confirms Traders – Cointelegraph

Bitcoins (BTC) price could see a bullish trend reversal and propel the next leg up if the popular trading indicator known as the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern is confirmed, according to a crypto trader.

If we dont break straight through $67.5k then something like this forming over the next month would make sense for a bottom pattern reversal, crypto trader Matthew Hyland explained in a May 4 post on X.

He is referring to the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern a bullish indicator that signals the downtrend is easing, and buyers are becoming more dominant in the market.

It would be a great setup to propel the next leg up, he declared.

Although it is crucial that Bitcoin holds above its short-term holder price of $59,500 to maintain its bullish trend, pseudonymous crypto analyst and co-founder of CMCC Crest Willy Woo told his 1.1 million X followers on May 3.

The setup appears when Bitcoins price forms three troughs below a so-called neckline resistance, with the middle otherwise known as the head deeper than the left and right shoulder.

Bitcoins price has slightly rebounded from the head at $58,614 on May 1, and if the pattern continues as Hylands model suggests, it will find support around its second shoulder, at $60,000 a key support level.

The decline would represent a 5% from its current price of $63,350, according to CoinMarketCap data. Dropping to this level would liquidate $530 million in long positions, according to CoinGlass data.

According to Hylands model, Bitcoin may rise above the neckline and exceed its current all-time high of $73,800 by June.

On top of this, buyer interest in the crypto market is slowly increasing, according to the Fear and Greed Index.

The index is currently sitting on a Greed score of 69, a major recovery from three days ago when it indicated Fear with a score of 43.

Related: Bitcoin opens $63K futures gap as thin liquidity threatens BTC price

Meanwhile, some traders expect Bitcoins price to remain stagnant in the near term, but they dont necessarily view this as a bearish signal.

The longer the Bitcoin consolidation takes, the higher its price will meet the trendline, added pseudonymous crypto trader Titan of Crypto.

Bitcoins previous cycle all-time highs tend to slow down price and make Bitcoin stall for some weeks, pseudonymous crypto trader Daan Crypto Traders told his X followers in a May 4 post.

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This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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