Today Easter a prominent model anticipates a coronavirus peak in West Virginia.
The states coronavirus response coordinator isnt suggesting a letdown in response, though.
Clay Marsh says social distancing guidelines are working. And when its time to transition from current practices, life wont go back to the way we knew it right away.
Many people are viewing this as When do we get back to the world that we left before the pandemic? Marsh said Saturday on MetroNews Talkline.
For me, Im already moving past that and understanding that were moving to a new place. The pressure made our whole system start to move with a great energy that is starting to shift us into a different place. And while I cant tell you what the different place is, I would say in my own mind and perspective that if we think were getting back there, its not true. I dont know exactly what were getting back to.
Marsh expanded on the next steps in dealing with coronavirus in a blog post published Saturday evening.
Across the country, leaders are talking about three steps to start emerging from the current stay-home guidelines that apply to all but essential workers.
The first is ramping uptestingto identify people who are infected.
The second is identifying people with whom they have interacted by going over their recent contacts on an enormous, unprecedented scale.
Third, restrictions would focus more narrowly on people who are infected and their contacts. That way, the rest would not have to remain in unceasing lockdown.
The American Enterprise Institute envisions this reopening happening state-by-state with schools and business resuming but with physical distancing measures and limitations on gatherings in place.
Individual states can move to Phase II when they are able to safely diagnose, treat, and isolate COVID-19 cases and their contacts, according to the public policy think tank based in Washington, D.C.
Deep cleanings on shared spaces would be more common, and the use of nonmedical fabric masks would remain initial practice.
Altogether, the next steps would involve a huge escalation of testing and questions about how willing Americans will be to submit to individual scrutiny.
I think Phase 2 is how do we get out successfully from where we are today to a more normal,' Marsh said.
Part of that relates in many experts minds on seeing a consistent reduction in the number of new cases. So when we know weve knocked the virus down through our physical distancing and home stay then well see that the reproduction rate go below one, and then we should see a consistent decline in new cases.
In his blog post, Marsh suggested that decline would appear consistently over two weeks before it could be considered a turning point.
When we see this consistent decline in new cases, we will likely askour citizens to wear masks or face coverings and stay physically distanced as much as possible, he wrote. We will still recommend limiting gatherings of people to 25 or less.
TheInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington recently updated its modeling, showing a more promising outlook for West Virginia.
At one point, the model showed a peak of spread in early May and deaths of about 500 people in West Virginia.
But it takes into account new information and the social distancing measures West Virginia has put into place such as school building closures on March 14 and a stay-home order on March 25.
Those measures have decreased the predicted affects of coronavirus in the state.
The model now shows peak use of resources in West Virginia today and total deaths of 74.
And the model projects five deaths a day, today through the next few days before starting to go lower.
The model assumes social distancing will continue through May.
And it also provides a range of possibilities. Its anticipated range of deaths could actually be from just a few all the way up to a higher possibility of 352.
On Sunday morning, Dr. Christopher Murray, who oversees the model, warned that if states lift social distancing guidelines too soon then there could be tragic ramifications.
Some states, its possible in May but in other states its going to be very unlikely that that would not lead to an immediate resurgence, Murray said on Face the Nation.
Last week, health officer Terrance Reidy expressed concern that such models might encourage people to behave too casually.
To me, if the peak is delayed, thats wonderful. It means weve slowed the spread, said Reidy, the health officer for Morgan, Berkeley and Jefferson counties.
Its sort of like 20 inches of rain in one day or 20 inches of rain in two months are different things.
He described limited success in social distancing.
Not nearly successful enough, Reidy said.
Here, the stores are packed, even with executive orders people arent heeding that. The main way to stop the crowds is for people to stop the crowding.
With some people carrying the virus and not showing symptoms, Reidy said the best approach is to just stay away from each other
If youre within a crowd, you should look at every other person as if they have a concealed weapon or a bomb on them, he said.
Figures released Sunday morning by the state Department of Health and Human Resources showed 593 confirmed cases of coronavirus in West Virginia, although state health experts have acknowledged that there are probably many more cases that have not been confirmed.
West Virginia has recorded six deaths.
There have been 16,124 West Virginians tested for the virus.
State health leaders have pointed toward the rate of positive tests vs. overall testing still holding steady at 3.68 percent to encourage people to continue social distancing.
Please, please just stay the course, Gov. Jim Justice said during a Friday news briefing, encouraging state residents to continue social distancing efforts during the holiday weekend and beyond.
If In fact Easter is the peak, were on the downhill slide here.
Justice said of those who have heeded social distancing guidelines, Your good work has led to saving lots and lots and lots of lives
Marsh acknowledged that the overall number of new cases has continued to grow in West Virginia, but he said the continued emphasis on social distancing measures has helped. Without that, he said, the results could be far more severe.
When you look at this pandemic and look at the first phase, which is really this acute phase that weve been in, we can see countries where they didnt take these same sorts of precautions Italy is an example saw a 12 percent mortality rate, Marsh said.
So we know this has serious consequences. We also know that across the world the mortality rate is 5.5 percent. Here in the United States its now about 3.5 percent. So thats a lot of people dying from the covid pandemic.
Not much will get easier, Marsh said.
Although West Virginia might in the next few weeks get through the first difficult period of dealing with coronavirus, more adjustments are ahead.
Determining how far to go with precautions and gaining consensus among individuals will be big parts of the challenge.
So my belief is, as we look at repatriation and starting to open back up again, were going to have to do that like a dance back and forth and theres going to be things that open that do OK and there will be some things that open that dont do very well.
A lot of people say the second phase of this could be worse than the first phase. Everybodys rallied for this. But the second phase is going to be harder.
- Working at DeepMind | Glassdoor [Last Updated On: September 8th, 2019] [Originally Added On: September 8th, 2019]
- DeepMind Q&A Dataset - New York University [Last Updated On: October 6th, 2019] [Originally Added On: October 6th, 2019]
- Google absorbs DeepMind healthcare unit 10 months after ... [Last Updated On: October 7th, 2019] [Originally Added On: October 7th, 2019]
- deep mind Mathematics, Machine Learning & Computer Science [Last Updated On: November 1st, 2019] [Originally Added On: November 1st, 2019]
- Health strategies of Google, Amazon, Apple, and Microsoft - Business Insider [Last Updated On: November 21st, 2019] [Originally Added On: November 21st, 2019]
- To Understand The Future of AI, Study Its Past - Forbes [Last Updated On: November 21st, 2019] [Originally Added On: November 21st, 2019]
- Tremor patients can be relieved of the shakes for THREE YEARS after having ultrasound waves - Herald Publicist [Last Updated On: November 21st, 2019] [Originally Added On: November 21st, 2019]
- The San Francisco Gay Mens Chorus Toured the Deep South - SF Weekly [Last Updated On: November 21st, 2019] [Originally Added On: November 21st, 2019]
- The Universe Speaks in Numbers: The deep relationship between math and physics - The Huntington News [Last Updated On: November 21st, 2019] [Originally Added On: November 21st, 2019]
- MINI John Cooper Works GP is a two-seater hot hatch that shouts its 306 HP - SlashGear [Last Updated On: November 21st, 2019] [Originally Added On: November 21st, 2019]
- How To Face An Anxiety Provoking Situation Like A Champion - Forbes [Last Updated On: November 21st, 2019] [Originally Added On: November 21st, 2019]
- The Most Iconic Tech Innovations of the 2010s - PCMag [Last Updated On: November 24th, 2019] [Originally Added On: November 24th, 2019]
- Why tech companies need to hire philosophers - Quartz [Last Updated On: November 24th, 2019] [Originally Added On: November 24th, 2019]
- Living on Purpose: Being thankful is a state of mind - Chattanooga Times Free Press [Last Updated On: November 24th, 2019] [Originally Added On: November 24th, 2019]
- EDITORIAL: West explosion victims out of sight and clearly out of mind - Waco Tribune-Herald [Last Updated On: November 24th, 2019] [Originally Added On: November 24th, 2019]
- Do you need to sit still to be mindful? - The Sydney Morning Herald [Last Updated On: November 26th, 2019] [Originally Added On: November 26th, 2019]
- Listen To Two Neck Deep B-Sides, Beautiful Madness And Worth It - Kerrang! [Last Updated On: November 26th, 2019] [Originally Added On: November 26th, 2019]
- Worlds Last Male Northern White Rhino Brought Back To Life Using AI - International Business Times [Last Updated On: November 26th, 2019] [Originally Added On: November 26th, 2019]
- Eat, drink, and be merryonly if you keep in mind these food safety tips - Williamsburg Yorktown Daily [Last Updated On: November 26th, 2019] [Originally Added On: November 26th, 2019]
- The alarming trip that changed Jeremy Clarksons mind on climate change - The Week UK [Last Updated On: November 26th, 2019] [Originally Added On: November 26th, 2019]
- Actionable Insights on Artificial Intelligence in Law Market with Future Growth Prospects by 2026 | AIBrain, Amazon, Anki, CloudMinds, Deepmind,... [Last Updated On: November 26th, 2019] [Originally Added On: November 26th, 2019]
- Searching for the Ghost Orchids of the Everglades - Discover Magazine [Last Updated On: November 26th, 2019] [Originally Added On: November 26th, 2019]
- Parkinsons tremors could be treated with SOUNDWAVES, claim scientists - Herald Publicist [Last Updated On: November 26th, 2019] [Originally Added On: November 26th, 2019]
- Golden State Warriors still have prolonged success in mind - Blue Man Hoop [Last Updated On: November 26th, 2019] [Originally Added On: November 26th, 2019]
- 3 Gratitude Habits You Can Adopt Over The Thanksgiving Holiday For Deeper Connection And Joy - Forbes [Last Updated On: November 26th, 2019] [Originally Added On: November 26th, 2019]
- The minds that built AI and the writer who adored them. - Mash Viral [Last Updated On: November 28th, 2019] [Originally Added On: November 28th, 2019]
- Parkinson's Patients are Mysteriously Losing the Ability to Swim After Treatment - Discover Magazine [Last Updated On: November 28th, 2019] [Originally Added On: November 28th, 2019]
- Hannah Fry, the woman making maths cool | Times2 - The Times [Last Updated On: November 28th, 2019] [Originally Added On: November 28th, 2019]
- Meditate with Urmila: Find balance of body, mind and breath - Gulf News [Last Updated On: November 28th, 2019] [Originally Added On: November 28th, 2019]
- We have some important food safety tips to keep in mind while cooking this Thanksgiving - WQOW TV News 18 [Last Updated On: November 28th, 2019] [Originally Added On: November 28th, 2019]
- Being thankful is a state of mind | Opinion - Athens Daily Review [Last Updated On: December 2nd, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 2nd, 2019]
- Can Synthetic Biology Inspire The Next Wave of AI? - SynBioBeta [Last Updated On: December 2nd, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 2nd, 2019]
- LIVING ON PURPOSE: Being thankful is a state of mind - Times Tribune of Corbin [Last Updated On: December 2nd, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 2nd, 2019]
- AI Hardware Summit Europe launches in Munich, Germany on 10-11 March 2020, the ecosystem event for AI hardware acceleration in Europe - Yahoo Finance [Last Updated On: December 5th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 5th, 2019]
- Of course Facebook and Google want to solve social problems. Theyre hungry for our data - The Guardian [Last Updated On: December 5th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 5th, 2019]
- Larry, Sergey, and the Mixed Legacy of Google-Turned-Alphabet - WIRED [Last Updated On: December 6th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 6th, 2019]
- AI Index 2019 assesses global AI research, investment, and impact - VentureBeat [Last Updated On: December 11th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 11th, 2019]
- For the Holidays, the Gift of Self-Care - The New York Times [Last Updated On: December 11th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 11th, 2019]
- Stopping a Mars mission from messing with the mind - Axios [Last Updated On: December 11th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 11th, 2019]
- Feldman: Impeachment articles are 'high crimes' Founders had in mind | TheHill - The Hill [Last Updated On: December 11th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 11th, 2019]
- Opinion | Frankenstein monsters will not be taking our jobs anytime soon - Livemint [Last Updated On: December 11th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 11th, 2019]
- DeepMind co-founder moves to Google as the AI lab positions itself for the future - The Verge [Last Updated On: December 11th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 11th, 2019]
- Google Isn't Looking To Revolutionize Health Care, It Just Wants To Improve On The Status Quo - Newsweek [Last Updated On: December 12th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 12th, 2019]
- Artificial Intelligence Job Demand Could Live Up to Hype - Dice Insights [Last Updated On: December 12th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 12th, 2019]
- What Are Normalising Flows And Why Should We Care - Analytics India Magazine [Last Updated On: December 15th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 15th, 2019]
- Terence Crawford has next foe in mind after impressive knockout win - New York Post [Last Updated On: December 15th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 15th, 2019]
- DeepMind proposes novel way to train safe reinforcement learning AI - VentureBeat [Last Updated On: December 15th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 15th, 2019]
- Winning the War Against Thinking - So you've emptied your brain. Now what? - Chabad.org [Last Updated On: December 16th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 16th, 2019]
- 'Echo Chamber' as Author of the 'Hive Mind' - Ricochet.com [Last Updated On: December 16th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 16th, 2019]
- Lindsey Graham: 'I Have Made Up My Mind' to Exonerate Trump and 'Don't Need Any Witnesses' WATCH - Towleroad [Last Updated On: December 16th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 16th, 2019]
- Blockchain in Healthcare Market to 2027 By Top Leading Players: iSolve LLC, Healthcoin, Deepmind Health, IBM Corporation, Microsoft Corporation,... [Last Updated On: December 16th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 16th, 2019]
- In sight but out of mind - The Hindu [Last Updated On: December 16th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 16th, 2019]
- The Case for Limitlessness Has Its Limits: Review of Limitless Mind by Joe Boaler - Education Next - EducationNext [Last Updated On: December 16th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 16th, 2019]
- The Top 10 Diners In Deep East Texas, According To Yelp - ksfa860.com [Last Updated On: December 16th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 16th, 2019]
- 3 breathing exercises to reduce stress, anxiety and a racing mind - Irish Examiner [Last Updated On: December 16th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 16th, 2019]
- DeepMind exec Andrew Eland leaves to launch startup - Sifted [Last Updated On: December 16th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 16th, 2019]
- The Top 10 Diners In Deep East Texas, According To Yelp - kicks105.com [Last Updated On: December 17th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 17th, 2019]
- Mind the Performance Gap New Future Purchasing Category Management Report Out Now - Spend Matters [Last Updated On: December 17th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 17th, 2019]
- Madison singles and deep cuts that stood out in 2019 - tonemadison.com [Last Updated On: December 19th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 19th, 2019]
- Hilde Lee: Latkes bring an ancient miracle to mind on first night of Hanukkah - The Daily Progress [Last Updated On: December 19th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 19th, 2019]
- Political Cornflakes: Trump responds to impeachment with complaints about the 'deep state' and toilet flushing - Salt Lake Tribune [Last Updated On: December 19th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 19th, 2019]
- Google CEO Sundar Pichai Is the Most Expensive Tech CEO to Keep Around - Observer [Last Updated On: December 24th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 24th, 2019]
- Christmas Lectures presenter Dr Hannah Fry on pigeons, AI and the awesome power of maths - inews [Last Updated On: December 24th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 24th, 2019]
- The ultimate guitar tuning guide: expand your mind with these advanced tuning techniques - Guitar World [Last Updated On: December 24th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 24th, 2019]
- Inside The Political Mind Of Jerry Brown - Radio Ink [Last Updated On: December 24th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 24th, 2019]
- Elon Musk Fact-Checked His Own Wikipedia Page and Requested Edits Including the Fact He Does 'Zero Investing' - Entrepreneur [Last Updated On: December 24th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 24th, 2019]
- The 9 Best Blobs of 2019 - Livescience.com [Last Updated On: December 24th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 24th, 2019]
- AI from Google is helping identify animals deep in the rainforest - Euronews [Last Updated On: December 24th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 24th, 2019]
- Want to dive into the lucrative world of deep learning? Take this $29 class. - Mashable [Last Updated On: December 24th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 24th, 2019]
- Re: Your Account Is Overdrawn - Thrive Global [Last Updated On: December 27th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 27th, 2019]
- Review: In the Vale is full of characters who linger long in the mind - Nation.Cymru [Last Updated On: December 27th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 27th, 2019]
- 10 Gifts That Cater to Your Loved One's Basic Senses - Wide Open Country [Last Updated On: December 27th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 27th, 2019]
- The Most Mind-Boggling Scientific Discoveries Of 2019 Include The First Image Of A Black Hole, A Giant Squid Sighting, And An Exoplanet With Water... [Last Updated On: December 27th, 2019] [Originally Added On: December 27th, 2019]
- DeepMind's new AI can spot breast cancer just as well as your doctor - Wired.co.uk [Last Updated On: January 1st, 2020] [Originally Added On: January 1st, 2020]
- Why the algorithms assisting medics is good for health services (Includes interview) - Digital Journal [Last Updated On: January 4th, 2020] [Originally Added On: January 4th, 2020]
- 2020: The Rise of AI in the Enterprise - IT World Canada [Last Updated On: January 4th, 2020] [Originally Added On: January 4th, 2020]
- An instant 2nd opinion: Google's DeepMind AI bests doctors at breast cancer screening - FierceBiotech [Last Updated On: January 4th, 2020] [Originally Added On: January 4th, 2020]
- Google's DeepMind AI outperforms doctors in identifying breast cancer from X-ray images - Business Insider UK [Last Updated On: January 4th, 2020] [Originally Added On: January 4th, 2020]
- New AI toolkit from the World Economic Forum is promising because it's free - The National [Last Updated On: January 20th, 2020] [Originally Added On: January 20th, 2020]
- AKA Wants to Help People Break Bad Habits and Create New Positive Ones - Hospitality Net [Last Updated On: January 20th, 2020] [Originally Added On: January 20th, 2020]